When
sometime last December, the world was busy buying perfumes and
tiepins to give away as Christmas gifts, one young man in New
Delhi was gifting himself and his family a key to great returns.
Educomp Solutions had just launched its initial public offer (IPO)
at Rs 125 per share, and 32-year-old finance professional Rahul
Yadav spent Rs 6,250 to pick up 50 shares. Today, his investment
is valued at about Rs 18,750 (current market price: Rs 375), and
it's one Christmas gift that nobody is exchanging at the neighbourhood
supermarket.
At the time, most investors did not have
too many expectations from this e-learning solutions provider,
and Educomp was lucky to have tapped the market when it was still
booming. The market was climbing steadily and established names
like Reliance Petroleum, Sun TV and M&M Financial Services
were readying to take the plunge.
Although nobody knew much about Educomp,
especially since it was the first in its business segment to be
listed, savvy investors like Yadav liked the business model of
this small company (market cap: Rs 600 crore) and backed the dark
horse. Today, they are laughing their way to the bank. In fact,
Yadav's Educomp investment was worth Rs 23,300 in early May this
year, when the stock price skyrocketed to its all-time high of
Rs 466 per share.
They
say a falling market is the true test of any company at the bourses,
and there is little doubt that Educomp has passed the test. It
is today the best performing of the IPOs launched around that
time, with returns of about 200 per cent despite the 15 per cent
fall in the BSE Sensex from its May 11 high of 12,671 points.
On the one hand, you have several investors
mourning heavy losses, as many recently listed high-profile IPOs
trade below their offer prices. On the other hand, there are new
issues like Educomp that have rewarded investors handsomely. Says
Yadav: "Educomp will see explosive growth in the next two
to three years." Which are the other IPOs of this ilk? Bombay
Rayon, Gateway Distriparks and Shree Renuka Sugars are some that
have given more than 100 per cent returns to investors since listing
(see Beating The Street). "The fact that these IPOs have
held on to their gains since listing reflects market acceptance,"
says S. Swaminathan, National Head (Mutual Funds), IDBI Capital
Market Services.
New And Improved |
|
Habib's: Dressing for an IPO |
One striking feature of the Indian
capital market in the last year and a half has been the ability
of a fairly large cross-section of businesses to raise money
from the public. The number of new and unusual sectors that
now tap the public for investment has risen sharply.
Media, for instance, had a lot of listed companies but
recently the totally new sub-segment of multiplexes has
hit the limelight with companies like Shringar Cinemas,
PVR, and Inox Leisure going public. Aviation is another
new entrant, with Jet Airways and Air Deccan the prominent
listed entities.
This trend is expected to continue, with more emerging
and novel businesses getting set to take advantage of the
liquidity splashing around. Odyssey, the bookshop chain,
Habib's, the trendy hairdresser, and Renaissance Jewellery
are just some of the new companies that have filed IPO applications.
"It really is an indication of the maturity of the
capital market," says a merchant banker. The market
is likely to take a while to understand how some of these
new sectors operate and investors, therefore, could take
a while to understand valuations. The bottomline, as always,
will be caution.
-Krishna Gopalan
|
And what is it about these companies that
generates this confidence in the market? Well, most of them have
unique business models and all have turned in impeccable corporate
performances. Here is a closer look at five such gems that have
beaten the odds comprehensively to emerge unscathed, and why they
continue to look like hot buys today (see Peaks & Troughs).
Educomp Solutions
Promoted by husband and wife team Shantanu
Prakash (IIM, Ahmedabad) and Anjalee Prakash (PhD in education),
Educomp Solutions provides digital learning content and it education
for schools. Educomp's offer price of Rs 125 supported a P-E of
5.29, and today it trades at 70.88 times its trailing FY 05-06
earnings. Earnings and profits have practically doubled for the
year ended March 2006 (year-on-year), and Goldman Sachs and Morgan
Stanley have each just bought 3 per cent stakes in the company.
Shree Renuka Sugars
From an offer price of Rs 285, the share
now quotes at around Rs 668 -that translates into a 134 per cent
return in roughly eight months since listing. Profits are climbing
nicely, and things are looking really sweet for this integrated
sugar company. With its attention also turned towards power generation
and ethanol production, the future looks good. "The company
has benefited from the upturn in sugar prices," says S. Ramesh,
Executive Director, Kotak Mahindra Capital. Analysts say the company's
performance has been above investor expectations. Says Vikram
Sheth, Senior Vice-President, Edelweiss Capital: "The management
has been able to demonstrate a well-differentiated business model
and this has kept up the scrip's momentum." One caveat: experts
say its sugar trading revenues could be under pressure following
the government policy on sugar.
Bombay Rayon
Poised to become India's largest maker and
exporter of fashion label shirts after a major capacity expansion,
Bombay Rayon Fashions has a global client list that includes C&A,
DKNY, Liz Claiborne, Wrangler, Tom Tailor and Guess. An UTI Securities
report says: The greatest asset backing the (company's) high valuations
is its foray into garment manufacturing and capacity additions
that would result in a distinct shift in its business mix. Profits
have more than doubled for March 2006 (year-on-year), and investor
returns are about 136 per cent since it listed in December 2005.
At current prices, the stock trades at about 20 times its FY 2006-07E
earnings.
Slow To Go Public |
|
PSUs: Going slow on divestment |
The promised slew of IPOs
from public sector units (PSUs) has just not happened. Six
names come to mind-Power Finance Corporation, National Minerals
Development Corporation, Bharat Earth Movers, Rural Electrification
Corporation, Power Grid Corporation and National Hydroelectric
Corporation. On the face of it, the government seems in
no hurry. With the Neyveli Lignite disinvestment running
into rough weather, the whole issue seems to have been put
on the backburner. "It appears that there is now status
quo on PSU IPOs. If the government can convince the Left,
it might go through but the market remains sceptical,"
says Amit Rathi, Director, Anand Rathi Securities. The Maruti
disinvestment seemed a key trigger but the government did
not capitalise on the positive sentiment that reigned immediately
after. The worry: each delay probably reduces the ability
of the PSUs to raise money at high valuations.
-Krishna Gopalan
|
Gateway Distriparks
For fiscal 2005-06, Gateway Distripark's
EPS has jumped to Rs 9.07 from Rs 5.38 last fiscal. Net profits
for this port-related logistics services provider have doubled
in March 2005-06 over the previous financial year, while the share
has climbed more than 100 per cent since listing last September.
"The promoters of Gateway Distriparks took reasonable care
to price the issue keeping investor interests in mind," says
Kotak Capital's Ramesh. With Gateway now showing interest in plying
its own container trains, additional revenues are expected to
flow in, which could justify its valuations. It is trading at
about 13 times its FY 2006-07E earnings.
Reading The Spin
Be careful how you hear the buzz around
new offers. Is it just sound or is there substance too?
|
|
DLF IPO: Dizzy valuations |
There is little chance that
the average investor is unaware of the existence of a company
named DLF Universal or its plans for an initial public offer
(IPO). Although DLF's offer document is yet to get the go-ahead
from SEBI (Securities & Exchange Board of India), the
static around the issue continues. It is touted as the largest
public offering ever, at dizzy valuations: a 10 per cent
dilution is expected to generate Rs 13,500 crore, which
would place the company's valuation at a mammoth Rs 1,35,000
crore. Then there's the endless flow of news reports and
high-voltage advertising.
Strictly speaking, after filing the offer document, companies
are supposed to go into silent mode until the actually listing-a
rule followed mostly in the breach. Now, SEBI Chairman M.
Damodaran has announced the need for stricter regulations
to enforce this rule.
Obviously, pre-IPO hype could mislead unwary investors
and needs to be curbed. Some months ago, Prime Focus, a
low-profile post-production company, announced a public
issue and immediately went into overdrive. Suddenly everybody
knew that Anil Ambani and Rakesh Jhunjhunwala were stakeholders,
and company ads were splashed everywhere. The IPO was over-subscribed
1.34 times, but from an offer price of Rs 417, the stock
today quotes at around Rs 325. The GVK Power & Infrastructure
IPO also got a lot of attention and was over-subscribed
25.57 times. From an offer price of Rs 315, it now quotes
in the Rs 145 band.
How should investors handle hype? First, as J. Niranjan,
Head (Investment Banking), ICICI Securities, points out,
investing in the primary market is not a zero-risk transaction.
Investments here are as risk-prone as those in the secondary
market. Investors should learn to recognise that hype is
hardly a barometer to an IPO's success. "Investors
often do not take a call on the company, they take a call
on the issue," says Niranjan. Confusing a good PR job
with healthy fundamentals is obviously fraught with danger.
The primary market needs as much research as the secondary
market does. You need to analyse the industry, the company's
prospects, market, competition and past performance. "The
investor also has to look for cues like the merchant banker's
reputation and the track record of the promoters,"
says Sanjay Sharma, Head (Equity Origination & Capital
Markets), DSP Merrill Lynch. While SEBI's proposal for IPO
ratings is one answer, there is really nothing to beat old-fashioned
research when it comes to the equity market.
-Krishna Gopalan
|
Everest Kanto
With an 80 per cent share of the Indian market,
Everest Kanto makes high-pressure, seamless gas cylinders for
industrial, automotive and medical use. "It is the second
largest player in high pressure cylinders in the world after Faber
Industries SpA, Italy (7.5 lakh units)," says Ajay Parmar,
Head (Ideas Research), Emkay Share & Stock Brokers. Kanto's
global expansion plans are expected to help it de-risk significantly.
Its Dubai capacity, for instance, is expected to increase from
96,000 gas cylinders per annum to 200,000 p.a., and it plans to
enter the Chinese market with a 500,000 units p.a. plant. Earnings
per share have doubled from Rs 11.30 last fiscal to Rs 24.37 for
2005-06.
The prices of these IPOs today reflect the
overall shaky market, presenting a downside that simply asks to
be exploited. Especially since the potential of these stocks to
climb in a strong market seems unmistakeable. "Even the stocks
that are quoting above their offer price are far below their peak
levels," points out Sheth. There is definitely enough value
to tap in these recently listed stocks, if you can wait for long-term
returns.
From The Horse's
Mouth
With the
market still at its volatile best, what do portfolio management
services advise their clients today?
By Shalini S. Dagar
Market Outlook
Here are some broad indicators to where
markets are headed. |
»
The US Fed rate is expected to be close to peaking.
If inflation does not recede, there may be some more rate
hikes. This could pressurise rates globally, including in
India
» The
India story remains intact. Economic growth is forecast in
the 7-8 per cent range, and corporate earnings are expected
to grow at over 15-16 per cent
» The
Sensex now trades at a reasonable 14 times (10,876 points)
one-year forward earnings, compared to the April 2006 high
of 17 times
» Given
the overall outlook, large-caps continue to be safer than
mid- and small-caps, at least over the short and medium term.
However, select mid-caps that exhibit high earnings growth
could be considered
» Sectors
driven by domestic demand (auto, capital goods, cement, FMCG)
continue to be safe bets
» With
interest rates headed up, conventional debt products again
come into their own as safe avenues |
So,
the equity market continues to see-saw in wild abandon; Fed chief
Ben Bernanke and our own 'Yaga' Reddy are busy raising interest
rates; and the number of investment avenues capable of generating
good returns are declining. At this time, where are the rich and
super-rich investing their money? While experts are quick to point
out the absence of readymade solutions even for the rich, it is
worth finding out what portfolio management services (PMS) advise
their high net worth (HNI) clients today. After all, for the sophisticated
and savvy investor, the game never changes, just the game plan.
"For the discerning investor, equity
continues to be good investment," says Nikhil Kapadia, Managing
Director (Private Wealth Management), Deutsche Bank. The rationale?
The Indian growth story remains intact, despite volatility. Economic
growth is forecast in the 7-8 per cent range over the near future,
and corporate earnings are expected to grow at over 15-16 per
cent. "Corporate earnings for the first quarter of 2006-07
continue to show signs of robustness," says Kapadia. Equity
clearly remains a strong long-term play: stay invested for three
to five years to see your money grow.
Capital Protection
The wealthy are willing to participate in
the growth story, but not by putting their capital at risk. With
interest rates headed up, conventional debt products are again
in the limelight. Taking a cue from the US Federal Reserve's repeated
rate hikes, the Reserve Bank of India has also hiked short-term
rates, with the repo rate now at 7 per cent and the reverse repo
rate at 6 per cent. PMS managers point out that fixed maturity
plans (FMPs), with 8-9 per cent returns over a one-year horizon,
look good now. There is no risk of capital erosion or mark-to-market
risk, and often the possibility of double indexation benefits.
Bank fixed deposits are also back in favour,
with cash-strapped banks offering attractive rates: ICICI Bank
has announced 8 per cent for 390-day deposits, while Kotak Mahindra
Bank has a Monsoon Mania plan that offers 8 per cent on 290-day
term deposits.
Though the Reserve Bank of India is somewhat
unhappy with the pace at which realty is soaking up liquidity,
this asset class remains a safe haven for the moneyed during uncertain
times. Now, with SEBI (Securities & Exchange Board of India)
approving Real Estate Investment Trusts (reits), the avenue is
poised to expand further. "Usually, HNIS invest in real estate
through leveraged funds. The proposed reits will allow investment
without leverage, which will be a significant advantage,"
says Sonu Bhasin, Senior Vice President (Wealth Management &
Retail Banking), UTI Bank.
In commodities, gold and silver are clearly
popular among precious metals. "We have been advising a reasonable
exposure to bullion as the metal is in a secular bull market,"
said K. Ramachandran, Head (Advisory Desk, Private Banking), BNP
Paribas. The more adventurous among the HNIs are also exploring
futures and options, while art too gains favour. However, as Ramachandran
says: "It is not yet clear how value accretion will happen
in art." Although these newer asset classes are beginning
to evolve, the overwhelming bulk of HNI investment continues in
debt and equity.
As the market matures, safety of capital
with equity-like returns is fast becoming the common refrain.
In response, wealth managers have plans to launch some sophisticated,
structured products like the close-ended scheme from Prudential
ICICI that ensures capital preservation while capturing the upside
of equity.
Tracking, however, remains the chief concern.
Says Abhay Aima, Head (Private Banking & Equities), HDFC Bank:
"You have to take portfolio decisions based not just on best
returns but also on the time investors have to monitor portfolios."
A point that Anup Bagchi, General Manager, ICICI Bank, reiterates
when he says allocations must be based on risk profiling: "You
must consider estimated cash flows and investment horizons first."
Ultimately, there is no one-size-fits-all
strategy to making money, but what better place to get tips than
from the wealthy?
NEWS ROUND-UP
The Return
Of Offshoring
With IT spending inching up
in the West, mid-cap infotech companies can look forward to good
times ahead.
By Amit Mukherjee
|
Good times ahead: For companies like
Sasken (above) |
According
to recent reports, the average corporate it spending in 2006 across
all industry sectors in the us and Canada rose to 2 per cent of
revenues. This can mean only one thing for Indian it services
companies: there's money to be made.
The 17th annual Computer Economics it Spending
and Staffing study suggests that the median growth in it spending
on a dollar basis is 4.1 per cent, outpacing the 2005 US GDP growth
rate of 3.5 per cent. This is the highest since 1997, when companies
were gearing up for Y2K.
The effects are already being felt, as several
glowing quarterly results from the IT sector show. iGate Global
Solutions, the first mid-cap it company to announce q1 2006-07
results, has posted a 23 per cent growth in revenues to Rs 181.6
crore. Patni Computers has announced a 31.6 per cent increase
in revenues for q2 cy2006. "Patni added 23 new clients in
this quarter," says Surjeet Singh, CFO.
Analysts point out that compared to the faltering
bottomlines that many mid-cap companies suffered last year, earnings
growth this year is expected to be much higher and more stable.
Though margins may not be as high as that of star it firms, the
stronger among the mid-caps are expected to grow revenues by around
20 per cent. Operating margins are projected at 17-19 per cent
vis-à-vis 25 per cent for the large-caps. IT is coming
back into play, says Ravi Sardana, Senior Vice President, ICICI
Securities, and "mid-cap companies are faring better than
ever before". The fact that the rupee has depreciated by
about 2.4 per cent in the first quarter of the fiscal has contributed
significantly to this growth.
However, mid-cap companies cannot hike billing
rates because of wage inflation pressures. "The challenge
will be to rope in the best talent and crack big accounts. But
the sector looks promising and valuations are attractive,"
says a Morgan Stanley research analyst. "Mid-cap firms now
need to specialise in specific verticals or horizontals, and restrict
themselves to niche areas," he adds. Basically, these companies
cannot afford to spread their footprint like their big brothers.
For the big boys in it, times could not be
better. "The year has definitely seen a surge in global demand
for service providers like HCL," says Anant Gupta, COO, HCL
Infrastructure Services Division. He points out that the surge
was triggered by factors like the expansion of the capability
portfolio of Indian firms, which has generated a lot of traction
in the global market.
"New geographies have opened up in a
big way in recent years, and we have seen demand accelerate,"
adds Gupta. European companies seem to be finally taking the plunge
when it comes to large-scale offshoring. With proven expertise
and impressive case-study references now having built up, the
Indian outsourcing story is possibly entering a new phase of growth.
Mid-cap it companies are expected to sustain
the 20 per cent growth rate for at least the next one to two years.
"Those companies that showed good growth last fiscal will
continue to show growth in the next two years," says Manoj
Shroff, a research analyst with Parag Parikh Securities.
What's On Their Mind?
There's more than investor concern
behind the new love for close-ended funds.
In
the three months since April 2006, six of 10 new fund offers that
tapped the market have been close-ended funds. Of these, five
are equity funds-Standard Chartered Enterprise Equity Fund, Tata
Equity Management Fund, Tata Capital Builder Fund, ING Vysya CUB
Fund and Birla Long Term Advantage Fund-while Kotak AMC launched
a close-ended debt fund. The sudden shower of close-ended funds
in the market comes soon after SEBI (Securities & Exchange
Board of India) came out with guidelines for the rationalisation
of initial issue expenses in April 2006.
Most market-watchers point out that fund
houses are taking advantage of a SEBI provision that allows close-ended
funds (unlike open-ended ones) to amortise up to 6 per cent of
their initial issue expenses over the tenure of the scheme. Fund
houses, of course, disagree. They say the close-ended structure
gives the fund manager more flexibility to invest in non-liquid
but potentially strong stocks. Says Ved Prakash Chaturvedi, Managing
Director, Tata AMC: "The intention is to ensure a stable
corpus and give flexibility to the fund manager to invest in upcoming
businesses without thinking about redemption pressures."
While this is true, with the amortisation
option now shut for open-ended funds, fund houses are obviously
counting pennies. Open-ended schemes have to meet fund expenses
from the entry load (2.25 per cent), and not through initial issue
expenses. Yes, close-ended funds give fund managers more time
to consolidate investments but other concerns are also obviously
at play here.
-Mahesh Nayak
SMARTBYTES
Window Of Opportunity
Now,
you can link your unit-linked insurance plans (ULIPs) more closely
to the market. The new IRDA (Insurance Regulatory and Development
Authority) guidelines for ULIPs, which came into effect from July
1, 2006, include a provision that allows ULIP-holders a chance
to switch their investments up to 45 minutes after the close of
market. The idea is to standardise the net asset value of ULIP
units but smart players can use the time to switch allocations,
especially in volatile markets. Insurance companies give policyholders
four free (and unlimited paid) switches a year but few take advantage
of it. ICICI Pru Life Insurance, for instance, reports that less
than 1 per cent of its ULIP-holders switch between assets; those
that do, switch once a year. "The facility allows flexibility,
letting policyholders adjust their asset allocations at will,"
says Puneet Nanda, CIO, ICICI Pru.
-Mahesh Nayak
Premium Worries
|
Come January: And motor insurance will
be detariffed |
With IRDA (insurance
regulatory and development Authority) now doing away with the
threatened cap on premiums, the rules of the detariff regime are
getting clearer. And despite media reports to the contrary, motor
insurance is to be detariffed along with the rest come January.
This means premium prices can now go anywhere, though moving south
seems unlikely given that insurers will fight to protect margins.
However, says C.S. Rao, Chairman, IRDA: "Competition among companies
will ensure reasonable pricing." That may not be the case. Private
insurers' entry into motor insurance will see prices zooming since
they see this as a high-risk space, and health cover tariffs will
also increase. Burglary and fire covers may get cheaper but this
benefits individuals the least.
-Nitya Varadarajan
Flying
High
New financing options promise to make life
easy for students going overseas.
By Nitya Varadarajan
|
Life's good: For students going abroad |
So
you've got admission to an Ivy League college, you've got aid;
you've even got the visa. But before you start packing your bags
and planning those frat parties, remember, you've still got to
buy your air ticket. And you need to get insurance and foreign
exchange for sundry expenses. All this, without bankrupting your
parents. Time was when you had to run around madly from pillar
to post, from travel agent to bank. But now, thanks to travel
agencies and banks tapping the student market, you can get easy
terms on tickets and insurance, as well as other value-added services-often
under one roof.
Under a new scheme, Parry Travels offers
tickets, insurance and forex at a single window, as well as loans
of up to Rs 3 lakh to pay for them. The 18 per cent diminishing
interest loan can be paid off in 12-36 equated monthly installments.
No security is taken for the loan, but there is a 2 per cent processing
charge.
Thomas Cook has also launched a scheme for
students, valid till September 30. The University 2Home City loan,
in partnership with Lufthansa and Lonely Planet, is available
to students who buy air tickets, take foreign exchange for $1,500
(Rs 70,500) or more, and buy Tata AIG's ScholarCare insurance
plan. Thomas Cook helps arrange a loan from State Bank or UTI
Bank to pay for this.
Both Parry Travels and Thomas Cook also offer
student counselling.
How To Decide
Parry Travels has the advantage, since its
offer is valid through the year while the Thomas Cook scheme is
time-bound. Apart from competitive airfares, Parry Travels also
offers a good insurance plan through Cholamandalam ms. Coverage
is door-to-door, and the policy covers nervous disorders, drug
abuse, alcoholism, pregnancy, child care benefits and sports injury.
All benefits are available through the year and the maximum sum
insured is $250,000 (Rs 1.18 crore approx.).
Thomas Cook, on the other hand, offers a
more limited cover through Tata AIG. Medical benefits are limited
to the first 90 days of policy duration, though other benefits
such as personal accident, emergency medical evacuation, etc.
are valid for one year. The maximum sum insured is $200,000 (Rs
94 lakh).
However, if you don't mind a little running
around, you could consider taking a loan directly from a public
sector bank. These loans come at 11 per cent diminishing interest
and, according to RBI norms, education loans of under Rs 7.5 lakh
can be taken with no collateral or security.
Banks are also trying to woo students with
special offers. For instance, if you take a loan from Bank of
Baroda, you get a reduction of 1 per cent in interest at the end
of the tenure if your repayments have been prompt. The loan can
be taken to cover the cost of travel, insurance and the like,
says Mukund Hari Jachak, Head (Sales), Bank of Baroda.
It makes sense to opt for a bank loan, as
the interest rates are far lower than those offered by travel
agents through private banks. And unlike in the past, when a loan
took forever to be sanctioned, today you can get your loan approved
in 24-48 hours if all the documents are in place.
If you don't mind the extra effort, you'll
end up saving a packet if you opt for a loan from a public sector
bank but for the convenience of a single window and no running
around, products like the one from Parry Travels score high.
Low
Fares, High Price
Cheap flights are costly when it comes to
the hassles. Are they worth the trouble?
By Kushan Mitra
|
Budget airlines: Making you seat the
small stuff |
With
airfares crashing, Mumbai-based insurance agent Sanjay Rao (name
changed) decided to take a flight to Hyderabad to visit his parents.
He booked his Air Deccan ticket more than a month in advance and
paid Rs 2,000-plus-a tad more than the price of a 2-tier ac train
ticket. But when the flight was delayed by over six hours, Rao
was soon regretting his decision to eschew land travel. He lost
his temper and had a flaming row with the ground staff. Explaining
his outburst, Rao says: "It's the principle of the thing;
the airline doesn't inform us of delays. Also, all its flights
to other destinations were taking off, so why were we the only
ones stuck?" Of course, making bad matters worse, budget
airlines do not serve food or water or do the other little things
that soothe frayed travel nerves. So, there you are: cheap ticket,
yes, but endless delays and nobody spoiling you either.
Air Deccan possibly faces the most flak on
this front; it cancels eight to 10 flights almost every day. But,
says Managing Director Captain G.R. Gopinath: "The problem
is two-sided. Yes, there are problems on our side, but there is
also a lack of awareness among passengers. Just because your flight
is delayed or cancelled does not give you the right to damage
property or block the passage of other travellers. You don't protest
when a train gets cancelled, so this violent reaction should not
take place when a flight gets cancelled."
Crash The Barriers
Want to fly cheap but don't want a low-cost
airline? |
It's not just
about getting a meal on board. in case of delays, full-service
carriers don't leave you to fend for yourself or, for instance,
they won't charge extra for a wheelchair. So, trying to fly
cheap on a regular airline does make sense. Getting these
deals could be easy across most major metro routes but on
more lightly served but popular routes (such as Mumbai-Aurangabad),
and during peak travel season (October-November), getting
discount fares on full-service carriers is nearly impossible.
Here are a few pointers:
If you book your ticket very close to the date of travel,
the really cheap seats on the low-cost carriers will usually
be over. This is when the full-service carriers such as
Jet Airways, Indian or Kingfisher actually start getting
competitive, so try your luck
Then, there are the night flights. For example, the Mumbai-Kolkata
route is one sector where Jet Airways runs a 'red eye' (late
night) service, and tickets on this route start at under
Rs 4,000 one-way. Including taxes and surcharges, it is
possible to get a return fare on this sector for under Rs
8,500. An Air Deccan ticket booked a week before travel
will be only Rs 1,000-1,200 cheaper, particularly if you
are flying weekends
Look out for check fares. An Air Sahara ticket booked
at the very last minute could come very close to budget
airline levels, so if your plans are flexible exercise this
option
|
And yes, flights will get cancelled or delayed.
Gopinath says this is because of rapid expansion. "We send
our aircraft to stations where there are no other airlines operating,
and if one of our planes was to go 'tech' (get grounded) at a
place where there are no spare parts, it takes time to 'recover'
the plane. And one plane out of the equation usually means that
there will be knock-on cancellations all day."
But is this problem unique to Indian budget
carriers or do low-cost airlines elsewhere in the world also have
to deal with such crises? It's a problem all budget carriers face.
The difference is that low-cost airlines abroad deal with it better.
Jeh Wadia, Managing Director, GoAir, says: "They have a single
aircraft type and they also keep a spare aircraft in the network
to deal with such emergencies. Or they (as we do) increase their
turnaround time (the time it takes to prepare a plane for its
next sector), giving the airline more flexibility."
Teething Troubles
It's easy for large low-cost carriers such
as Ryanair or Southwest, which have fleets of over 200 aircraft,
to keep a spare aircraft. "However, even they faced teething
troubles when they started," claims Gopinath. And, he adds,
increasing turnaround time is just not possible. "The low-cost
model demands high aircraft utilisation. Planes have to fly 10
sectors a day on a very tight schedule if the carrier has to be
profitable."
Flight Plan
Your low-cost flight is cancelled. What
can you do? |
|
Hassled passengers: For now, delays
seem inevitable on budget flights |
The answer is not to go on
a rampage because chances are you might end up behind bars.
Your options are fairly limited: You could ask for a full
refund of your ticket or ask to be booked on to the next
available flight. If you have to cancel your return trip,
then ask for a complete refund on both sectors. However,
since low-cost carriers run at very high load-factor levels,
getting a seat on the next available flight might mean a
two to three day delay. Again, this depends on how smooth
a talker you are; screaming at the ground staff is unlikely
to help you get a seat.
Air Deccan has recently signed a deal with Jet Airways,
under which its passengers can, in case of a cancellation,
get their boarding passes endorsed for travel on Jet Airways
if it flies the same sector. However, since this depends
on the number of seats available on the Jet flight, you
might have to negotiate your way to an endorsed boarding
pass, if possible. Of course, flying on a sector where Air
Deccan has a monopoly limits your options totally.
Bottomline: Be prepared for the eventuality of delays
and cancellations when you fly on a low-cost carrier. The
best you can do is grin and bear it.
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The other problem has to do with the country's
rapid aviation expansion and the severe lack of trained engineers
and ground staff. This results in poor passenger communications
and planes being grounded for lack of people to service it. "One
day, another airline picked up my airport manager for twice the
salary, and another day I lost 30 engineers to a rival carrier.
Who will repair the planes? Who will handle the passengers?"
asks Gopinath.
Wadia adds that infrastructure has simply
not kept pace with growth. Over the last few years, there has
been an explosion in the number of low-cost airlines, and over
time, they will have to come up with different solutions to deal
with this problem.
So, does this mean that Rao will have to
continue to put up with delayed, and even cancelled flights? Sadly,
yes. Says Gopinath: "We are trying very hard to ensure that
we can fly all our routes everyday and have no cancellations,
but until then I'm afraid there will be heartbreak for some passengers.
However, we will still be the cheapest airline around."
There are other issues as well that plague
budget airlines like the high cost of cancellations and various
extra charges like passenger service fee and so on. These are
criticised, but fares still reign way low. Our advice: try for
low fares from regular carriers (see Crash The Barriers) first.
Failing which, grit your teeth and fly low-cost. After all, you
can endure a lot in the interest of cutting your journey down
from 26 hours to two.
Twice
As Smart
The new LPG Wagon R Duo: Is it worth a look?
Petrol
costs the earth and diesel is polluting. Should you junk your
car in favour of a bicycle or should you look at cheaper, cleaner
fuels? Maruti suggests you stick with a car-specifically its new
Wagon R Duo, which runs on both petrol and LPG.
There are cars on road today that run on
both fuels, but the LPG kits are retrofitted and not entirely
safe. With its factory-fitted kit, the Duo stresses safety. Says
a Maruti spokesperson: "We have certification from the Automotive
Research Association of India and the department of explosives."
And what about economy? According to Maruti,
the cost of running a car on LPG is two-thirds that of using petrol.
And for this, you pay around Rs 20,000 more: the Wagon R Duo costs
Rs 3.45 lakh (base model, ex-showroom, Delhi) vis-à-vis
Rs 3.23 lakh for the standard petrol model.
More: the new gas car has been given a facelift
and no longer looks like a slightly oversize box on wheels. In
terms of speed, while there is a definite loss of power, the car's
zippy enough for city driving.
It won't be an entirely smooth ride though.
There are only 160 LPG filling stations across the country, so
tanking up could be a problem. Maruti says there are filling stations
in 42 cities but that's hardly enough. When you do manage to find
an LPG station, fill the 28-litre tank-you can travel about 300
km on that. After that, the 35 litres of petrol will take you
an additional 500 km till you find the next LPG station.
According to Harish Mehta of Mansha Auto
Financials, a Delhi-based automobile dealer, there are still some
safety issues to be addressed. He says it will take at least two
to three months on the road for the Wagon R Duo to prove that
it really is safe.
On the whole, the new Wagon R seems worth
it. But ideally, wait a few months to be completely sure that
all glitches have been ironed out.
-Shaleen Agrawal
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