When technical support engineer Uday Anand, 31, first began
working at the age of 24, he wanted to save enough money to finance
his family's future. Like many across the country, Anand began
by investing small amounts in various schemes and post-office
savings accounts-secure investments that provided returns of 8
per cent per annum. But the family has bigger ambitions now. Uday's
wife Lakshmi, 26, and working with Gati Logistics, has now joined
him in the quest to increase the family corpus. And like many
other households, the Anands began by drawing up a budget and
planning much in advance. "I start planning for taxes at
the beginning of the financial year," he says.
Month after month Anand checks his budget for deviations and
overshoots. Besides, Anand has invested in several pension schemes,
which will accumulate to significant Rs 42 lakh in 20 years. Discipline
and a propensity to save has enabled Anand build up a sizeable
corpus.
Public relations professional Vineet Madhukar, 36, on the other
hand, is walking on another road to wealth. He believes in the
power of real estate. He bought a plot in Greater Noida, financed
through bank loans, that have been paid off. He, now hopes to
sell it around the time of the Commonwealth Games when prices
are expected to appreciate substantially. Besides, he invests
about Rs 50,000 a year on unit-linked insurance plans and traditional
endowment schemes, and another Rs 50,000 in stocks and mutual
funds. He now has a diversified equity portfolio with investments
in different sectors. But he's betting big on real estate-he purchased
two apartments in the last four years, one in his hometown in
Ranchi and another in Chennai. Vineet feels that real estate will
turn out to be his money spinner.
What do both have in common? They have plans of becoming rich,
and both know that the only way to reach that goal is to invest
in productive assets-assets that generate returns. Ten years back,
investment options were limited. Most investors were forced to
invest in the standard schemes that didn't suit their financial
profiles. But that has changed, and investors now have options
ranging from real estate to bullion to stocks and bonds.
Set your Target
It's not that difficult to do the math to reach your target of Rs
1 crore. You can use financial planning calculators. The essential
idea is to set a target and the time frame for the corpus that you
want to achieve. If you are 25, and are able to save Rs 2,612 every
month at 10 per cent for 35 years, you can reach the target of Rs
1 crore. One needs to be regular in one's savings habits to make
the money grow. However, if you are late and want to reach the same
goal-have Rs 1 crore by the age of 60-you will have to invest Rs
23,928 per month. If you don't have that kind of money to save,
you have to strive to increase the efficiency of your savings by
increasing the returns on your investments. That means taking more
risks. But that shouldn't be too difficult if you're young. Says
Sandip Raichura, Assistant Vice-President, Research & Business
Development, Cholamandalam dbs Finance: "Each year is precious,
and you need to start saving early. This will allow you to take
higher risks as you have time on your hands."
Assess Risks
The Budget has not changed the taxation on assets such as stocks
and bonds, barring an increase in the dividend distribution tax
on liquid funds. An already existing investor, with a financial
plan in place, does not have to change or alter his financial
investment plan yet. But for a new investor, there's a need to
draw and follow a defined road map. Crorepatis are not made overnight.
You have to strike a balance between paying home bills, taxes,
children's school and college fees, manage emergency expenses
and then leave enough to reach your target.
You need to assess your financial environment to maximise gains.
You also need to balance between risk and rewards. On the tax
savings front, investors seem to overlook the Public Provident
Fund (PPF) and instead invest in the riskier equity linked savings
schemes (ELSS) and real estate. But at the time of redemptions,
if the stock markets tumble and investor stands to lose out. Bear
this in mind: drawing up an asset allocation plan depends on your
individual risk appetite.
"It's not easy to find an optimum mix between stocks, mutual
funds, debt and other instruments," says Surya Bhatia of
Asset Managers, a financial advisory firm. "The mix depends
on each individual's personal needs and risk-taking ability."
Besides, financial planners say that investments must be planned
according to the need as well as the age of the investor. As a
thumb rule, you can draw an asset mix by reducing your age from
100, and the result is the amount of exposure you can have towards
equity. So if you are 30, subtract 100, and the balance 70 could
be the proportion of equity in your portfolio. "A 30-year-old
individual can invest up to 70 per cent in equity in comparison
to a relatively older person whose financial commitments are higher,"
says Himanshu Kohli of Client Associates, a financial advisory
firm. In fact, one needs to take a look at one's personal balance
sheet before making investment allocations, asserts Kohli, adding
that one should not forget the investment horizon-period of investment.
Besides, aggressive 30-year-olds can even add on to equities,
if they are comfortable with the risks.
THE ROAD TO
RS 1 CRORE |
Gold
Compounded returns (%) since January 1990 6
Years to Rs 1 crore 40 years
Silver
Compounded returns (%) since January 1990 6
Years to Rs 1 crore 40 years
Sensex
Compounded return (%) since January 1990 18.9
Years to Rs 1 crore 18 years 6 months
Debt
Avg. annual returns (9%) 9
Years to Rs 1 crore 31 years
On investment of Rs 5,000 |
The Big Picture |
Do diversify. Mix equity, mutual funds, gold
funds, index funds and real estate. It helps reduce portfolio
volatility. Don't speculate. Remember, one bad decision
can wipe out several years of hard work.
You must park a large chunk of your income every month
into productive assets.
Spend time evaluating your portfolio and address your
risks, liquidity and tax issues every three months.
Don't use debt, unless it's for essential investments
such as housing. |
Draw an Asset Plan
Different assets perform differently, at different times. Riding
the liquidity boom, most assets have run up in recent times, but
historically, they have responded differently. It's essential
to look at the yields of different assets, with respect to inflation.
Historically, equities offer yields that are 8-10 per cent higher
than inflation. So if inflation stood at around 4 per cent, yields
from equities ranged about 12-14 per cent. Real estate, by and
large, pays back about 6-8 per cent, says Kohli. "Investing
in equities is definitely a better option as yields are 10 per
cent higher, but the risk liabilities on those are equally high,"
he asserts.
What this means is that younger investors can draw an asset
accumulation plan that tilts towards equities. Since 1990, equities
have returned a compounded growth rate of 18.9 per cent per annum.
But the investment comes with some risks. Hence, it's prudent
to invest in about 3-4 equity funds that have diversified allocations
either in the large-, mid- and small-cap stocks. Start with an
sip (systematic investment plan) in open-ended equity funds. Regularity
and consistency of investments is the key to making long-term
wealth, and sips fill that role.
Fixed income instruments such as bank fixed deposits, bonds,
fixed income mutual funds and fixed maturity plans, are all instruments
that yield a return of 8-10 per cent, depending on the interest
rate prevalent in the economy. As of now, short-term (less than
1-year) deposits fetch a higher yield (about 9-10 per cent) than
the long-term 10-year bond yield (currently 7.98 per cent). Essentially,
fixed income has interest rate and default risk. But if you invest
in good quality, AAA-rated paper and hold out the entire tenure,
both these risks get reduced substantially. Conservative and older
investors may want to invest more here, to reduce overall portfolio
risks. Gold is another option. Gold Funds allow investors to hold
gold in paperless form. But the yields in gold are usually close
to inflation.
"The key to accumulating wealth is to start saving regularly.
Start monthly investments if your cash flow permits you to do
it as early as you can," Bhatia recommends. The higher your
assets from the historical mean, the luckier you are. Like any
other good plan, an investment plan to grow your wealth will pay
off only if you are willing to put in the time, and lots of it.
The Open-Closed principle
Closed-end funds have made a comeback,
alright. But how do they compare against open-end funds?
Mahesh Nayak
They were not as popular, say, two years ago, but recently they
staged a comeback. Over 39 closed-end equity funds made their
way to fund investors last year, overshadowing the usually more
popular open-end funds-30 of them hit the market-by a distance.
Why didn't open-end funds find much favour with investors and
what's it about closed-end funds that investors seemed to lap
up?
Among the many reasons, closed-end funds promised more rewards
over the long-term as they invested in companies that could scale
up over, say, a three-year or a five-year horizon. As the companies
grew bigger, investors could reap the benefits of a higher return
on investment. Besides, closed-end funds have the comfort of investing
in companies that trade less frequently with low volumes. As these
scale up, more investors participate adding to the liquidity of
the counter, and providing an exit route to the fund. In short,
many closed-end funds could invest in small but fast growing companies
for the long haul.
Open-end funds, on the other hand, have to invest in companies
that are fairly liquid and, many a time, in companies that have
already been discovered by the markets. Open-end funds have to
provide for redemptions that could arise in their funds, and hence
are mostly invested in blue chips. Most of them, therefore, are
expected to provide moderate returns, usually in line with the
market, perhaps outperforming by some basis points.
How They Fared?
But have the closed-end funds lived up to their promise of better
returns against their peers in the open-end category? While a
year is too short a period to compare these funds, many of these
funds have not performed as well as the open-end funds. Till March
7, 2007, the average one-year return for closed-end funds showed
a 0.3 per cent fall, as compared to a 4.2 per cent gain in the
open-end category. This clearly showed the markets favoured stronger
blue chip companies, mostly in open-end funds.
Over the medium term, too, the performance of closed-end funds
didn't match up with the large cap open-end funds. As against
a rise of 2 per cent in a six-month period for closed-end funds,
open-end funds saw a rise of 3 per cent, beating their closed-end
counterparts. But in the extreme short-term, closed-end funds
seemed to have outperformed by a notch. In the recent carnage
that has caught the market on the backfoot, the larger companies
were heavily offloaded in the market as open-end funds fell by
around 11 per cent, as compared to the smaller cap dominated closed-end
funds that fell by a notch lesser at 10 per cent (see Lagging
Behind?). Over the longer tenure of two years, though, closed-end
funds have bettered open-end funds by a 4 basis points, giving
a return of 33.5 per cent as against 29.5 per cent for open-end
funds.
Markets, clearly, prefer the larger, more liquid and strong
companies, ignoring the smaller counters. Foreign investors invested
mostly in the large-cap stocks, and therefore, the open-end funds
performed better last year. Says Hemant Rustagi, CEO, Wiseinvest
Advisors: "When the small caps and mid-caps are out of favour,
closed-end fund managers find it difficult to outperform open-end
funds." Fund houses opined that the close-ended structure
gives the fund manager more flexibility to invest in non-liquid
but potential stocks that can be the large caps of tomorrow. A
closed-end fund ensures that a fund house can maintain a stable
corpus with flexibility to the fund manager without the pressures
of redemption.
However, the portfolio composition between closed-end and open-end
funds is much different, barring a few smaller, less liquid counters.
But over the last year, these inclusions have dragged down the
performance of these funds. Additionally, closed-end funds are
not able to mobilise fresh inflows, and with the markets crashing,
they may have to stay invested in stocks and so many aren't able
to buy them at lower prices.
The New Rules
Meanwhile, some of the market men opine that the new rules governing
closed- and open-end funds have prodded many fund houses to come
out with a closed-end fund. Closed-end funds are allowed to amortise
the initial issue expenses-to a maximum of 6 per cent-over the
tenure of the fund. This does not impact the NAV (net asset value)
of the fund immediately. On the other hand, open-end funds have
to immediately account for the issue expenses. This reduces the
initial NAV expenses of 6 per cent. Says one market observer:
"Fund houses seem to be taking advantage of the loophole
in SEBI's guidelines for rationalisation of initial issue expenses."
Besides, marketing and other expenses are connected with sales
and distribution of schemes from the entry load (that's 2.25 per
cent) and not through the initial issue expenses. "Huge costs
involved during exit has made it difficult for us to sell closed-end
funds," said a distributor in Mumbai.
One can argue that equity linked saving schemes (ELSS is the
most preferred among closed-end funds) give the investor the benefit
of tax saving compared to open-end funds at a time when their
returns are almost similar. If the investor is unwilling to lock-in
his money for three-to-five years, it may certainly not be a good
idea to choose closed-end funds, when investors have about 500
open-end equity funds to choose from.
Besides, for those investors who want to redeem closed-end funds
before maturity, they will have to bear additional exit loads.
High exit loads are a deterrent to premature withdrawals, but
in a correcting market, it forces investors to stay put. Hence,
financial experts suggest going slow on a closed-end fund. Says
Rustagi: "Even though equity investment is for the long-term,
I would not like to advocate investors to go in for closed-end
funds as they aren't liquid and the costs involved for exiting
before maturity is more than open-end funds."
5 Ways To Manage Your EMI
As home loan interest rates rise, monthly
payments are getting costlier. How should you tackle it?
Clifford Alvares
It's more than two years since interest rates began moving upwards
and home buyers began coping with the rising rates. Interest rates
increased a whopping 27 per cent since the lows of October 2004,
when it touched 7.5 per cent, and with some banks even lower.
But now the cycle has turned a full circle. Floating rates are
hovering back at 11 per cent, back to levels about four years
ago, while the fixed rates have touched 12 per cent again. Everyone
you know is affected by the hike. Home buyers can't afford the
price tag, while sellers need to scale down their prices. But
for the millions who have taken a home loan, it's time to come
to terms with the new reality: learn the art of EMI management.
For starters, if you have a fixed-rate mortgage, there's nothing
to worry about. As your monthly outgoing is fixed at a certain
interest rate over the tenure of the loan, household budgets aren't
affected. Perhaps you can invest the money that you would have
otherwise paid in some financial instrument. But over the last
three years, as interest rates were falling, floating rates were
very popular among new home buyers-even now many borrowers are
opting for the floating rate loan. Therefore, with the interest
rates zooming higher, monthly outflows are skyrocketing. Let's
say, for instance, you bought a home in October 2004. The monthly
instalment on a Rs 50 lakh home loan at a rate of 7.5 per cent
was around Rs 40,278. With the rate zooming to around 11 per cent
(floating), the EMI has now shot up to Rs 51,609, an overall increase
of Rs 11,331. That's a tidy dent in the household budget.
The Rate Ahead
Perhaps the big question on the borrower's mind is whether the
interest rates will go up any more? With the country's biggest
mortgage player-ICICI Bank-raising its rates twice in the recent
past to 11 per cent (floating) and 12 per cent (fixed), it's unlikely
that there will be any further rate hikes in the immediate short
term. HDFC too has upped its floating rates to 10.25 per cent
(floating) from April 1, 2007. In the long term, however, the
rate environment remains unclear. Demand for credit is strong
at 30 per cent and inflation continues to spook the macroeconomy.
Until both these cool down, which seems unlikely as of now, the
rates are expected to stay put at these high levels, but may flatten
for now. Says Harsh Roongta of Apnaloan.com: "It's definitely
not going to come down in the very near term. Interest rates move
in cycles. At this point, the cycle is up, in the long term, the
cycle will turn."
The EMI Strategy
Don't shift to fixed yet: If you have a floating rate loan,
consider a few things. First, there's no need to panic. Says Roongta:
"There's no point in panicking, or shifting to fixed-rate
loans. There's a difference in spreads between fixed- and floating-rate
loans, which still make floating rates attractive."
Increase your EMI: Besides, most banks will not be upping your
real monthly outgo. That's because most of them prefer to increase
the tenure than make you rewrite your cheques again and do additional
paperwork. If you have a substantial outstanding pending, it will
increase your tenure considerably. Let's consider a home loan
at 9 per cent that has an EMI of Rs 900 per lakh for a 20-year
period. If the rate goes up to 10.25 per cent, and if the monthly
instalment has not been changed by the bank, you will have to
pay the same instalment for a whopping nine years and two months
more-that almost turns your 20-year loan to a 30-year one.
Therefore, if your rate has increased and your monthly instalment
is still the same, you should look at increasing your instalment
than pay the same for nine more years. It will also increase your
interest burden unnecessarily. If you think that interest rates
are going to come down, then you may want to continue at the older
instalment. But in the near future (6-12 months), rates are more
likely to remain steady.
Revert to vanilla loan: For others who have taken a flexi-instalment
plan or a rising EMI plan, it's best to revert to a normal home
loan strategy. A rising EMI plan only tends to postpone the payments,
and again, inflates the interest rate bill unnecessarily, and
floating rate borrowers will be harder hit if the rates rise any
further.
Make additional payments: For those who can afford to, you can
make additional payments or reduce the tenure of your loan. Try
to increase your monthly instalment by small amounts such as Rs
500 or Rs 1,000. For example, if you increase your monthly instalment
by Rs 1,000 every month on a Rs 50 lakh loan at 10 per cent per
annum, you save Rs 4,77,000 in interest costs and you will retire
your loan 1 year and 2 months earlier (see Can You Afford a House?).
Reduce your tenure: For those who can afford one more step forward,
try and get your home financier to reduce the home loan tenure.
Most housing finance companies offer a standard 20-year loan product-you
can try and get it down to, say, 15 years. For example, if you
borrow Rs 1 lakh for a period of 240 months (20 years) at 10.25
per cent per annum, your EMI works out to Rs 982. But if you reduce
the tenure to, say, 180 months (15 years), your EMI increases
to Rs 1,090, an increase of just Rs 108. While the EMI increases
marginally per lakh, it reduces the interest burden on the borrower.
In the same 15-year loan, the total interest costs decrease by
Rs 39,403. That may not seem like much savings, but the strategy
will free you of household debt burden five years earlier.
For the millions of floating rate borrowers, there's isn't much
sense to paying extra money in interest income. By using just
one or two of these methods you can save thousands or even tens
of thousands of rupees in the cost of your home loan.
Will The Tax Hurt?
Art prices have soared through the roof, but
will the new capital gains tax stem the rise?
Amit Mukherjee
Perhaps it's got nothing to do with the aesthetics or style
or the artist, but with the soaring art prices. In a move that
could temper the booming art world, Finance Minister P. Chidambaram
has amended the definition of 'capital asset' in the tax rules
to include "paintings, drawings, works of art, archaeological
collections and sculptures". Painters, art aficionados, hard-core
market pundits and gallery owners are speculating about the pros
and cons of the new capital gains tax. Some in the art fraternity
are unfazed, and others are cringing at the new tax slapped on
already rising prices.
"The art boom has reached a plateau and the recent move
may just aggravate the situation," says Anoop Kamath, Publisher
and Editor of Matters of Art. He says that the Indian art sector,
which is pegged at Rs 5,000 crore, and much of the organised market,
would get hit in a big way. The Budget says sale of art will be
taxed at the marginal rate-the income tax rate applicable to the
seller-if sold within three years, and at 20 per cent if held
over three years. The Budget does not list all the items that
make "art" but mentions drawings, paintings and sculpture.
Until now, art came under personal effects and was, therefore,
understood to be tax-free.
Art belonged to the private world of the rich and famous where
price was meaningless compared to the inherent aesthetic beauty.
Oil paintings, miniatures, abstract paintings were bought by the
big corporate czars and art collectors to adorn their houses.
Perhaps not any more. It seems trading in paintings and watercolours
have become a lucrative business on which collectors hope to make
a fast buck. With art prices soaring, some famous, and sometimes
upcoming, artists fetch prices much higher than their quoted prices
at auctions. "In the recent times, some of the works by artists
have appreciated almost three to four times over the base price
in auctions," Kamath admits.
But Alka Raghuvanshi, an independent curator and artist, says:
"I think the new move will put the trade into a more organised
shape." According to her, the market at the moment is unrealistic
and there is no basis for these sky-high prices and no structure
to the prices. Artists that barely begun to brush a few strokes
in the first year fetch Rs 90,000, and in the next year comes
a big leap where the base-price jumps to Rs 4 lakh. "This
defies all logic as there can be no justification to this,"
says Raghuvanshi.
This, together with huge demand and limited supply, has rapidly
raised the price of art, giving the government strong reason to
include its sale in the list of taxable income. "It is more
systematic growth of the market that one can look forward to,"
says Raghuvanshi. But others say that it was difficult to categorise
art as personal effect with the taxmen. "Most art investors
could not claim the work to be personal effect. Even if someone
had a genuine personal effect, it was very unlikely that the i-t
department would accept it, especially given that the amount it
fetches is huge," says Neville Tulli of Osian Art Gallery.
He is happy that art sale is now under the purview of capital
gains and the confusion has been done away with. "The new
transparency will help build a systematic industry for cultural
artefacts," Tulli says. But for the artists that's not such
welcome news. "Tax would discourage genuine buyers who are
passionate about art but find good art unaffordable," says
a young Delhi-based studio potter and sculptor. Now with the added
tax and vat slapped on it, it will just take art away from the
reach of the people, he adds.
Raghuvanshi admits the move might see a slide in the art market
but would definitely stabilise in the long run. Contrary to the
queries and apprehensions of many art collectors, there is no
proposal to tax the paintings that adorn the walls of your house
or other artworks. The tax kicks in only when you sell an artwork
and make a profit. What the Finance Minister has proposed is to
amend the definition of 'capital asset' in the tax rules to include
"paintings, drawings, works of art, archaeological collections
and sculptures", along with jewellery.
Even then, there are ways to reduce, and make your art sale
tax-efficient. Since it is a capital asset it will attract all
the benefits that go along with a capital asset. If a person sells
an artwork after three years from the date of purchase, the gains
will be taxed as long-term capital gains. The seller can claim
the benefits of indexation (which raises the purchase price by
the inflation rate), and reduce his tax incidence. Capital gains
will also get the benefit of full tax exemption under Sections
54ec. If you invest your long-term capital gains in NHAI/REC bonds
(54ec), you won't have to pay any tax on that part.
But for those who have been holding art for less than three
years, the surplus will be treated as short-term capital gains
and will be taxed at the rate of tax applicable to overall income.
Whether art prices will come down remains to be seen, but the
government's burgeoning tax revenues are surely headed higher.
TAX IMPACT ON
ART |
If you sell an artwork after
holding it for at least three years from the date of purchase,
your gains will be taxed as long-term capital gains.
The tax kicks in only when you sell an artwork and make
a profit. There's no levy on holding, only on sale.
Capital gains will also be entitled to the benefit of
full tax exemption under Sections 54EC or Section 54F.
No proposal to tax the paintings that adorn the walls
of your house or other artworks.
|
The Booming Demand
Art prices are soaring through the roof.
ARTIST: Sudhir Patwardhan
QUOTED PRICE: Rs 6,45,000-7,74,000
WINNING PRICE: Rs 14,34,050
ARTIST: Jayashree Chakravarty
QUOTED PRICE: Rs 4,50,000-5,50,000
WINNING PRICE: Rs 8,39,500
ARTIST: Akhilesh
QUOTED PRICE: Rs 4,00,000-5,00,000
WINNING PRICE: Rs 9,76,637
ARTIST: Chittrovanu Mazumdar
QUOTED PRICE: Rs 15,05,000-17,20,000
WINNING PRICE: Rs 34,86,225
|
NEWS ROUND-UP
Paul Mortimer-Lee/Global Head of Market Economics,
BNP Paribas, London
"India has made great strides in recent years"
Much of the questions in today's stock market focusses on what's
happening in the global markets. How much is India integrated
and how its economy will fare? How will the market perform in
the short-term? But Paul Mortimer-Lee, Global Head of Market Economics,
BNP Paribas, London, is fairly positive about India's long-term
growth. The recent wobbly market is due to unwinding of liquidity,
but much of what happens next depends on data from the global
economy, especially the us. In a conversation with Clifford Alvares,
he outlines the risks Indian markets face. Excerpts.
On interest rates
We believe that the us Federal Reserve will start cutting interest
rates aggressively starting May or June. We see that the quit
rate (people quit their existing jobs, if they are confident of
getting another) are falling. So it elbows down to continuing
activity below potential, unemployment rising and a squeeze on
profit margins. The Fed is not worried that the inflation rate
will go up, but they are more worried that may be it won't come
down as quickly as it had hoped. People from Washington have been
talking on financial stability and that could mean that the cutting
cycle will start earlier than we expect.
On implications for India
The US consumer has been the consumer of last resort. If us
consumption and investments slow down, you have knock-down effects
elsewhere. You have seen that the Indian stock market has reacted
quite violently, it's lost more than the s&p Index and that's
because we have seen an increased distaste for risk, or less appetite
for risk. It will have an impact on the inflows into the foreign
reserves of India. rbi is trying to moderate the appreciation
of the exchange rate because of the capital flows. That has led
to very fast monetary growth in India, and that's why you have
had higher industrial production, faster gdp and a rising inflation
rate.
If the inflows slow down, it will slow the growth in the economy.
It won't do much to reign in inflation soon, but eventually it
will do so. Slower growth is what you should expect because of
the change in the capital markets. Risky assets will become cheaper
as banks become more cautious in their attitude to lending. So,
in a way, you will see a tightening of credit standards globally.
On the yen carry trade
People borrowed in low-yielding currencies particularly the
Japanese yen or in currencies which two or three weeks ago they
thought could only depreciate, but now, the volatility of some
of the markets, the increased risks if you like, is making people
liquidate some of their assets. The availability of cheap funds
has been very important to many assets and valuations, and the
Bank of Japan is withdrawing some of that. And it may continue
to liquidate positions.
One thing is certain: when volatility in financial markets is
very low, people take more risks and borrow more in order to take
that risk. Now, volatility has increased and people stand to make
bigger losses on their existing positions; so the natural thing
to do is to take less risks. That's why, although the markets
have come off their highs, the fall is not massive. It's a scaling
back of positions. Whether it will get worse is difficult to predict,
but we are not finished yet. I will be pretty cautious. My attitude
to the market is: I don't want to catch a falling knife.
On India's long-term future
I haven't talked to anybody who is not positive on India's long-term
future. There are question marks about inflation, which may make
people a little bit more risk-averse and price-earnings ratios
don't make the Indian market look the cheapest in the emerging
market universe. Then, you have had a Budget about which people
have had mixed reactions, so I think India will continue to suffer
in the short term. There may be short-term slowdown in demand
from the global economy. The global economy will grow slower this
year and that will affect everybody, including India. But what
determines whether a country does well or badly in the longer
term is the supply dynamism of the economy and there, India has
made great strides in recent years. Supply is expanding India's
comparative advantages in certain sectors and that will continue
over time. I am positive on the longer-term.
Dividend Bonanza
The increase in dividend distribution tax means investors get
an early bonanza in their hands.
Shareholders in many companies are due for a dividend bonanza.
More companies are rushing to pay dividends before the financial
year ends. With the Finance Minister increasing the dividend distribution
tax from 12.5 per cent to 15 per cent, which is applicable from
April 1, 2007, the move is expected to result in substantial savings
for the companies. Already, a host of companies have announced
interim dividends. Among them are blue chips like Reliance Industries,
Hindustan Unilever, Mahindra & Mahindra and Grasim Industries.
Other mid-sized companies like Sun Pharmaceuticals, TV 18, Colgate,
too, have announced similar plans.
The move comes on the back of the government's proposal to increase
dividend distribution tax (DDT). As of now, the effective DDT
of 12.5 per cent works out to 14.03 per cent after surcharge and
education cess is added. But with the increase in dividend distribution
tax to 15 per cent, the addition of surcharge and education cess
results in an effective tax rate of 17 per cent. Some of the companies
that pay huge dividends to their shareholders will save a bundle
by paying dividends early, as it will result in savings of the
dividend distribution tax. ONGC paid the highest dividend last
year of Rs 6,416.71 crore, followed by NTPC (Rs 2,308.7 crore)
and Indian Oil Corporation (Rs 1,460.02 crore).
However, the dividend is tax free in the hands of shareholders.
P. Chidambaram had in an earlier Budget exempted equity dividends
from tax and introduced dividend distribution tax instead. For
investors, it's a welcome windfall.
-Clifford Alvares
Multiple Fund Managers
Optimix launches a fund with a difference-one where other fund
houses will provide advice.
Fund house optimix has launched a new multi-manager equity fund
called Manage the Manager. Like every other fund, the primary
objective is to provide long-term capital appreciation by investing
predominantly in equity and equity-related securities. However,
a panel of third party investment advisors comprising fund managers
of various empanelled mutual funds or a portfolio management service
will provide the investment advice.
Says Mugunthan Siva, CIO, Optimix: "Unlike the concept
of star fund manager, we are trying to reach the sky by seeking
advice from experts." Optimix will identify the sectors,
while external fund managers will do the stock picking. If Optimix
likes the construction sector, it can mandate a fund house, say,
Templeton to choose construction stocks, which Optimix will buy.
Optimix will build a portfolio from these recommendations. "It's
basically a high volumes and low-margin fund," says Siva,
adding that the mutual fund will pay the fund manager a fee for
his advice, after deducting the AMC's administrative cost.
An open-ended diversified equity scheme, the fund opened for
subscription on March 7, 2007 and will close on March 30, 2007.
During the NFO, the units will be offered at the face value of
Rs 10 per unit with minimum investment of Rs 5,000. However, the
entry load will be 2.50 per cent for applications below Rs 5 crore
and nil for applications of Rs 5 crore and above. The scheme doesn't
levy any exit load and offers two options to the investor-dividend
and growth, and its performance is benchmarked to S&P CNX
Nifty.
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