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Bollywood @ Pravasi Bharatiya Divas:
Surely, a tinsel-lure can reel in all those NRI greenbacks,
or can it? |
They
descended upon New Delhi in strength- some 1,200 of them from 40
countries. They grilled our politicians, danced with our film stars,
looked up long-lost family, and networked amongst themselves.
And then, when it was all over, they went back.
The Indian government sponsored Pravasi Bharatiya
Divas (Non-Resident Indian Day)-the State spent around Rs 12 crore
on the three-day event-was a pleasant diversion for NRIs. And New
Delhi's expectation that striking the right nationalistic chord
with the 20-million strong Indian Diaspora would open up the floodgates
of NRI-investment remained just that, a possibility and (we can't
resist getting semantic with math here) one with very low probability.
Prime Minister Atal Bihari
Vajpayee was there, as was his deputy L.K. Advani, Finance Minister
Jaswant Singh, and a clutch of other heavies, manifestations of
the great Indian hope that NRIs, like the overseas Chinese would
pump greenbacks into the motherland, transforming it into a global
economic powerhouse. Commerce-Minister-in-absence Murasoli Maran's
futile experiments to create China-style Special Economic Zones
should have warned the government about blindly aping the country,
but money, especially the dollar variety, apart from making the
world go round, also makes everyone blind to everything else. And
so, buoyed by a report prepared by the ever-sanguine L.M. Singhvi,
India's former ambassador to the UK, that estimates overseas Chinese
have invested close to $40 billion (Rs 1,92,000 crore) in China
since 1995, the government plunged ahead with its show.
When Will The Worm Turn? |
YEAR
|
|
NRI INVESTMENT
(in million dollars)
|
1996-97 |
|
135
|
1997-99 |
|
241
|
1998-99 |
|
62
|
1999-00 |
|
84
|
2000-01 |
|
67
|
2001-02 |
|
35
|
Source: Tata Economic Services |
Pravasi... will likely not fetch the returns
expected of it, or anywhere close to it. China succeeded in attracting
investments from overseas Chinese on the basis of policies that
made it attractive for foreign companies to invest in the country.
"India will have to undertake major political, administrative,
and judicial reforms," explains Sam Pitroda, Chairman, World
Tel, "if it wants to tap its NRI network like China did."
The cold calculus of business doesn't recognise sentiment: to expect
NRIs to invest in India simply because it is their country of origin
is downright stupid; the community will invest in the country if
the risk-reward equation is favourable. If it isn't, they'll seek
better avenues. "The investment climate is just not there in
India," sums up Pitroda, "but it is changing for the better."
Hong Kong's Hari N. Harilela is unwilling to
give the country-it has just honoured him with a Pravasi Bharatiya
Samman award, presumably as a sweetener-even that. "I have
been struggling to enter the Indian market,'' says the 77-year-old
hotel magnate who runs a $1-billion business, "but the red
tape has always posed a hurdle." "If you want to do something
in China it can be done within a week; in India it takes a couple
of months, if not a couple of years.''
Still, retrograde policies aren't the only
reason why India will find it far more difficult than its neighbour
to the north to attract investments from its own. There's history
for one. When the Communists came to power in China, the rich fled.
They flourished in other parts of the world and were ready to shower
their munificence once it was clear that China was not opposed to
capitalism. India's first wave of people-exports took the form of
migrant labour. "The rich Non-Resident Indian entrepreneur
is still a relatively recent phenomenon," says Aman Mehta,
CEO, HSBC Bank. "It will take some time before the genus starts
investing in India.'' Even then, cautions Mehta, "poor quality
infrastructure, inadequate regulations, inflexible labour laws,
and inefficient administration could pose a deterrent."
The refrain from NRI Inc is predictable: don't
give us special privileges; overhaul existing policies to make investments,
not just by NRIs but others too, easy. Karan Bilimoria, CEO of the
$50-million (Rs 240 crore) Cobra Beer Ltd, has been working to open
a brewery in Hyderabad these past seven months. "I don't want
any special favours," he complains, "just a conducive
environment for business." In the final reckoning, India's
inability to provide that may mean NRI money remains where it does
its possessors the most good, outside India.
-Ashish Gupta
STATIC
The Big Five
Five things that could hamstring Indian telecom
in 2003.
The I factor: Interconnect, the ability
of networks to connect with each other, remains an issue with companies
using it as a bargaining tool and an entry barrier to competition.
When will the Verma turn: No one quite
knows when the telecom regulator, and its Chairman M.S. Verma will
get down to ensuring free and fair competition.
The Big M: Growth requires capital investment.
Falling revenues per user, the state of D-street, and a 49 per cent
cap on foreign investment mean equity is out.
Policy Blues: The telecom minister's
musings on the number of operators per circle, a new licence fee
regime, and a unified licence ensure that things remain fluid and
ambiguous.
Us & Them: Fine, BSNL is a corporate
entity but it and twin MTNL seem to benefit most from most policy
decisions; the government owns and runs both, you see.
-Vandana Gombar
KLEINONOMICS
When Good Firms Don't Get The Right Logos
Don't blame the competition or the environment
for your company's woes, says a London-based new-age consultant.
Blame your company's logo.
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Vforsee's Rao: Logo-logic |
And we thought
Arvind Mills' woes had to do with its decision to increase denim
capacity at a time when the world was going cold on the fabric.
Now we are told-by astro-vaastu consultant Ravi Rao-that the real
culprit was its logo. Rao, whose company Vforsee (its phonetic stupid)
provides a touchy-feely Feng Shui meets brand management kind of
service to companies that want to get their logo right. "Do
that and your business will flourish," says Rao. His logic:
a harmonious-his word, not ours-logo maximises the brand's energy;
the colour indicates life and health of the company; and the shape,
its performance. Rao brandishes a template that seems to owe more
to retro-fitting than any scientific soothsaying ability. Silver,
blue and red for auto company logos; blue and green for banks; blue
and red for telcos; blue for infotech companies; and yellow, blue,
and red for entertainment and media firms. Green and pink, explains
Rao, offering some empirical evidence, block energy and two airlines
with these colours in their logo-NEPC and East West-were grounded.
And Thums Up, he adds, has done well after some blue was injected
into its logo. "Altering or fine-tuning the logo, according
to astro-vaastu principles, will swing the company's fortunes for
the better." A company's logo, its date of incorporation, its
first trade, the industry in which it operates, and planetary activity,
when seen together boasts Rao, give a glimpse of its past, present,
and future. His favourite logos: Microsoft, Mercedes Benz, and HSBC.
They rock, but is it because of a-v?
-Roshni Jayakar
ONEUPMANSHIP
A Master Arbitrageur's Play
A southern entrepreneur takes a leaf out of
Reliance Infocomm's combative pricing strategy and hopes to do one
better. But will customers bite?
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RIL's Mukesh Ambani (L) and Aircel's
C 'Siva' Sivasankaran: The Price Players |
Sentiment,
goes the buzz in the telecom industry, not business logic was behind
Reliance Infocomm's December 28 (it was the 70th birth anniversary
of patriarch Dhirubhai Ambani) launch. And even as the company is
striving to iron out the kinks in its marketing system and raise
an estimated Rs 10,000 crore from bookings, a southern entrepreneur
has gone ahead and unveiled a customer package that is one better.
The man is C. Sivasankaran, aka Siva, and he
is variously known for being the first to launch inexpensive PCs
in India way back in the late 1980s (Siva pc was the brand), buying
a bankrupt M.C. Hammer's Fremont ranch in the mid-1990s, or being
right in the middle of the battle for the control of Tamil Nadu
Mercantile Bank. Siva, a Fremont-based NRI some of whose acolytes
dub him "the southern Ambani", owns and runs telco Aircel
that offers cellular services in the Tamil Nadu circle. The company
recently announced that in return for an upfront payment of Rs 19,500,
subscribers could avail 1,200 minutes of free outgoing airtime a
month for the next five years; all incoming calls, it further announced,
would be free and customers exceeding their quota would be charged
a nominal Rs 1.20 for a three-minute call. Siva's masterstroke:
subscribers will receive, at the end of the five-year period, a
maximum of Rs 20,400 in cash, calculated on the basis of a rather
complex mathematical formula. "I want to make people talk,"
says Siva. "The more they talk, the more I reward.''
Aircel has 2.35 lakh subscribers in Tamil Nadu,
a marketshare of 50 per cent, average talk-time of 800 minutes,
the highest for any telco in India, and made a net profit of Rs
40 crore in 2001-02-a success that can be largely attributed to
Siva's decision to match bsnl's fixed-line tariff of Rs 1.20 for
a three-minute call. "We made good money last year and would
like to pass some on to our customers," says Siva striking
a populist note. The competition isn't impressed. "It remains
to be seen if customers can be tied down for five years," says
Subir Ghosh, Deputy Chief Operating Officer of BPL Cellular Ltd,
one of Aircel's competitors. The southern Ambani thinks they can.
-Nitya Varadarajan
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