|  It 
              is early afternoon of a hotter-than-normal late-April day in Delhi 
              and this correspondent has been led into a Reliance Infocomm warehouse 
              by Mr X. There, sweating in the 40 degree Celsius-plus heat, are 
              hundreds of thousands of CDMA phones that should have been, had 
              the company had its way, been sold a long time ago. The initial 
              plan, Mr X tells me, was to retail over 5 million handsets over 
              a two-month period. In reality, he adds, the company hasn't activated 
              more than five lakh subscriptions.   A few days later, on the last day of April, 
              this correspondent receives a release from Reliance Infocomm announcing 
              its "commercial launch" in "92 cities". "The 
              Reliance IndiaMobile service has created a new benchmark in customer 
              acquisition in the communications industry by signing up over one 
              million customers in just 10 weeks of opening its offer only (sic) 
              from 111 cities," it proudly proclaims.   So, what is the true story of a service that 
              has thus far seen three launches-a commemorative one on the eve 
              of the birth anniversary of the late Dhirubhai Ambani on December 
              27, an official one when the company started accepting applications 
              on February 6, and now, a commercial launch on May 1-and countless 
              SMS jokes (haven't you received one yet, Constant Reader?). No one 
              knows. All that is known is that Reliance IndiaMobile went wrong 
              with its pricing-, distribution-, and marketing-strategy, all of 
              which are now being redrawn. And oh yes, the executive team in charge 
              of India's most audacious telecom gambit has been rehauled. Beyond 
              a few public announcements concerning these, and a rather self-laudatory 
              press release, the company isn't saying much. "Our target is 
              to acquire 15 per cent to 20 per cent of the growing mobile telephony 
              market," says a spokesperson, "and we are well on course 
              to achieving our targets." 
               
                | RELIANCE INFOCOMM: WHAT'S 
                  HOT, WHAT'S NOT |   
                | What's Hot |   
                | » There's 
                  an increase in the 2-phone, CDMA+ GSM trend »  Reliance 
                  is entering the prepaid market, which accounts for 70 per cent 
                  of the whole
 »  There's 
                  an increased data-on-mobile consumption
 »  The company 
                  could soon move to a full mobility licence through a convergence 
                  legislation
 |   
                | What's Not |  
                | » Its 
                  service is still limited: 92 cities against a target of 673 »  There 
                  is regulatory uncertainty on roaming, messaging, and tariffs
 »  The company 
                  still has to address the retail challenge
 »  Problems 
                  with its launch strategy (like bouncing post-dated cheques) 
                  are just coming home to roost
 |  What Went Wrong?   It should have been easy for a behemoth like 
              Reliance to take the telecom space by storm (as an article in this 
              magazine suggested it would in January; See In The Line Of Fire, 
              BT, January 5, 2003). India's cellular market alone grows by almost 
              a million subscribers a month. Then, there's the opportunity presented 
              by customer churn-an average of 15 per cent for most players. If 
              Reliance couldn't do it, blame, or some part of it, must go to its 
              choice of channels. It was good of the company to launch a Dhirubhai 
              Ambani Entrepreneurs programme that would make people rich (at the 
              least, moderately well off) selling Reliance IndiaMobile connections. 
              But it didn't work. Nor did potential customers like the fact that 
              they would have to pay, wait two weeks, and then receive an activated 
              phone.   The company has addressed this by simply doing 
              away with its DAE programme. In came Reliance-owned stores branded 
              Webworld. Already 100 of these stores are up and running and another 
              150 will open doors by the end of May. The retail experience on 
              offer at Webworlds is better than having to deal with small-time 
              real-estate agents turned DAEs and any glitches (there are some; 
              See A Question Of Reliability) can be put down more to teething 
              troubles than a strategic mistake. Like many I-told-you-so analysts 
              swore, the company's lack of retail experience did tell, but the 
              Webworlds-Reliance Infocomm plans a network of at least 686-should 
              help.   What should worry Reliance execs more is the 
              fact that interconnect problems-they have since been sorted out-and 
              the buzz about the service's quality (one irate customer claimed 
              he had to dial five times to call numbers on other networks). Courtesy 
              this bad word of mouth, customers, especially corporates that had 
              promised to buy IndiaMobile connections by the hundreds remained 
              content to buy a few, or none at all. And tariffs, the differentiator 
              that the company thought would encourage defections galore from 
              other networks have failed to work their magic: India's cellular 
              industry has proved adept at slashing tariffs.  
              
                |  |   
                | RIL's Mukesh Ambani: Second-time lucky? |  Worse, there are regulatory question marks over 
              IndiaMobile's tariffs, and its ability to offer roaming and messaging 
              services. "IndiaMobile customers can send and receive SMS messages 
              to and from GSM phones," says Reliance's spokesperson. "This 
              facility is under test and is likely to be operational any day now." 
              Even after the commercial launch, the company is in the regulator's 
              dock, answering questions on how it can offer calls at Rs 0.40 per 
              minute to anywhere in the country.   The Back-end To The Rescue  Still, it won't do to write off Reliance Infocomm. 
              The company has re-engineered its distribution and marketing efforts. 
              It has also bid goodbye to its Head of Marketing Amit Bose. Reports 
              say that the business will now be spearheaded by a 10-member A-team 
              that will include Manoj Modi, Hitel Meswani, Nikhil Meswani, B.D. 
              Khurana, Akhil Gupta, and Prakash Bajpai.   The company has rationalised its pricing strategy, 
              reducing the entry cost. In addition to the option of making a down 
              payment of Rs 21,000 for a three-year period or an upfront payment 
              of Rs 3,000 along with post-dated cheques worth Rs 21,600, you can 
              now make a down payment of Rs 6,350 and be billed Rs 500 every month 
              (for 400 minutes), or just pay Rs 3,350 and be billed Rs 600 (for 
              400 minutes).  
               
                | A Question Of Reliability A quick check of two Webworld stores shows 
                  that the Reliance retail experience is still not perfect.
 |   
                | Can I SMS to a GSM phone? WEBWORLD 1: From May 1, you can.
 WEBWORLD 2: You cannot. The regulator 
                  has disallowed it but it will be sorted out soon
  What is the data speed on this phone?WEBWORLD 1: 144 kilo bits 
                    per second
 WEBWORLD 2: 20 kilo bits per second 
                    today but this will increase to 144 kbps latest by October.
  Can I order the just launched colour Samsung and LG colour 
                    handsets?WEBWORLD 1: You can get it 
                    in 15 days.
 WEBWORLD 2: It may be available 
                    in 7 days.
  Hasn't the regulator disallowed roaming outside Delhi 
                    to surrounding cities like Gurgaon, Faridabad and Noida?WEBWORLD 1: We are offering it.
 WEBWORLD 2: We will soon extend 
                    the call-handover to other cities too.
 |  And as even its die-hard detractors will be 
              forced to admit, Reliance Infocomm has an impressive back-end ready 
              to pipe data at furious speeds. "CDMA is much more efficient 
              in terms of data handling than GSM,'' points out V. Shekhar Awasthy, 
              a Delhi-based telecom analyst with IDC India. Reliance is getting 
              ready to leverage this functionality by launching, according to 
              its spokesperson, "city guides, online gaming, and transaction-based 
              services."   A high-speed data service will help the company 
              crack the enterprise market as well. Scheduled to be served up by 
              October of this year, the Reliance Enterprise Express Netway aims 
              to provide high speeds through its terabit capacity optic fibre 
              network, some 60,000 kilometres of which has been laid and lit. 
                The enterprise segment accounts for 60 per 
              cent of the revenue of India's telcos, exhibit churn rates half 
              that in the retail segment, and boast customer acquisition costs 
              that are 25 per cent lower. As management consultancy McKinsey puts 
              it in one report, "this segment (in India) is currently underserved...therefore, 
              it presents significant potential."   To tap this potential, Reliance will have to 
              compete with an emerging clutch of heavyweights: a born-again (and 
              aggressive) BSNL that has walked away with the honours for the telecom 
              launch of 2002, the Tata Group, which has created an entity called 
              Tata Enterprise Business Unit to target corporates, and Bharti. 
              And the company will also have to go up against the likes of Sify, 
              India's leading corporate internet access provider.   In December 2002, when Reliance Infocomm unveiled 
              its service with a cloudburst of publicity, the company may have 
              thought that it would take the Indian market by storm. That hasn't 
              happened. But the education of Reliance Infocomm could prove costly 
              for the competition. There is a sense of that happening in the market 
              already. For one, the jokes about IndiaMobile have dried up.  |