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When
49-year-old Pradeep Sindhu quit his job at rarefied tech ivory-tower
Xerox PARC and founded Juniper Networks, most people didn't give
the company, or his future as an entrepreneur any chance. After
all, Sindhu, an alumnus of Indian Institute of Technology, Kanpur,
and Carnegie Mellon's School of Computer Sciences, was a technologist,
not a businessman, and Juniper was going head-to-head with networking
Goliath Cisco. Still, Juniper's tech-promise attracted fellow IIT-K
alum and, arguably, the US venture capitalist with the best record,
Vinod Khosla. Today, Juniper is a profitable (albeit, marginally
so, according to its results for the first quarter of 2003) entity
with a significant presence in the communications service provider
market, and Sindhu, its CTO. Did he feel a pang when giving up his
post as CEO after seven months of the company's existence? Not at
all, claims Sindhu who was in India recently. He knew he didn't
have what it took. Excerpts from an interview with Business
Today's R. Sukumar.
Juniper was always considered the one company
that could give Cisco a run for its money. Has it lived up to that
promise?
The only thing I care to live up to is not whether
I give Cisco a run for its money but whether we satisfy customers-service
providers. We have been, historically, and stay today, the only
company that has focused singularly on the service provider segment.
All of our competitors who play in that space have other fish to
fry, and bigger fish to fry. Our success comes from that focus.
We understand the problems service providers have, we build technologies
to specifically solve those problems, and use the feedback from
the deployment of that technology to build things for the future.
The past couple of years haven't been very
good for service providers. The Indian telecommunications market
has grown, but telcos in the US and Europe have not done too well.
Has that affected your business? Are telcos open to investing in
upgrading or expanding their networks today? To us it looks like
all they are interested in now is consolidation
My view is that the right way to look at the
service provider market is to take a longer-term view. And if you
do that, there is no question that at the end of the day there will
be a single consolidated technology used to carry all communication.
There is also no question that this technology will be based on
ip. I think what you saw happen during the bubble and the effect
of it is normal given the fact that the technology we are dealing
with is not that old. And when things grow very rapidly they are
difficult to manage.
That business model had, in some cases, too
much optimism. (It involved) in some cases, spending money on infrastructure
that wasn't able to give back returns in a timely way-for example
3g and 3g licences. Lots of companies spent money on that without
seeing the commensurate return. This is more in Europe. In the US,
what people did was, they overspent on the bottom layers of the
infrastructure used for communication-the optical layer.
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"The right way to look at
the service provider market is to take a longer-term view" |
The fact is, if you want to have the service
provider serve their customer you need to build the network in a
balanced manner. This includes not just optical gear but the infrastructure
on top of that so that you can add value and you can solve your
customer's problems in a cost effective way. All those chickens
are now coming home to roost and I suspect that much of that consolidation
you mentioned is well into its way to happening.
The interesting thing to note is that throughout
this difficult period, the rate of growth of bandwidth hasn't slowed
down-even in the worst of times it was 80 per cent a year. That,
to me, says that there is huge demand value for the technology that
Juniper supplies. The issue that is before the telecom industry
is that earnings are not growing at the same rate. That's the thing
that needs to be fixed. Juniper has a very strong view on how that
can be done. The equipment that we have and the new model called
mint, a model for integrated network transformation, will allow
carriers to spend money on equipment in such a way that they can
actually become profitable and grow their earnings.
It is not anymore about just raw bandwidth and
moving boxes, although our competitors would love it to be so. It
is very important to us that our customers are successful, and the
only way they can be successful is if they are making money and
are profitable.
When do you see 3G rollouts starting to
happen?
That's a hard question to answer. There are
technologies other than 3g, like Wi-fi that are taking the sweet
spot. The kind of mobility that Wi-fi offers is very suited to computing.
With 3g there's still some distance between the promises that were
made and the delivery. Combine that with the fact that there is
no compelling application for data.... Once these applications come
about I have no doubt that 3g will be useful. The trouble that I
have is that I don't see the applications that drive the market.
Isn't that a problem with networks in general?
Lots of bandwidth and few killer-apps...
People have poured lot of money into the lower
layers of the network, the optical layer and the transmission layer.
Those layers are necessary but not sufficient. The value of a network
really comes from what I call any-to-any connectivity. No matter
where I am, I am able to access the information I want to access
as if I were right next to it.
It's a fact of communication that the value
of a network increases rapidly with the degree of connectivity.
By laying optical fibre here, there, and everywhere one doesn't
get that kind of any-to-any connectivity. That is provided by the
layer just on top, the data layer. That is provided by IP.
Historically-this is before Juniper arrived
on the scene-IP was still there but it was roughly chewing gum and
baling wire, which means it kind of worked. You could not simulate
the kind of applications enterprises needed for rock-solid connectivity.
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"It's difficult right now,
but technology will come back into fashion" |
Juniper has changed the industry by developing
equipment which is custom designed to solve the problem. You end
up with networks that are more reliable. You end up with networks
that are more secure. And you end up with networks that actually
make money.
So, while I agree with you that in the US people
spent a lot of money on the bottom layer, the notion that there
is plenty of bandwidth floating around of the useful kind, of the
any-to-any kind is not exactly true. That kind of bandwidth is pretty
scarce.
How do you look at India? One, as a market,
and two, as a resource base.
I have a special relationship with India. For
me it is very difficult to separate emotion from hard fact. Fortunately,
I think this is one case where the two are aligned. India is a potentially
large market for telecom-based solely on the numbers. It is also
a very fast growing market. And with deregulation happening, that
potential for growth is actually starting to be realised.
Within the company, there is actually a significant
percentage of people who are of Indian origin. We look at the talent
pool that exists in India as a potential for development, at some
point in the future. The talent pool is very large and impressive
and many global companies have exploited that to their benefit.
We have just started to be successful in India. We opened our office
in 2000 and have signed on 15-17 customers.
You founded Juniper in 1996. How easy would
it be doing that now?
I think it is very difficult for a new company
today to enter the service provider market. In a sense, the timing
for Juniper was very good. It came about at a time when there was
incredible hunger. Networks were literally melting. Things have
changed. The bar that a new company would have to overcome is a
lot higher. The equipment has improved from what it was. Plus, I
think, the carriers are not in a mode where they are willing to
experiment with lots and lots of things.
The optimism around technology has got dampened
a lot. That has made it much more difficult to start high technology
companies today. It's part of the cycle. My own view on technology
is to take the long-term (view). As long as you are solving interesting
business problems there will be value for that technology in the
long term. It's difficult right now, but technology will always
come back into fashion. For us (smiles) it never goes out of fashion.
This thing you mentioned about using technology
to solve business problems. Was that what was missing at your earlier
employer, Xerox PARC?
I had a lot of fun at Xerox. It was a wonderful
place- lots of very bright people. And lots of innovation happened
there. What was actually missing was the conduit from those ideas
to industrialising them. That step, in my own view, can only be
taken by people who invent the technology. You can't delegate that
industrialisation of an idea to some other person. Industrialising
an idea is as important as inventing it. Many people learn that
lesson at their own expense. If it is a really good idea, someone
else will capitalise on it. Perfect example: Ethernet, Windows-based
computing, laser printing, Adobe. There are so many ideas that came
out of PARC that Xerox, unfortunately for it, was not able to capitalise
on.
Do you think, then, that it is important
for inventors to have a strong business focus?
I think it is exceedingly important for inventors
to understand that business focus is necessary. It is not so important
for the individual to have a business background. Because if you
are smart, and you understand that you lack those capabilities,
you will ally yourself with people who have that capability.
That's what you have done, isn't it? You
do not have a business background...
I do not have a business background and people
had given me a zero chance of success because of that. But I clearly
understood that the idea needed to be successful from a business
standpoint. And where I did not have the capacities myself, I made
sure that I had people next to me who did.
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