Two
years ago around this time, ABB seemed on the verge of collapse.
Asbestos claims relating to its us subsidiary, Combustion Engineering,
were soaring (to a then projected $3 billion or Rs 14,400 crore
at the 2002 exchange rate); Percy Barnevik, its legendary CEO and
Chairman, long hailed as Europe's Jack Welch, had stepped down just
a year ago accepting blame for the company's poor performance (subsequently
ABB would move to recover part of the Swiss franc 148 million, or
Rs 429.2 crore at the then exchange rate, paid to Barnevik as his
retirement package), and a spate of poor acquisitions had left the
engineering giant groaning under a mountain-load of debt. But since
the middle of last year, things have been looking up for abb. First,
it won court approval in the us for a pre-packaged bankruptcy proposal
that restricts its asbestos liabilities to a little over a billion
dollars; then it managed to find buyers for its oil, gas and petrochem
business; and late last year also cleaned up its balance sheet.
Now focussed on just power and automation technologies, ABB seems
well into a turnaround. Its income from continuing operations almost
trebled to $142 million (Rs 639 crore) in the third quarter of 2004
compared to the same period the previous year, and revenues also
grew 13 per cent to $4.83 billion (Rs 21,735 crore). Will ABB's
turnaround hold? With Chairman and CEO Jurgen Dormann set to hand
over the CEO's job to Fred Kindle
starting January 1, the world is looking to the former Sulzer
CEO for answers. Recently in India, Kindle, 45, spoke to BT's
R. Sridharan on ABB's past and future.
Excerpts:
The last three years have been pretty tough
for ABB. But things seem to be looking up this year. What would
you attribute the upturn to and do you think ABB can sustain it?
Well, if you talk about an upturn, one has to
first analyse the reasons for the difficult moments or crisis in
the past. The root cause for the crisis was governance as opposed
to the regular operating business of power and automation technology,
which has always been sound. But we did have severe problems with
corporate governance; we had some strategic issues, we had some
wrong decisions taken with regard to the balance sheet, and in addition
to all that we had the asbestos issue. Those special effects combined
with the perfect storm of 2002 in the world economy. That's how
the crisis really erupted. If you look at what has happened in the
meantime, the top management under the leadership of Jurgen Dormann
has done really very well. The balance sheet has been cleaned up,
corporate governance has been brought up to par... actually, exemplary
board practices. The asbestos crisis has been more or less dealt
with (with the bankruptcy and district courts approving the plans),
and the performance of the two divisions has improved significantly.
In the past, ABB was often described as
a European company, but with an American style of management. What
kind of a management culture would you like ABB to have now?
|
The challenge is to organise your business
in such a way that it is flexible and can absorb future risks |
I wouldn't categorise it in terms of European
or American because different people understand the terms differently.
If you look at the 90s, ABB was a growth machine, but our operating
performance (in terms of profits) never excelled to the same extent.
At the end of the day, our aspiration, my aspiration, must be to
generate profitable growth, and not growth for growth's sake. If
I had to prioritise, choose between growing, say, by another 10
per cent and having one-and-a-half (percentage) operating margin
more, I would choose the latter. Because higher operating margins
will create the profit that will allow me to invest in, say, building
up ABB India or R&D.
Over the last two years, ABB has systematically
sold a whole lot of businesses. Now that the core focus is on power
and automation, what kind of a company would you like ABB to be?
The divestitures that you have mentioned were
necessary and well executed. Fact of the matter is that ABB was
probably a little too diversified and many things were never really
integrated. We have to execute well in order to get the benefits.
If you don't, you end up with a business that's too far-flung, and
benefits don't accrue to the bottom line. That was the situation
at abb. The management and the board, in their moment of crisis,
decided to focus it down to the core divisions of power and automation.
Looking into the future, we see a lot of growth
potential in those two divisions. Power technology is an obvious
example. If you look at India, for example, electricity and power
technology are the backbone of infrastructural development. If you
have a gap in that area, you won't get anywhere. The same can be
said of China. And in Europe and America, the infrastructure is
old and needs replacement. In automation, we cover a wide range
of products and have a solid growth in double digits. So there's
a lot of potential in that division too.
A lot of ABB's growth is coming from markets
like China, India and Latin America. But the problem is that their
growth tends to be uneven. How does ABB plan to cope with this?
The problem is that the world is increasingly
becoming less predictable. In a matter of four years (1998-2002),
we saw the world go from the exuberance of the dotcom era to a dismal,
desperate situation where there was gloom everywhere. I think the
future is much more stable than the past, but it would be naïve
to assume that the future is very predictable and you can come up
with concrete plans for the next seven to eight years. The challenge
is to organise your business in such a way that it is flexible and
can absorb some of these risks, some of this volatility. Part of
that is by diversifying into different markets, and the other part
is by diversifying the product range. So, focussed diversification
is what you should be looking at. The third thing is looking at
your business system and asking where can I swap fixed costs with
variable costs.
You have proved to be more conservative
in your market guidance than ABB's previous CEOs. Is that you or
is that what ABB needs at this time?
It is partly me and I am also convinced that
ABB needs to be a little more conservative at this time. In German
we have a saying: Do good and talk about it.
Some of the analyst reports paint you as
a ray of hope for ABB. Is that too dramatic a picture? How do you
react to it?
The people at the top do serve as catalysts
for change, but at the end of the day it's a team that pulls the
company forward. And the team includes everybody from the top to
the bottom. If I am successful, it will only be partly my own doing.
If I fail, I would have to take the majority of the blame because
the substance was good to start with.
|
India has profound engineering talent; it
would be a waste if we didn't take advantage of it |
You mentioned that you expect the asbestos
issue to be resolved favourably. But is ABB prepared to cope with
an adverse ruling?
I am confident that the ruling will be positive.
Even if it isn't, we will cope with it somehow. Let's face it, we
have put together a plan that has been approved by the bankruptcy
court and the district court. There were a few claimants, just a
few claimants, who wanted to go in for an appeal (at the Third District
Court in Philadelphia). That said, ABB today is in a very different
position than it was two years ago. Financially, we have a completely
different balance sheet, completely different operating performance.
That gives us enough breathing room to live with surprises, if there
were any.
ABB has this concept of a global factory.
What are the products that you think India can manufacture competitively?
Would it necessarily be low tech?
Not necessarily. When you speak of low tech,
you are actually talking of products that need to be cost competitive.
A company roughly has three ways on how it can compete-cost competitiveness,
innovation, or differentiation.
This is the Porterian framework (of Harvard
professor Michael Porter)...
No, I wouldn't even call it a framework. It
is simple logic. A company as big as ABB cannot afford to press
just one lever, or leverage point. We have to pull all three levers
at the same time. Coming to your question, you know, wherever the
cost punch is hitting you the most directly, you look for alternative
sources. So that's the first thing you think about when you look
at India.
But then again, India has such profound wealth
in engineering and technology talent, it would be a waste if we
didn't take advantage of that. We are now going to spend some $100
million (Rs 450 crore) over the next three years mainly on additional
manufacturing capacity so that we can introduce new products and
also expand the range of products that we already offer. That apart,
a year-and-a-half ago we set up the first corporate R&D centre
in India (in Bangalore). It currently employs about 100 people,
but in two years it could go up to 500. Next, there will be a build-up
of automation R&D, and an engineering support centre, also in
Bangalore. So, it is too narrow if we say that India is a great
place for low-cost manufacturing.
Any specific goals for ABB India?
Of course, we have always mid-term plans and
long-term plans, but we are following the wise habit of not publicly
disclosing them. We have very ambitious goals, and I am sure the
local team under Ravi Uppal will deliver them.
You did mention $1 billion in sales at one
of your news conferences...
Yes, I did mention it, but I specifically said
that don't classify it as a goal with a timeline. It would be great
if ABB India reached from $600 million (Rs 2,700 crore) to $1 billion
(Rs 4,500 crore)... it's a nice figure; it has a symbolic value.
Finally, earlier you spoke of focussed diversification.
I know your balance sheet and stock price don't allow it at the
moment, but are any acquisitions planned in India or elsewhere?
Diversification is actually a dangerous term
because it means losing focus, and many times it also means losing
performance, and that's the last thing we want. But in the next
12 months or so we would definitely work on smaller acquisitions,
say less than $100 million (Rs 450 crore). Medium to larger size,
we would wait for another 12 months until we have completely taken
control of the situation and established good growth. If you look
at the core divisions, maybe there are opportunities in India, but
it is up to the divisions to come forward with proposals. Personally,
I feel very attracted to the opportunity outside of Europe and North
America. If I think in the very long term, say 20 to 30 years, I
think there's some truth in the statement that if the 19th century
was a European one, the 20th an American one, then the 21st could
very well be Asian. If I had to make an investment with my own money,
I would look very carefully at the opportunities in India or China
than somewhere else. So that's something we have to look at from
the corporate point.
|