MARCH 3, 2002
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Stanley Fischer Unplugged
He has the rare distinction of having advised through the half-a-dozen economic crises of the 90s. But now economist Stanley Fischer is calling it quits at the International Monetary Fund, and joining Citicorp as Vice Chairman. In India recently, Fischer spoke on IMF, India, and the global recession.
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Getting The Inside Edge
What seem obvious gains from acquiring VSNL may not be that at all for the fund-awash Tatas.
Ratan Tata: He now has to hit the M&A trail

Ratan Tata needs to be careful. He has actually got what he had been seeking: Videsh Sanchar Nigam Ltd. And now the world is waiting to see what he does with it.

Unfortunately, some obvious advantages of bagging VSNL may not be advantages at all. The biggest of them is VSNL's debt-free balance sheet, which, given its listing at NYSE, can be leveraged to raise huge funds-some say as much as $1 billion-overnight.

The problem is, what will Tata do with the funds? He gets into domestic long distance by default as VSNL, the country's sole international operator till April this year, has been given a free DLD licence to compensate for the loss of its monopoly in the international long-distance telephony business ahead of schedule. VSNL's existing leased lines give it a headstart in DLD and telecom analysts are already counting Tata as the second DLD operator ahead of Bharti Telesonic.

  Turnaround Time
 
  David And Goliath  
  The ING Thrust  
  Biotech Build-up  
  Fifteen-Year Itch  

Capital isn't an issue with the Tata group. Its special purpose vehicle for buying into VSNL, Panatone Finvest, has been funded by Tata Sons, Tata Industries, Tata Power, and Tata Steel.

Sure, VSNL has over 250 bilateral agreements with global carriers. However, an overcapacity in the sector means global carriers will be happy to carry calls irrespective of who hands them over. Anyway, an ILD operator will need connectivity only to the US, West Asia, Europe, and South East Asia, which account for nearly all of India's overseas calls. And while vsnl's ILD infrastructure is impressive, it does not constitute an entry barrier: ILD business can literally be started in a basement. All it needs is a switch.

The biggest concern for the Tata group will be originating and terminating the long-distance calls that VSNL will carry. Its role as a carrier is limited to the fixed line operation in Andhra Pradesh and its presence in Birla-AT&T-Tata, which is merging with BPL Communication.

The merged entity will have expansive cellular operations covering-including the fourth cellular licences-Delhi, Mumbai, Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Goa, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, and Kerala. However, post-merger, the Tata group will have a mere 16.5 per cent of the equity, the same as the AV Birla group. AT&T, with 26 per cent, and BPL and its associates, with 24 per cent, seem set to dominate the show.

The group, therefore, needs to make the mega merger happen quickly and raise its presence by possibly buying the holding of the AV Birla group, which is understood to be waiting for a good price.

As Tata goes about doing all this, the last luxury he can afford is time. Going by estimates, it won't be more than a year before others offer ILD services. After winning the VSNL bid, Ratan Tata said the acquisition will help the group become a fully integrated telecom service provider. All we'd like to say is good luck. The group needs it.


TITAN
Turnaround Time
Titan turns around smartly by wiping out its first-half losses in the third quarter. But can the party continue?

Titan's Xerxes Desai: bidding adieu on a high

It might just prove to be a fitting farewell for Xerxes Desai, who is expected to step down as Managing Director of Titan Industries by March. At the end of the first half of the current year, the Bangalore-based company was showing a loss of Rs 6.48 crore on a turnover of Rs 242 crore.

The third quarter, however, was turnaround time- with Titan notching up a net profit of almost Rs 7 crore on sales of Rs 207.44 crore. Bhaskar Bhat, Titan's soft-spoken deputy managing director, who's tipped to succeed Desai spells out the turnaround trick. ''The festive season started in the third quarter and helped sales go up 29 per cent. Cost cutting measures helped."

Another factor contributing to the turnaround was that whilst the watches business grew by 17 per cent over the previous year's quarter, the jewellery business vaulted by 54 per cent. The Tanishq brand of jewellery contributed Rs 85.24 crore to the top-line last quarter.

Yet, the worry for Titan is that it is under threat in the higher-margin watches business (10 per cent, whilst in jewellery it is less than 5 per cent). At the lower end (watches under Rs 1,000), hmt, Maxima, and a host of unorganised players are nibbling at Titan's market. Even in the middle segment (Rs 1,000-Rs 4,000), where Titan boasts a 75 per cent-plus marketshare, Timex has been making inroads. At the top end, a number of players like Tissot, Raymond Weil, and Omega are proving worthy competitors to Titan. The third quarter might have seen Titan turn around, but festive seasons come only once a year. Will Desai's swansong-the fourth quarter-be as good?


BSNL & BHARTI TELESONIC
David And Goliath: The Wired Version
Who says BSNL is afraid of fair competition? IndiaOne thinks so.

N. Arjun, CEO, Bharti Telesonic

BSNL: As laid down in the licence, long-distance operators must connect to short-distance charge area (SDCA).

D.P.S Seth, CMD, BSNL

IndiaOne: There is no point in connecting to SDCA, which is needed only for intra-circle calls. The licence says intra-circle has to be done in tie-up with fixed-line operators.

BSNL: IndiaOne's operation should be put on hold until all issues related to billing, revenue sharing, and interconnection between the domestic long distance operator and the local access provider are sorted out.

IndiaOne: It is the usual reaction of an incumbent to delay the entry of other players in a demonopolising sector. Our operation cannot be stayed just like that. We have all the clearances.


VYSYA BANK
The ING Thrust
The Dutch financial major wants to increase its stake in Vysya Bank from 20 per cent to 49 per cent. Here's how, and why.

Vysya's K. Balasubra- manian: he'd like to do what's right by shareholders

Last fortnight, when the bank Brussels Lambert (bbl), a subsidiary of ING, informed the Bombay Stock Exchange that it was in talks to increase its holding in Vysya Bank from 20 per cent to 49 per cent, it was a first of sorts in the banking industry. ''We are keen that something gets finalised,'' says Bart Hellemans, DMD, Vysya bank, and ING representative on the board.

Currently, the GMR Group owns 23 per cent, International Finance Corp, 10 per cent, and the public and NRIs the rest. Investment banking sources reveal that BBL will make an open offer of Rs 225 per share (market price: Rs 190); Hellemans refuses to comment on the pricing.

That's the 'how' part of it. Here's the 'why': Vysya Bank, with 487 branches, is India's largest private sector bank in terms of assets and deposits. In the first nine months of the current year net profit doubled to Rs 58.59 crore. V. Raghunathan, President, who is tipped to take over as MD, adds that the focus is on making Vysya profitable.

That won't be easy. The CEO of a nationalised bank says: ''Vysya lacks a presence in retail lending, a growth segment.'' Hellemans points out that will change. But first, there's the minor issue of that stake.


Naidu: now, it's BT

BIOTECH BUILD-UP
Naidu ditches IT for BT. Surprised?

Hardsell isn't alien to Naidu; he persuaded Microsoft to set up its India Development Centre in Hyderabad in 1998, and aggressively pushed his e-governance initiatives. Now, he's moved on from it to BT. In the US to attend the World Economic Forum, N. Chandrababu Naidu took off to North Carolina for a visit to the Research Triangle Park and the North Carolina Biotechnology Centre. Armed with presentations aimed at stoking biotech start-ups at the newly-christened 600 sq km Genome Valley on the outskirts of Hyderabad, the cm did clinch a few MOUs. But MOUs on their own mean little, and that would depend on the way they're implemented. For now, though, the pitch has been set.


POLARIS
Fifteen-Year Itch
Will Polaris Software's biggest client, Citigroup, lean more on its own subsidiaries?

Polaris CMD Arun Jain

What happens when a highly successful marriage is interrupted by a third member-that too one from the family? This is the predicament of Polaris Software Labs. For 15 years Polaris has been gainfully wedded to Citigroup (revenue contribution: 35 per cent till December 2001). Now, OrbiTech, a Citi subsidiary, has entered the fray in India.

Polaris' CEO Arun Jain says the boards of Polaris and OrbiTech (formerly Citibank's it division) are working out how to add depth to the alliance.

Jain's logic is simple: Citigroup's exposure to India is barely $50 million. This is bound to grow. Besides, Polaris already gets 10 per cent of its revenues from OrbiTech.

Last quarter, Polaris bagged some prestigious contracts from Commerz Bank and AIG. This marriage, it would appear, is steady.

 

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