For some time
now, it's been one investment avenue that's been avoided like the
plague. Having scalded their fingers in the mid-nineties when property
prices came crashing down, eventually hitting rock-bottom in 1998,
you can't really blame investors for treating real estate as a highly
contagious disease. So if you're one of those who's been maintaining
a safe distance from builders and real estate brokers, well, we've
got news for you: There's money to be made from brick and mortar.
Maybe not a lot. Maybe not right away. But hey, it's a start.
The good news is that real estate prices are
as close as they could ever get to their bottom. After inching up
a wee-bit in 2000-01, prices of both residential property and commercial
property slipped by 3-4 per cent in 2001-02. In Mumbai, prime residential
rates fell from Rs 15,000 per sq feet in 2000-01 to Rs 14,500 per
sq feet last year. So for just Rs 12,240 per month, which is what
you will pay on a 15-year, Rs 10 lakh housing loan (at the current
rate of 12 per cent), you could be the proud owner of a two-bedroom
house worth Rs 16 lakh in the Western suburbs. It gets even better
in Delhi, where prime residential property rates have fallen from
Rs 5,500 per sq feet to Rs 5,200 per sq. feet and in Gurgaon to
Rs 1,150-1,200 per sq feet, which means that for Rs 12 lakh you
could get a comfortable home in the capital's suburbs. Says Akshaya
Kumar, Managing Director, Colliers Jardine: ''The big picture is
that the real estate markets are likely to be relatively flat for
the next few months, as there is enough supply coming in to keep
prices down.''
If you're looking to make some bucks by renting
out property, there's no time like now, what with rental yields
looking up. According to Knight Frank India, yields on residential
and commercial property in various cities range from 5 to 17 per
cent. Rentals have grown largely because of the influx of global
brands into the country. And don't forget the potential for capital
appreciation. Globally, the property market follows the stockmarket
with a three-to-six month time-lag. Given that the Indian bourses
are looking northwards, property prices too could move in that direction.
But don't expect prices to skyrocket in the short term.
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"Investment in a home provides a good
hedge against inflation"
Keki Mistry, Managing Director,
HDFC |
The biggest driver for real estate looking so
attractive these days is of course softer interest rates-on housing
loans they're down from 18.5 per cent some six years ago to 11.5-12
per cent. What's more, the fm for his part has been particularly
magnanimous in his last two Union Budgets, liberally doling out
sops to the housing sector. For instance, interest payments up to
Rs 1.5 lakh are exempt from taxable income and the principal payment
up to Rs 20,000 is eligible for exemption under Section 88 of the
it Act.
If you've decided to buy now, history too is
on your side. Even though real estate prices have been declining
since 1995, investments made in real estate have actually performed
much better than those in gold, silver, the stockmarkets, or even
US dollars. If you had invested Rs 10,000 into real estate in April
1992, it would have been worth Rs 36,562 last October. In comparison,
the other investments remained more or less stagnant (See How They
Compare). Says Ashok Kumar, Director, Insignia Brooke, a Hong Kong-based
real estate firm: ''Given the current market conditions, real estate
is a better and less risky investment.''
Part of the allure stems simply from the reduced
growth prospects in other investment alternatives. Says Pranay Vakil,
Managing Director, Knight Frank India: ''Buying property either
as an investor or as an end-user is an attractive proposition.''
Consider: Two years ago, while you got 12 per cent yield post-tax
on financial instruments, including bill discounting, rental yields
were in the 7-8 per cent range. So nobody bought property to rent
it out. Now, while the fixed deposits earn 8-9 per cent, property
yields have remained constant at 7-8 per cent.
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"Buying property either as an investor
or as an end-user is attractive"
Pranay Vakil, Managing Director,
Knight Frank India |
Meantime, the risk attached to renting property
has come down as well since, as Vakil points out, the chances of
property prices falling further are very remote. In fact, there
is a likelihood of prices inching upward to be inflation neutral.
That's why Keki Mistry, Managing Director, HDFC, feels: ''Investment
in a home provides a good hedge against inflation.''
Getting Started
So, if it still hasn't hit you, you are sitting
pretty in a buyer's market, and should grab the opportunity when
the going is good. Avers Niranjan Hiranandani, CEO, Hiranandani
Constructions: ''There couldn't have been a better time to buy a
house. Housing finance companies are running after you, there are
quality townships coming up with quality constructions, and there
is the advantage of supply.''
The timing may be perfect, but that doesn't
mean you should proceed with your eyes shut. You may decide to play
safe by buying a house in a distant suburb or a small town. That
will no doubt work out cheaper, but remember too that the scope
for appreciation is limited. On the other hand, if you are based
in a metro you may have to shell out a little more, but you could
also get a little extra when you sell.
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"There couldn't have been a better time
for a person to buy a house"
Niranjan Hiranandani, CEO, Hiranandani
Constructions |
There may be enough supply to keep prices under
pressure, but don't rule out the chances of selective increases
in pockets. That means if you're looking for appreciation, you have
to select the right city and the right suburb. For instance, the
Rs 30-35 lakh residential market in the suburban belt nationally
is buzzing with users buying for the long term. Some of the newer
areas in Mumbai, including Mindscape on Goregaon-Malad Link Road,
have witnessed price appreciation in the last couple of months,
and are protected against any fall. In Delhi, a number of executives
are likely to buy house property, especially in Gurgaon and Noida.
However, Pune is still witnessing an oversupply of residential property
and rental yields here are likely to remain low.
If you are a non-resident Indian (NRI), the
Union Budget has given you one more reason to buy real estate. NRIs
have now been allowed to repatriate in foreign currency their currency
earnings, such as rent, in India. What this means is that if a non-resident
Indian buys property in India, not only can he repatriate the rent,
he can also benefit from the depreciation of the rupee against the
dollar when taking a loan to buy property here. Says Kumar of Colliers
Jardine: ''NRIs can get a 2 per cent return on investment with almost
no risk by investing in leased out commercial property on a repatriable
basis.''
Take a tax break
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"Real estate markets are likely to be
relatively flat in the next few months"
Akshaya Kumar, Managing Director,
Colliers Jardine |
The tax breaks provided in the Union Budgets
are one of the best incentives for investing in a house because,
to put it simply, you could earn returns that are higher than your
borrowings. Here's how that works: Assume you take a 15-year, Rs
10 lakh housing loan at the current interest rate of 12 per cent.
Your monthly installment will work out to Rs 12,240, amounting to
Rs 146,880 per annum. After factoring in the tax benefits associated
with the loan repayment, and assuming that you are in the 30 per
cent income tax bracket, your effective interest rate will work
out to 7.78 per cent per annum.
Ergo, your cost of borrowing is 7.78 per cent,
and you don't need to be a wizard to earn higher returns than that
by putting your money in other avenues like mutual funds or bonds.
Most of these instruments offer rates in the 8-12.25 per cent range.
So it makes ample sense to borrow and buy into real estate, even
as you park your investible surplus in other avenues.
One word of warning: Prices and interest rates
may be attractive, but that in no way means there's a quick buck
to be made. Real estate, let's stress, is a long-term proposition,
and don't dream of taking home any easy money before a year (at
the least). But then, wouldn't that be worth the wait!
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