For
once they're united. Cable operators of all hues-Multi-Service Operators
(MSO) and Last Mile Operators (LMO)-are gung-ho about the move to
increase cable subscription charges from Rs 75-Rs 175 now to Rs
300 a month.
''Cable services in India were under-priced
all this while,'' says Sunil Khanna, CEO, Zee Turner, the country's
biggest MSO. He may be right: charges, even in Malaysia and Thailand
are 8-10 times what an average Indian pays for his bouquet of over
60 satellite channels.
If the
move won't hamper the growth of cable and satellite television in
a country where half of the 79 million-odd television-owning households
don't have cable, it is because the hike will come in phases (immediately
in big cities, where life without cable is unimaginable).
Even while MSOs like Zee Turner and In-Cable
move ahead on the rate hike, the government may push for the conditional
access system (CAS), where the subscriber gets and pays only for
select channels through a set-top box. CAS will mean amendments
to the Cable Television Networks (Regulation) Act, currently waiting
to be approved by the Cabinet. And even with CAS, there is a confusion
on who pays for the set-top box, the broadcaster, cable operator,
or the consumer. But with broadcasting and distribution interests
tied closely, it is a no-brainer as to who will be poorer.
-Vinod Mahanta
THE POWER
Light Knight
A secretive Indian
creates a chip that controls light. Could it launch the next Intel?
|
Jagdeep Singh: His company is worth about
$250 million |
He's
on the cover of red herring as one of the three founders of a company
proposed as the world's next Intel. His company, Infinera Networks,
has just made what is possibly the world's first integrated photonic
circuit. At 34, Jagdeep Singh's fourth company-he sold the first
two for a robust total of nearly $700 million-has already pulled
in $86 million in funding and is valued in these dismal times at
$250 million. To this son of a former Indian diplomat, the scale
of innovation makes the downturn irrelevant.
''Many of today's greatest companies were started
in recessionary times,'' Singh told BT from his base in Cupertino,
California. ''Technological innovation remains critically important
during these times.'' Singh, a serial entrepreneur known in Silicon
Valley for his secretive forays into high tech, is betting that
his photonic circuit-it uses light unlike other chips that work
with electrons-could cut communication costs for large networks
by half, at least. ''Innovation in the telecom industry in the boom
years focussed on capacity improvements," notes Singh. "Today,
it must focus on cost-reduction.'' The photonic circuit could provide
consumers with cheap, high-speed net access and perhaps spur the
development of devices capable of projecting free-standing holograms.
For now, it seems likely that Infinera's thumbnail-sized
chip-inscribed on a little-known material, indium phosphide-will
reduce complex, airconditioner-sized optical communications equipment
to the size of a pizza box. Infinera may or may not become the world's
next Intel, but Singh is now ensconced in the optical pantheon.
-Samar Halarnkar
Q&A-II
''Stem Cells Are Shaky Business''
|
Martin J. Evans |
Are stem cells-primordial cells that can
be crafted into any body tissue-really biotech's big thing? One
of the pioneers, Martin J. Evans, a Cardiff University
professor and a recipient of the Albert Lasker award (termed the
'American Nobel'), warns that companies out to do a grab-job on
the new biology will only delay research. He spoke to BT's E.
Kumar Sharma.
On the hype and the promise: At the
moment, all that we know is that embryonic stem cells are most important.
What worries me is the rapid sequestration of academic research
by private players. Companies want to grab biology too fast. They
want patents. You don't get good science this way. You will only
delay the whole process.
On a workable business model: It is
important to remember that it may take at least 10 years for this
to reach the mainstream medicine, though some venture capitalists
may want results in four-to-five years. And this process is also
going to involve huge investments in costly clinical trials.
On the way forward for India: There
is a good academic research base in India. What you probably need
to do now is to see the need for an ethical debate. Researchers
here must understand they will be better protected by proper legislation.
A few abuses could do a lot of damage. I personally think that it
will always be right to ban reproductive cloning and human genetic
manipulation.
BPL-TATA-BIRLA-AT&T
To Each His Own
The first signs of marital discord colour this
decade's biggest cellular-merger-to-be.
AT&T's think tank in Seattle has written
a letter to Prime Minister A.B. Vajpayee expressing concern over
the introduction of wireless-in-local-loop (will) telephony in India.
A.V. Birla group Chief Kumaramangalam Birla
is understood to have written several.
BPL Innovision Business Group CEO, Rajeev
Chandrasekhar has been spearheading cellular operators' case against
will before the Supreme Court.
Tata Teleservices Ltd (TTL) is launching
its will service in Delhi in September this year.
|
Ratan Tata at the April launch of Idea Cellular
Birla-Tata-AT&T's new avataar... |
|
..and at the 2000 announcement of the mega merger |
To put those developments
in perspective, the first three are anti-will, claiming that it
offers a back-door entry for basic telephony companies into cellular
telephony. The fourth is pro-will. And the four corporate entities
in question are part of the largest ever merger-to-be in Indian
telecom's limited history.
So, at a time when BPL-Birla-AT&T-Tata
will be launching GSM-based cellular services in Delhi, Tata Teleservices
(TTL) will launch its basic telephony service in the city on the
limited mobility plank. And if TTL manages to make a success of
its second attempt to merge with Hughes Tele.com, the fixed line
and will operator in Mumbai (BPL is the dominant cellular operator
here), things could get interesting.
The parties make all the right noises. Says
Birla-AT&T-Tata's acting CEO Sanjeev Aga: ''It is just a coincidence
that it's TTL. It could have been anyone.'' And TTL's Managing Director
S. Ramakrishnan maintains that ''there is only a 25 per cent overlap
in the target customer base''. He adds that there has been no contact
between TTL and Birla-AT&T-Tata on the issue. ''We are separate
companies.'' But dig deeper and you will find unadulterated vitriol.
''The Tatas need to figure out what their business plan is,'' says
an executive at one of the non-Tata constituents of the mega entity.
Tata execs point out that they have managed
the situation well enough in Andhra Pradesh, where TTL runs fixed-line
and will services and Birla-AT&T-Tata operates a cellular one.
They, however, steadfastly refused to discuss the issue of substitutability,
merely stating that GSM targets high-end users and will, low-end
ones. That's hardly surprising. An insider says the will vs GSM
issue hasn't yet been discussed by the four constituents of the
merger and adds, ruefully, ''how can we expect the government to
resolve an issue we can't get hold of ourselves?'' How indeed.
-Suveen K. Sinha
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES
Unofficial Secret
Should Reliance have been allowed to bid for
IPCL?
|
RIL's Mukesh and Anil Ambani: Beleguered |
This
piece isn't about the disinvestment of IPCL, the virtues (or the
lack of them) of the three candidates in the fray-IOC, Reliance,
and Nirma-or about how important it is for the three bidders. In
any case, as you might have realised by now, this was written before
the eventual winner was announced.
The 200-odd words that follow are all about
whether Reliance deserved to be in the fray for IPCL even after
some of its top officials were charged with violation of the Official
Secrets Act (many in business will dismiss the first two words of
that act as a cute oxymoron). ''There's little doubt that Reliance
should have been disqualified,'' says a Mumbai-based investment
banker, obviously wishing to stay anonymous. His contention: violation
of the Official Secrets Act is serious enough to call for disqualification,
not just from the race for IPCL but even for BPCL and HPCL in the
near future.
There are more than a few who share that view.
Disinvestment Secretary Pradip Baijal and Disinvestment Minister
Arun Shourie obviously thought differently. And it's difficult to
disagree with them. After all, charges are one thing, but proving
it in a court of law is another matter. Disqualification on those
grounds would be absurd. You then have to wonder what would have
happened to Sterlite (which has taken part in the disinvestment
exercise with plenty of gusto) if it wasn't allowed to enter the
race because of charges of share price manipulation slapped on it
by SEBI.
This is not an attempt to prove the innocence
of Reliance, Sterlite, or any other company in the race. The short-point
here is that if companies are going to be debarred from the disinvestment
marathon on the basis of charges filed, very soon we won't have
any pedigree players in the race (as happened in the case of Indian
Airlines), and Yashwant Sinha's disinvestment target will quietly
sail out of the window, yet again.
-Brian Carvalho
UNITED
BREWERIES
The Beer's Flat
UB's bad year could spoil the taste of Vijay
Mallya's victory in the Rajya Sabha elections.
UB's
larger than life chairman, Vijay Mallya may be living it up in his
new role as MP-the papers are full of his speech pulling up the
government for Gujarat, his travel schedule and the people who hitch
a ride with him, and details of what he does on weekends-but his
flagship UB's performance must be worrying the man just a little.
The beer major reported losses of Rs 57.9 crore
for 2001-02, a steep decline from its Rs 3.1 crore profit in 2001-02.
This, on a 11 per cent increase in the topline to Rs 369.29 crore.
UB's CFO and President Ravi Nedungadi brushes away the losses as
a result of ''the huge investments we made in the course of the
year in enhancing brewing capacities''.
In all fairness, UB did spend over Rs 100 crore
on acquisitions (GMR, Associated Distilleries, Mangalore Breweries,
Inertia) last fiscal. The acquisitions will kick in this year, promises
Nedungadi, making UB's financials look healthier.
Then, there's the Scottish and Newcastle deal-the
company was to pay Rs 250 crore for a 26 per cent stake in UB-which
should come through sometime this year. ''The legal minutiae is
being resolved,'' shrugs Nedungadi. Still, it isn't as if Mallya
doesn't know how to take the rough with the smooth.
-Venkatesha Babu
|