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BPL operates the only GPRS network in India
in the hope that financial applications, e-mail, and chat will
move to the mobile phone
R. Chandrasekhar, CEO, BPL Innovision |
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Bharti is happy with third-party content,
but has just launched a 32-bit SIM. Bharti's new networks are
GPRS-ready, but it wants to wait and watch
Sunil Mittal, Chairman, Bharti
Televentures |
Wireless
telephony's original killer-app, SMS (Short Messaging System), could,
surprise, surprise turn out to be the proverbial pot of gold at
the end of the rainbow. An estimated 33 lakh messages crowd the
airwaves around us. Picture that; even as you are reading this sentence
the air around you is packed with messages. You can't see them,
leave alone hear them, but someone is scheduling a dinner party,
someone else is catching up on the latest cricket scores, and a
few others are just chatting.
Seasoned telecom analysts will speak, at once
of the macro-"Data services is where the growth is," says
Birla-AT&T-Tata caretaker CEO Sanjeev Aga-and the micro; "With
GPRs coming in place and perhaps 3g happening sometime in future,
there will be a range of service providers taking internet offerings
to mobile internet,'' says Rajeev Chandrasekhar, CEO of BPL Innovision
Business Group.
Shorn of jargon, here is what is happening:
India has 6.5 million cellular subscribers who, between them, trade
in around 33 lakh messages a day. Messaging is bandwidth-efficient:
300 SMS can be fitted into the same bandwidth as one voice call.
And at Rs 1.50 to Rs 2 a pop, users don't really mind messaging.
As for operators, they could earn as much as Rs 600 (300 SMS messages)
instead of the Rs 10-20 they would have otherwise earned from a
voice call.
Maybe the content companies have just woken
up to the potential. Or maybe cellular operators are looking to
generate more revenues from their existing users. Whatever the reason,
a clutch of operators and content companies-and these are classic
content companies, not those spawned by the dotcom boom-are seeking
to leverage the data-services (read: messaging and content; that's
where it stands now) boom to their benefit.
There are Bennett, Coleman Company Limited
(BCCL), and The India Today Group (which owns Business Today) with
large pan-Indian content plays; Rediff with a rumoured co-branded
effort; BPL, with its next-gen GPRs (that stands for General Packet
Radio Switching and it essentially means a bigger, faster network
that offers an always-on internet facility) in Mumbai; Airtel and
Escotel with their 32-bit SIM cards; Hutch-Essar with its Telivoice-powered
voice-SMS; and Reliance with its hush-hush plans for data-services.
For content providers, the mobile presents
an opportunity the internet never did. India has 4 million internet
connections today; 20 million users. And no one really wants to
pay for anything on the net. In contrast, no one minds paying for
SMS and operators are open to sharing revenues with content providers-traffic
wouldn't have been generated without content.
MOVING ON FROM P2P
How messaging and data services will evolve. |
P2P (Peer-to-Peer)
SMS first caught on as a tool for peer-to-peer communication.
A primary reason for its popularity is that it costs only
Rs 1.50-2.00 to send one. A call, on the other hand, can cost
at least Rs 6-9 unless one is awfully particular about keeping
it short. Operators rake in 3-5 per cent of their revenues
through SMS even as it puts a light load on the network.
String
SMS
It is the primary tool now for accessing content. A user can
receive information by sending a keyword to a number (CRI
for cricket scores to 500 for Airtel users, for instance).
Operators and content aggregators have to figure out how to
keep the combined cost of sending the SMS and the price of
information low. 32-bit SIM's web-like experience makes it
more attractive.
Closed Garden
That is when a service is being provided exclusively to an
operator and it comes at a premium. Some operators are moving
to 32-bit SIM cards with an in-built menu so as to make this
easier for the customer.
Network
Independent
The trend today is towards third-party content that is network-independent.
It keeps cost low for the operator and revenues high for the
aggregator. The 32-bit cards help here too.
GPRS
General Packet Radio Switching, or simply, always-on internet.
Most operators are not sure the investment (BPL spent Rs 100
crore in Mumbai) can be justified at the moment, even though
most of the new networks being built are GPRS-ready. The available
applications leave a lot to be desired.
3G
The third-generation of mobile telephony enables multimedia
and internet at phenomenal speeds. Not a reality even in developed
markets; could take some time to hit the Indian shores
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Data services presents operators with an opportunity
to increase revenues from existing subscribers. And with voice tariffs
on a downward spiral the world over, it lends some solidity to their
revenues. "As the market grows, content becomes crucial,"
says Raj Singh of Active Media Technology, the company that has
provided the platform for India Today's 2424 (that's the number
you dial on the mobile) service.
Content Play
No revenue model could be more transparent.
Content drives a user to message, and the operator shares the revenue
from that message with the content provider. Neither the operators
nor the content providers would share the exact proportion in which
revenue is shared. It is unlikely that customers will have to pay
separately for content. "Customers won't opt for the service
if they have to pay for both the SMS and the service," says
Atul Chopra, CEO, Lifetree Convergence, the company whose platform
powers the Indiatimes 8888 service.
The emergence of the Indiatimes and the India
Today Group as key content players in the wireless domain is a logical
next step in the evolution of data services (See Moving On From
P2P).
The first stage in this evolution was peer-to-peer
messaging that every mobile user is familiar with. Then comes the
service where operators respond to a string. For instance, a BPL
Mobile customer in Mumbai needs to type in minews and send it to
333 to receive news headlines. These are customised for the company
by Mid-Day. Airtel in Delhi has a similar arrangement with the India
Today Group.
Today, the market is at the third stage where
network-independent content providers have launched their offerings.
These can be accessed through all networks that have signed on (for
instance, both the 8888 and the 2424 service can be accessed through
Airtel in Delhi), an approach the telecom industry calls 'open garden'.
For content majors like BCCO and The India
Today Group, the incremental cost of generating content is minimal.
Their major investments go into the platform-this could cost anything
between Rs 20-40 lakh-and marketing the service.
That, by itself, serves as an entry barrier
for smaller media companies. "The market will never be large
enough to support fresh investments in content creation," explains
Times Internet CEO Mahendra Swarup. "Customers want bullets,"
adds India Today Group Online COO Kalli Purie, referring to the
form in which content is best disseminated. "Nobody wants a
thesis."
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Third-party content provider on SMS platform;
high on personalised content and interactive gaming
Mahendra Swarup, CEO, Times
Internet |
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Early mover in content aggregation; believed
to be considering launch of co-branded 32-bit SIM
Ajit Balakrishnan, CEO, Rediff.com |
Operators stand to gain, irrespective of whether
the subscriber dials 8888 or 2424, or any other number for the news,
but that doesn't mean they are happy with the existing state of
affairs where content providers have also started managing the user
interface.
Thus while Escotel CEO Manoj Kohli admits that
"owning content is just not cost-effective," he goes on
to add, "I cannot match India Today in content, just like they
shouldn't try and match us in (managing) the customer interface."
Operator Play
It is that loss of control that has perhaps
stung some operators into action. Two of them, Escotel and Airtel,
have launched 32-bit SIM cards, an upgrade of existing 16-bit SIM
cards (the cost of upgradation is a few hundred rupees).
Short for subscriber identity module, a SIM
card is essentially a memory-plus-application utility. For instance,
some of the things your mobile phone can do are built into it; others
are capabilities bestowed on it by the SIM. 32-bit cards have a
larger capacity for storing numbers and data; but they don't offer
an open garden service. Instead, they offer users a wider in-built
menu. "It gives the user access to information through three
simple steps: scroll, send, and receive," says Airtel CEO Sarvjit
S. Dhillon.
The user interface in this case is managed
by the operator. That means content providers earn a fixed amount-they
don't share revenues.
The higher order SIM card also offers what
operators term end-to-end security, crucial for mobile commerce,
if and when that chimera ever flies. And all 32-bit cards come with
location modules that keep the network posted on the latitude and
the longitude of the user, rendering location-based services possible.
These could range from informing users about special shopping offers
in the vicinity to enabling them make payments through the mobile.
If the buzz is to be believed, Rediff is in
talks with several companies to launch a co-branded 32-bit SIM card
featuring its entire suite of content. The company neither confirmed
nor denied this in a response to BT, but while it does make sense
for the company to become a network-independent content provider,
a la Indiatimes or India Today Group, the business sense of a co-branded
offering doesn't seem all that compelling.
THERE IS MONEY IN MESSAGING |
SMS will rule
the airwaves even after net works move to GPRS (General Packet
Radio Switching, a high-bandwidth network that is widely called
always-on internet). Today, SMS accounts for a mere 3-4 per
cent of the revenues of operators (an average of 33 lakh messages
crowd the Indian airwaves every day). But this could well
be the point of inflexion. With content biggies and operators
themselves starting to focus on data services (read SMS-based
news, dating, weather, astrology, and gaming) the proportion
could zoom to 12-15 per cent in the next 3-5 years; SMS' contribution
to revenue is around 12 per cent in Europe. And India, today,
is very much in the same stage where Europe was around 18
months ago.
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In Mumbai, BPL Communications has launched the
country's first (and at the time of going to press, its only) GPRs
network. The service, which costs Rs 750 a month plus usage-based
charges, provides an always-on internet connection and has found
3,000 takers so far. "I know people who have stopped using
the desktop as the GPRs internet connection is more reliable and
always on," says BPL's Chandrasekhar.
Only, there's little content to drive usage,
says Atul Jhamb, the Chief Operating Officer of Airtel, Mumbai,
which will launch its service by June-end. "GPRs content has
a long way to go. There is no killer application available on it
anywhere in the world." That could explain the reluctance of
other operators to upgrade to GPRs.
Chandrasekhar, and anyone else upgrading to
higher order networks, will have to look for a new killer app. In
South Korea, for instance, this is gaming. BPL plans to launch a
gaming service in Mumbai soon, but the company is hoping that the
movement of internet applications like e-mail, instanet messaging,
and online financial transactions to the mobile will render its
GPRs network viable.
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Escotel launched the country's first 32-bit
SIM to begin location-based services; it hopes to generate 15
per cent of total revenue from SMS
Manoj Kohli, CEO, Escotel |
Chandrasekhar's bet on GPRs is likely to pay
off in the long term. 32-bit SIMs are but a transitory step in the
progression of cellular networks, a mid-course rest-stop as they
move from 2g (second generation) to 2.5g to third generation . Only,
as the 2.5g and 3g experience in Europe has shown, content and applications
will have to keep pace with the capabilities of the network (imagine
an eight-lane expressway for bullock carts).
Still, it could be a while before we see more
higher-order networks in India. Most of the country's cellular operators
are just starting to make money (operating profits) and are loath
to invest huge sums of money in upgrading their networks. Ergo,
the 32-bit and network-independent content-provider phase could
last a while.
In the meantime, Reliance Infocom could well
be the company to watch. It has made little noise about the impending
launch of its basic-plus-mobile service (on a platform that is as
close to 3g as you can get) in 17 circles, but the company is expected
to launch a bells-and-whistles service with value-adds like content
in vernacular languages and gaming.
The Supreme Court's ruling on whether basic
telephony companies can offer limited mobility services could make
or mar the company's plans, but right now, it isn't Reliance Infocom
that's making the biggest play in telecom. It's content. And it
is finally King.
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