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In search of black gold: A deep water exploratory
rig drills for oil off Bombay High |
It
is not very comfortable aboard a nine-seater Dauphin helicopter
off the coast of Mumbai in the midst of the monsoon rains. Turbulence
is the first thought that assails you, even as you contemplate the
foaming expanse of the Arabian Sea below.
The other thought is the power of competition.
Barely six years after India's New Exploration Licensing Policy
(NELP) threw open the country's potential oil fields (called so,
even if they lie underwater) to global oil explorers, the action
looks set to be-come riveting.
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) is India's
most ambitious driller, and a chopper is the only way to reach its
offshore Vasai basin field. Located some 80 kilometres west of Mumbai,
it is amongst India's biggest oil and gas finds of recent times.
What does Vasai mean to the $7-billion (Rs 32,200 crore) oil major?
In a word, plenty. It has drilled 48 wells in this basin, and is
already hard at work pumping out the gas, as apparent from atop
the Alpha Bassein Process Complex- the destination of our short
flight. It is pumping out some 16.6 million metric standard cubic
metres per day (MMSCMD) of sour gas and oil condensate, to be de-moisturised
on the spot, before being piped all the way to Hazira in Gujarat,
for de-sulphurisation.
IT'S A BRAVE, NEW WORLD... |
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Subir Raha Chairman & MD |
ONGC
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation topped crude production of
26 million tonnes (about half- a-million barrels per day)
in 2002-03. It has made six recent discoveries: Vasai West
(oil and gas), Krishna-Godavari Offshore Basin (oil and gas),
Rajasthan's Chinnewala Tibba (gas) and Assam's Laipling-Gaon
(gas). Preliminary studies show that Vasai West has 240 million
barrels of oil and oil-equivalent gas and Laipling-Gaon, some
100 million barrels.
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Mukesh Ambani Chairman & MD |
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES
Reliance's first major exploration breakthrough was
the discovery of gas reserves in the Krishna-Godavari Basin
off India's east coast, in 2002. This year, RIL struck oil
in an offshore block in Yemen, in which the company has 30
per cent equity. The company also has rights to 32 exploration
blocks in India, covering 2,88,000 sq km, and is committed
to spending about Rs 1,380 crore ($300 million) on exploration
over the next two years.
BRITISH
GAS INDIA
For British Gas (BG), India is one of six core areas of significance.
In February 2002, BG bought a 30-per cent interest in Panna-Mukta-Tapti
oil and gas fields, where ONGC has a 40-per cent stake and
the rest is with RIL. BG is looking to invest $500 million
(Rs 2,300 crore) in India over the next three years, and the
recent visit of the company's board to India has underlined
the importance being ascribed to the country.
GSPCL
Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation (GSPCL) is playing a prime
role in gas production at the Hazira fields, in which it holds
a two-thirds stake. In association with Canada's Niko Resources,
it is producing about 3 million metric standard cubic metres
of gas every day. GSPCL, which built India's first land-based
drilling platform in 1998, is extending its operations globally
through strategic alliances with overseas petroleum companies.
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Oil fever: Reserves worth 200 million
barrels estimated |
CAIRNS ENERGY
UK-based Cairns Energy drilled a series of wells in 2001 in
the Krishna-Godavari block, adjacent to Reliance's gas-strike
block. Having drilled six wells in the KG-DWN-98/2 block,
Cairns has made five discoveries. The company estimates the
block's reserves to be at least 200 million barrels of oil-equivalent.
Two of the wells were gas discoveries and two were oil gas
finds. One well was a small, sub-commercial oil and gas discovery.
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Thrill Of The Drill
Take a closer look, and you might think that
India's quest for oil security has assumed frantic proportions.
Another high-activity zone is ONGC's D1 field, situated 80 km south-west
of Bombay High. ONGC plans to push some 27 hired rigs into the game
just for exploration in depths up to 400 metres. Does it have the
nerve to go deeper? Oh yes. It is busy refurbishing its Vijay Sagar
rig for exploration in the 400-900 metre range, and is scouting
for two rigs to drill all the way to 27,000 metres-a level that
could make some of the world's hardiest oil execs gulp.
It is, quite simply, "the biggest-ever
deep water campaign globally'', in the words of Subir Raha, ONGC's
chairman and managing director. Searching for deep water oil at
any given point costs an average $350,000 (Rs 1.61 crore) per day-including
$200,000 (Rs 92 lakh) for a hired drilling rig-but ONGC is keen
on a multi-point operation. Starting mid-September, a set of rigs
is going to sink its drillers deep into the sea, in a high-voltage,
nine-month operation that's going to leave Raha with a neat bill
of $486 million (Rs 2,236 crore).
It's big money. And it's all part of the country's
2002-2007 Tenth Plan, which has earmarked a mammoth Rs 46,000 crore
for exploratory activities.
Of the private sector explorers, most attention
is focused on Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL), which has already stunned
onlookers with its quick gas strike in the Krishna Godavari Basin,
off India's east coast. The strike, which occurred within three
years of having won the block (along with Canada's Niko Resources),
has given RIL gas reserves of 14 trillion cubic feet, some 10 trillion
of which is recoverable and could translate into 38.9 mmscmd of
gas supply for 20 years.
Of course, RIL has other domestic search operations
as well-notably in the Panna-Mukta-Tapti and the Mahanadi and Kutch
offshore basins. Having taken nine new exploration blocks in 2002-03,
RIL now has rights to 32 exploration blocks in India. "RIL
is leveraging its success in India to actively pursue prospects
in attractive and politically stable regions in the world,"
says Mukesh Ambani, CMD, RIL.
The original purpose of the NELP, though, was
to provide the stimulus of global competition. Canada's Niko Resources,
the UK's Cairns Energy and British Gas (BG) are the main investors,
so far. BG has invested $500 million (Rs 2,300 crore) in the country,
and plans to invest another $500 million (Rs 2,300 crore) over the
next three years. Says Pravin Tandon, Director, BG India, "Given
the growing market-gas demand is expected to grow from the current
level of 5,300 MMSCMD to around 13,700 MMSCMD in 2025-and the government's
enhanced focus on the hydrocarbons sector, BG perceives significant
opportunities along various elements of the gas chain, both upstream
and downstream.''
"We
are leveraging our success in India to actively pursue prospects
in attractive and politically stable regions in the world"
Mukesh Ambani, Chairman
and Managing Director, reliance industries limited |
"We
will never join the ranks of OPEC, simply because we only have
1 per cent of global hyrocarbon reserves and 15 per cent of
the world's population"
Subir Raha, Chairman and
Managing Director, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation |
Real Rush
Exploration can be a heady experience, with
all the throbbing suspense of a treasure hunt. But if you want to
know what really excites Raha these days, it's the prospect of actually
extracting the stuff. And fast. For that, you would have to look
a few kilometres west of the Vasai basin, at a field called Vasai
West. It has barely been 18 months since 240 million barrels of
oil and oil-equivalent gas reserves were found here, but Raha wants
the energy to start flowing by mid-2004. That the state-owned ONGC
could move at such lightning pace was unthinkable just a couple
of years ago.
Pumping gas even from depths of 40-50 metres
below sea level takes some determination, not to mention investment.
It involves the setting up of a booster compressor platform, living
quarters and processing units. And it's all fraught with danger.
In fact, no visitor can miss the precautionary measures, which extend
from rig design to operating procedures. "The safety and security
of the personnel is the prime consideration in constructing any
platform, since living on the platform means practically sitting
on a bomb,'' explains D.K. Mukherjee, administrative controller
of the Bassein Complex, reassuringly.
No sweat. What matters, at the end, is the
extent to which domestic production can reduce India's dependence
on crude oil and gas imports. And at a reasonable cost. So, what's
the score?
What the recent strikes
mean for India and its oil security |
» Could
possibly revive interest among global oil majors in Indian basins
» The bidding
price for Indian exploration blocks could go up
» Drilling
costs could fall as rentable deep sea rigs gravitate to the
region
» India
could keep its oil import fraction stable at about 68 per cent
» Or even
reduce it, if truly big oil strikes are made |
Unbelievably good, actually, judging by ONGC's
figures. The D1 field is expected to produce 19 million tonnes of
oil and oil-equivalent, at an estimated cost of nearly Rs 310 crore.
Vasai West is expected to deliver 97 million tonnes of oil and oil
equivalent, at a capital cost of about Rs 985 crore. Smaller fields
are expected to give almost 1.5 million tonnes, on an investment
of something just over Rs 430 crore. Then, there's ONGC Videsh Limited,
too. "We expect overseas acquisitions to add 10 million tonnes
to our kitty by 2007,'' says Raha.
National Exuberance
None of it, though, will get India into the
league of, say, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
As Raha says, "I don't think we will ever join the ranks of
OPEC, simply because we only have 1 per cent of global hydrocarbon
reserves and 15 per cent of the world's population." India
consumes some 100 million tonnes of crude oil every year, over two-thirds
of which is imported. As India's crude needs swell to a projected
150 million tonnes in a decade, conventional logic dictates that
the best it can do is keep this ratio stable. Run, that is, just
to stand still.
Some analysts, such as Avinash Chandra, Director,
Directorate General of Hydrocarbons, are optimistic that India could
actually make a go of its renewed import substitution endeavour.
This could be done if India triples its current annual oil production
of 32 million tonnes a year over the next 10 years. That's reason
enough for all the deep sea drilling to keep so many energy analysts
on the edge of their seats. There's no saying what lies down there,
and it does not cost much to maximise expectations while the drills
are still drilling.
with inputs from Roshni Jayakar
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