The
$21-billion, global it services vendor, EDS, has been crawling at
a 1-2 per cent revenue growth for the last couple of years. Shrinking
gross margins (currently at 1.7 per cent if all its troublesome
contracts are included), and a slow turnaround pace resulting in
a downgrade by global rating agency Moody's to junk bond status
last month have all added to the it giant's woes. To cap it all,
research firm Forrester has shown up EDS as lagging behind its key
competitors on global delivery efficiency, in a study released this
month. It looks like the Ross Perot-founded company (he sold out
to gm in 1986) would need some derring-do to stage a comeback. BT's
Priya Srinivasan spoke with David
Clementz, Executive Vice President (Service Delivery), EDS,
on issues facing the company. Excerpts:
How much of your global delivery happens
offshore and specifically how much of it is out of India? Could
you quantify this for us?
Let's define the so-called offshore delivery
model first. We have a trademarked process that we call "best
shore deal approach" and it starts by certifying several of
our global delivery sites. We have 92 service centres around the
world and we have a process that we go through to certify them as
part of our best shore portfolio. Those are a dozen criteria-where
the location is, technical competence, industry knowledge in the
region etcetera. We have knitted together 22 of these centres. The
application service centre in India is one of those. It is present
in four cities in India. The number of people in this best shore
capability model is 14,000. In India, there are 2,000. By the end
of the year there will be 2,500 and by the end of 2005 it will be
5,000. It's more than just labour arbitrage that you read so much
about in the press. If that was all there to it, then we have lower
cost centres that we could use to provide people from-Malaysia and
Egypt are very competitive. It's more about all the capabilities
I defined.
Since when have you felt a compelling need
to offshore services and why?
It was 1990, in Ireland, to support gm in Europe.
It was long before anybody heard about offshore and since then it
just continued to grow. As we got spun off from gm (it was EDS'
parent) and continued to support them around the globe, it gave
us an automatic footprint. Since then we have picked up many global
clients and the model has matured.
What kind of savings do you see with offshoring?
It varies from place to place and it's not the
primary driver. It may be the first driver. If it's purely labour
you are looking at and it's US versus international, then the savings
could be as much as 60 per cent or 70 per cent. But very often we
are not looking at just labour. You start to add the value, the
value of global leverage and then the savings get eroded as you
add virtual connectivity, and value-added services and so on.
There is an interesting observation in a
recent Forrester report which says that clients feel getting IBM,
EDS or Accenture to offshore is like getting their teeth pulled
out-they hate offshoring. What would you say to that?
Well, they didn't talk to me (laughs). We do
some of our own internal EDS support in India and we are going to
push more of it here. Many of the deals in our pipeline, which is
potentially $70 billion worth of possible deals that we are pursuing,
a huge percentage of those have some component of offshore work.
I don't know what sales force is resisting offshoring. In the large
mega deals-the $500 million to $1 billion-plus-those have some component
of offshore (could be call centre, technology, help desk, applications
development maintenance, some kind of hosting) and usually it's
the client resisting offshoring, not the vendor.
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"You
have to go slow to go fast. Once strategy's in place, accelerate"
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Coming to EDS' financials, your revenue growth
is crawling at about 1 or 2 per cent, gross margins are as low as
1.7 per cent and losses in the region of $170 million. What exactly
would you say is the problem at this point?
We have a very strong base business and we
continue to have challenges with one large contract that's been
written about a lot-the Navy contract. We are starting to turn the
corner on that account. We think that we will be in a much better
situation in the months ahead. We are pretty much on target (in
terms of sales). We generated $5 billion in the second quarter.
By the end of the year, we will have $5 billion in cash and marketable
securities in the bank. We have a strong sales pipeline of 30 per
cent (y-o-y growth). We are confident we have stabilised the broken
accounts and are moving forward. We have targeted to take $1 billion
out of our costs this year and another $2 billion after this. By
mid-year, we have already taken out $580 million (of costs).
However, Moody's doesn't seem too impressed
with your pace of turnaround. They have downgraded EDS to highest
grade junk bond status last month...
And we disagreed with them. We still disagree
with them. Taking out a billion dollars of cost takes time and you
can't be indiscriminate about it and start hacking away. In my opinion
you have to go slow to go fast. You have to be methodical and thoughtful.
And once you have the strategy in place, you can accelerate. We
disagree with their (Moody's) assessment.
Why are you behind companies like IBM and
even HP on the revenue growth front?
OK, if you plot a chart, it would show IBM
is clearly the leader in total revenues, EDS is second and hp barely
makes the chart. In fact, some of the Indian firms are in that category
and generally it's easier to grow on a smaller base. We have to
put this thing in perspective.
According to Forrester, EDS lags behind
IBM, Accenture, TCS, Wipro and Infosys on several parameters. You
have the least number of clients doing applications maintenance
offshore, least number doing new development, least number doing
packaged applications maintenance and least number of dedicated
offshore development centres. Yet you are present in the maximum
number of companies in terms of offshore presence. Surely you see
an anomaly here?
If you look at the large players, a big chunk
of what they do is for themselves offshore. A big chunk of IBM's
work offshore is IBM for IBM. But I haven't studied this report
and it would be interesting to find out where the data came from
and how they did the comparisons. I have been a CIO for six-and-a-half
years and have always looked at these benchmarking studies with
a high degree of scepticism and have often refused to participate
since I can't rationalise the information that comes back. The difficulty
is primarily in getting people to define uniformly what constitutes
offshoring. We could easily claim that all work outside of the US
is offshore and assign 40 per cent of revenues to offshore. I don't
want to minimise the value here but without knowing how the definitions
were created, I can't comment.
Just one other thing in the same report.
Global delivery revenues for IBM, EDS and Accenture are $200 million
each and for the Indian vendors, it blows out to $800 million-$1
billion. Again, why are the multinationals generating so few revenues
overseas?
If you consider Infosys or Wipro, their offshore
revenues are just about everything they do. If I took everything
that I had outside of the United States and aggregated it, it would
be about 8-10 times that of the Indian vendors. It just doesn't
make intuitive sense to me.
OK, let's talk specifically about India.
Is your initiative here generating the kind of revenues you expected?
Having an offshore or best shore delivery capability
is an essential element of winning the next $70 billion pipeline
that I described earlier. The sales that we are competing for have
a heavy dependency on our ability to leverage our talent across
the world. That's what spurs us on to build new centres or take
away the ones that aren't relevant to the model anymore. With best
shore technology I can start a contract at lower cost, price deals
lower, beat the competition and still give myself a margin. We are
looking at taking costs down 20 per cent in the next two years.
Our competition is following similar patterns, which means we have
to get down below that. We see a 6-8 per cent combined annual growth
rate in the services industry. People are continuing to outsource
services. In order to compete in the future, there will have to
be large degree of offshore component.
Post Script: EDS officials who have
studied the Forrester report on global delivery maintain that the
study is rather India-centric, whereas EDS' offshore capabilities
span several countries. While the study points out that EDS services
the least number of contracts across applications maintenance, new
development and packaged apps management offshore, EDS maintains
that the size of individual contracts it services are much larger
than those of most vendors.
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