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JANUARY 2, 2005
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Cities On The Edge
Favoured business destinations Gurgaon, Bangalore, Chennai, Pune and Hyderabad could become, thanks to poor infrastructure, victims of their own success. Read in-depth articles on each city. Plus personalised travel logs. Only at www.business-today.com.


Moving On
Diluting stake in GECIS was like a child growing up and leaving home, feels Scott R. Bayman, President and CEO of GE India. In an exclusive interview with BT, he speaks his mind on a wide range of issues.

More Net Specials
Business Today,  December 19, 2004
 
 
India's Best Banks

Fat treasury incomes, robust economic growth and an urge to purge meant that the big clean-up at public sector banks continued. But as this year's BT-KPMG survey reveals the worst isn't over yet for India's banking industry.

THE TOP 10 BANKS
1
HDFC Bank
2
Citibank
3
ABN AMRO Bank
4
State Bank of Patiala
5
Oriental Bank of Commerce
6
Corporation Bank
7
Hongkong & Shanghai Banking Corp.
8
Kotak Mahindra Bank
9
Standard Chartered Bank
10
Jammu & Kashmir Bank

Early this December, when ICICI bank's K.V. Kamath told reporters at the sidelines of the World Economic Forum's annual India jamboree that bank stocks were undervalued, he wasn't being wishful. After all, last year was a good time to be a banker. Falling interest rates, a pick up in demand for loans, especially from the retail sector, and fat (and effort-free) profits from treasury operations meant that the good banks got better and those positioned precariously got an opportunity to write off their bad loans and provide for those they hadn't. Besides, with asset securitisation making progress, albeit haltingly, (there are three asset reconstruction companies in India now with acquired assets of Rs 9,631 crore), there's a new spring in the step of your friendly banker.

Take a look at what's happened at some of the top banks. HDFC Bank, which tops the list once again this year, has reduced its non-performing assets (NPAs) as a percentage of total advances from 0.4 per cent to 0.16 per cent; State Bank of Patiala, which retains its #4 slot, has wiped out the 1.5 per cent NPAs that were there on its books last year. Oriental Bank of Commerce has not just moved up from #8 to #5, but also got rid of the 1.4 per cent NPAs. That even as these banks grew their business between 24 per cent and 41 per cent last year.

The 3C Effect
The Best Banks 2004
India's Best Banks: By The Numbers
Top Of The Heap
The Big Mama Of Bank
Two's Company
From Boutique To Bazaar
DB's Sweet Spot

That things are increasingly looking up for the sector wasn't lost on Dalal Street, where bank stocks were red hot. In the 12 months to March this year, the BSE Bankex Index rose from 1,393 points to 2,993 points-a 115 per cent jump, compared to bse Sensex's 82 per cent gain in that time. While it took a huge dive in May (because of expectations of rising interest rates, policy uncertainty and earnings risk in terms of higher agri-lending directed by the new government, besides lower treasury profits), it has now touched a new high of 3,495. With consolidation in the air, the bigger banks getting ambitious still, and interest rates going up, things can only improve. Says Punit Srivastava, Analyst, Enam Securities: "At current valuations, near term interest rate uncertainties are being masked by strong credit growth and stable margins."

Not surprisingly then, the 11th BT-KPMG annual list of India's Best Banks captures this trend. Of the 59 banks ranked this year (another 27 banks with five branches or fewer have been ranked separately under the small bank category), five of the top 10 have made it to the honours roll for the last three years in a row. The four large foreign banks-Citibank, ABN Amro, HSBC and Standard Chartered-continue to remain in the top 10 as they capitalise, launch new products and expand their distribution reach, and gear up to partner with an India Inc. that is going global. (An interesting bit: A new private bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, debuts on the list and straightaway at the eighth position.)

THE TOP 10 SMALL BANKS
1
Deutsche Bank
2
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi
3
JP Morgan Chase Bank
4
UFJ Bank
5
Antwerp Diamond Bank
6
Barclays Bank
7
Bank of America
8
Chohung Bank
9
Mizuho Corporate Bank*
10
Arab Bangladesh Bank
*(Formerly The Fuji Bank)

But are the stronger banks getting stronger and the weaker banks falling by the wayside? On the face of it, yes. HDFC Bank, for example, has held on to its top perch. Citibank, which had slipped to #7 last year from being #4 the year before, has clawed back up to the #2 position. In contrast, there's no significant improvement in the bottom end of the list. Its denizens like Punjab & Sind Bank, Dhanalakshmi Bank and Centurion Bank haven't managed to deal with their NPA problems to the same extent as the other banks. Punjab & Sind Bank's NPAs as a percentage of net advances was a high 10.9 per cent last year, and this year it has come down to 9.6 per cent. Dhanalakshmi's down from 9.7 per cent to 7 per cent, but as is obvious, the figures are still too high.

Interestingly, though, some of the banks from the middle order-especially Vijaya Bank, UTI Bank and IndusInd Bank-have managed to catapult themselves into the top 20 this year. Consider IndusInd. Last year, it stood at #35. This year it has soared to the 19th position. What's happened in the meantime? Its deposits have jumped from Rs 8,598 crore to Rs 11,200 crore, net profits are up from Rs 90 crore to a whopping Rs 262 crore, and loan loss cover, which is provisions for bad loans as a percentages of overall bad loans, has improved from 14.6 per cent to 18.1 per cent. Yet, the bank has some way to go. Its NPAs still stand at 2.7 per cent of net advances and are growing at a rate of 9.7 per cent. Bhaskar Ghose, the bank's Managing Director, says that things are improving. "Focussed attention on operations and customer service, and concentration on a select mix of businesses, efficient treasury management and aggressive NPA management will improve things further."

Just the same, what's driving the performance of banks like HDFC, Citibank and Corporation Bank? A mix of factors. On the one hand, banks like these are aggressively chasing the retail consumer and wooing her with new products and services. On the corporate front, they are bundling services and offerings to lower transaction costs for their clients. Plus, they are pushing third-party products for fee-based income, since it allows them to sweat their fixed costs. But since competition is fierce in the business, especially in retail banking, these banks keep a sharp eye on their cost of funds. Says Sanjay Nayar, Country Head, Citibank: "We have been consistent in our strategy with four clear paradigms-increase distribution and reach, sell multiple products and consolidate the client wallet, have a keen eye on risk management, and invest keenly in brick-and-mortar, as well as people."

The Biggest Bank
SBI beats the others hands down.
"We have good size and excellent geography in India, and we would be interested in exploring acquisitions overseas"
A. K. Purwar
Chairman and Managing Director, SBI
With Rs 3,18,619 crore in deposits and average working funds of Rs 3,75,804 crore, the State Bank of India (SBI) stands tall in the industry. The closest competitors aren't a third as big as SBI. Punjab National Bank ranks #2 in deposits, but has deposits of just Rs 87,816 crore. ICICI Bank is the second biggest as far as average working funds are concerned, but that stacks up to just Rs 1,06,593 crore. SBI, which accounts for 18 per cent of all deposits with commercial banks in India, is able to mop up such large amounts in low-cost deposits because of its sheer reach: it has 13,635 branches spread all over the country. Can SBI hold on to its top slot? For the next few years, easily. There are other bigger banks-ICICI Bank, for one-that are growing aggressively. Last year, while SBI's deposits grew 7 per cent, those of new private banks swelled at 29.6 per cent. Add to it the coming mergers and acquisitions (M&As), and SBI's position will come under threat. Says A. K. Purwar, Chairman and Managing Director, SBI: "We have good size and excellent geography in India, and we would be interested in exploring acquisitions overseas." To keep its lead, the banking elephant will have to learn to dance.
The Most Productive Bank
Not surprisingly, it's the hard-charging Citibank.
"We have four clear paradigms: increase distribution & reach, sell multiple products, focus on risk management and invest in people"
Sanjay Nayar
Country Head, Citibank
Anybody who has a Citibank credit card will know why the bank is so profitable. Jokes apart, Citi is a lean, mean machine that pumps bucket-loads of profits. Productivity as measured by business per branch (Rs 1,681.9 crore), operating profit per employee (Rs 60 lakh) and operating profit per branch (Rs 61.7 crore) are significantly higher than the next most productive bank: ABN Amro. One of the main reasons for the bank's high productivity is its small number of employees-just 2,018 spread over 25 branches. That apart, it leverages technology to lower costs and increase customer stickiness. But it's not just profits. The bank has improved overall to make a comeback on the list to the #2 position from #7 last year.
The Safest Bank
HSBC maintains its leadership here.
"HSBC (#7) has big plans for India. It already owns 14.7 per cent of UTI Bank, and is waiting to increase its stake"
Niall S.K. Booker
CEO, HSBC
HSBC is the safest bank in India for the second year in a row. The key parameters considered to assess safety are capital adequacy ratio (car) and loan loss cover or the provisions for non-performing assets (NPAs) as a percentage of NPAs. HSBC has a car of 14.5 per cent (12.9 per cent for the industry) and loan loss cover of 83.8 per cent. HSBC's NPAs as a percentage of net advances are less than one, as against an industry average of 2.9 per cent last year. Kotak Mahindra Bank too scores high on safety parameters, but it starts on a low base and is just one-and-a-half-year-old. Among the public sector banks, Corporation Bank scores high on safety parameters. Clearly, being a bit conservative pays.

With the Reserve Bank of India pushing banks to conform with Basel II norms, which require higher capital adequacy and stricter provisioning for NPAs, there'll be greater pressure on India's banks to become more efficient. And as they battle for market share, many will seriously consider mergers and acquisitions as the way to go. In fact, the first of the PSU consolidations is likely to happen between Bank of India (#34) and Union Bank of India (#33), to create a public sector giant with Rs 1,40,000 crore in assets. Recently, IDBI converted itself into a bank and in the last quarter of the current financial year, IDBI Bank is to merge with it. Says M.S. Kapur, Chairman and Managing Director, Vijaya Bank, who has been talking of consolidation for the last two years: "Our aggressive forays into retail and thrust on expanding loan assets were strategies to sustain our profitability, knowing fully well that treasury profits are a temporary phenomenon."

Banks, even if they are large, should keep in mind that balance sheet strength alone is not going to help them in the future. Yes, size will help, but it will not make up for the lack of marketing nimbleness. Greater market share will be an asset, but the efficiency of operations and quality of assets will be more valued. And those that get this equation right will move up not just on the BT-KPMG annual survey, but also bourses. A fact that the country's biggest bank, the State Bank of India, will discover from this year's survey. It has plunged from #19 to #36, not because its performance deteriorated last year. Rather, the other banks, most of them several times smaller than SBI, have vastly improved their own performance.

The message from this year's survey: While growth is crucial, the quality of it is even more so. Global Trust Bank learnt that the hard way. Let's hope the other weaker banks get the message before it is too late.

 

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