|    First, 
                it was the mobile telephony market, then, it was fm radio. Now 
                it is the turn of 3G (for third-generation) telephony, the next 
                step in wireless telephony that will facilitate high-speed data 
                transfers. In each, the government has gone into a should-we-shouldn't-we 
                routine at the time of opening up the sector to private players; 
                the result, in the case of mobile telephony and fm radio was a 
                mess; and the result, in the case of 3G is a mess in the making. 
                Thus, we have various departments of the government, namely Department 
                of Telecommunications (DOT), Ministry of Finance (MoF) and telecom 
                regulator Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI), heading 
                for an ugly confrontation over whether or not to charge entry 
                fee for 3G services.
  European governments collected a whopping 
                $125-billion (Rs 5,50,000 crore) by auctioning 3G licences four 
                years ago, with the UK alone collecting $35 billion (Rs 1,54,000 
                crore), so why give away a scarce resource such as radio waves 
                for free, argues the pro-licence fee lobby. After all, it is the 
                Tata Group, an interested player in the telecom, that has mooted 
                the idea of a Rs 1,500-crore entry fee; that would result in a 
                Rs 9,000-crore booty for the exchequer, assuming the Big Five 
                telcos (BSNL, Bharti, Hutch, Reliance, Idea) also cough up the 
                amount. That will at least offset the opportunity loss from not 
                being able to carry forward the disinvestment policy.   Charging a big entry fee or auction-driven 
                licences will make 3G services unviable for operators, much like 
                it did for several European ones that overbid and this, in turn, 
                will make the service unaffordable for consumers, says the anti-licence 
                fee lobby. The high licence fee is just a means of creating an 
                artificial entry barrier, it claims. Allowing free entry, says 
                the pro-lobby, will mean everyone makes a rush for 3G licences; 
                no one ends up with enough market share to justify the high investments 
                3G networks require; and everyone-bankers, telcos, consumers-suffers. 
                  Both points of view have their merits, and 
                in any competitive market it's a healthy sign that you have differing 
                shades of opinion within the industry and not a cartelisation 
                of opinions.  The not-so-happy note here is that the government 
                doesn't seem to have learned anything from its past experience. 
                Not that this magazine is in favour of, or against an entry fee 
                for 3G services. However, it must be said that Rs 1,500 crore 
                looks like an arbitrary figure; the right number is purely dependent 
                on market needs and economic realities. What is depressing, though, 
                is that the learning curve, as far as policy making is concerned, 
                seems non-existent.  Way back in the mid 1990s, cellular telephony 
                was introduced in India and very quickly the unviable licence 
                fee model had to be scrapped in favour of revenue-share in 1999 
                (it must be said that it was the folly of bidders that was largely 
                responsible for the initial over-bids). Ditto with the first round 
                of fm radio licensing in 2000. The cellular experience, after 
                migration to revenue share, has been startling even for the government, 
                which from its own admission has realised more money than it would 
                have if it had insisted on sticking to the licence fee regime, 
                as the unfettered industry has boomed.  The government's need to raise resources 
                is well appreciated, as is the fact that a booming industry like 
                telecom, with over 100 million subscribers (200-250 million by 
                end-2007) will be a target for possible revenues for any government. 
                It is sad, though, to see the government abdicating its primary 
                responsibility of market-making and instead get into petty politicking, 
                playing market players against each other, when the need is to 
                provide a clear thought-out policy roadmap that balances both 
                its medium-to-long term revenue needs with the needs of the sector.  The experience of 3G auctions the world over 
                has been mixed at best, with European operators still smarting 
                from a painful start; overcapacity rules and profits seem decades 
                away. Whatever the government decides in the end (to either hand 
                over 3G frequencies free or at a fee), it should do so in a transparent 
                manner, learning from its past experience and keeping the interests 
                of the consumer uppermost in mind. |