Pankhabari
road, which winds giddily up and down the hills of Darjeeling district,
leaves you breathless in more ways than one. Every sharp turn brings
you closer to the majestic Himalayas, and the hills are dotted with
legends that have entered the hall of fame of the tea industry.
Makaibari, Longview, Castleton, Ambootia... the list goes on. All
gardens that made Indian tea the pride of the world in stores like
Harrods of Knightsbridge. Yet on the misty winter drive here in
Darjeeling, as you pass the gardens, each with their famous nameplates
affixed to the gate, you cannot help but feel that those legendary
names may be losing some of their sheen.
All is not well in the kingdom of teas-whether
it is Darjeeling, the Brahmaputra Valley of Assam, or in the rolling
blue hills of the Nilgiris, down in southern India. While domestic
demand for tea has been flagging, in the global markets, aggressive
newcomers like Indonesia and Vietnam, besides old rivals like Sri
Lanka and Kenya, are pushing the Indian tea industry to its limit.
To put it bluntly, the Indian tea industry
is passing through one of its most critical periods. In the 673
million kg domestic market, demand has been inching up by only 2.1
per cent a year. From 597 million kg in 1997, domestic demand for
tea grew to just 673 million kg in 2001. Things aren't good on the
global front either where at 180 million kg, demand for Indian tea
has been declining at an average of 1.5 per cent a year for the
past five years. Naturally, this has meant softer prices for Indian
tea. Since 1998, tea prices have been on a decline, falling by eight
per cent in the last four years.
This has had a serious impact on the profitability
of tea companies and the worst hit have been the ones banking on
south Indian teas. South Indian gardens have suffered because of
lack of replanting and in terms of price-realisation. And because
of their relatively mediocre quality they are not finding too many
takers at the auctions. A look at the numbers will also show you
how tea majors like Jayashree Tea-the company posted a loss of Rs
25 lakh in 2000-01-and Harrisons Malayalam have both gone into the
red. HLL and Tata Tea have also shown lower topline growth in their
tea business. For HLL, the packet tea price-realisation went down
4 per cent over last year, while for Tata Tea, the slump was more,
at 5.5 per cent.
The other major challenge that Indian tea companies
today face is imports, particularly after the removal of quantitative
restrictions in 2001. Last year, at 16 million kg, imported teas
accounted for 20 per cent of the total annual tea consumption in
India, up from one per cent just three years ago. In 2001, domestic
consumption accounted for around 673 million kg and exports around
180 million kg. Against that, the total output (domestic plus imports)
was 866 million kg. Or, a glut to the extent of 13 million kg. Says
C.K. Dhanuka, Vice President of the Indian Tea Association (ITA):
''On the one hand, the Indian plantation industry is suffering,
on the other, established brands have a point in importing teas
to enhance brand value. The ideal solution is yet to be found.''
K. S. David, Managing Director, Goodricke Tea, goes a step further:
"The industry has thrived on bulk purchases by CIS countries
for too long. Quality has been sacrificed and today we are paying
the price. We also took the domestic consumer for granted."
Souring The Brew
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Demand has remained stagnant. Tea has failed to
penetrate the market and has lost out to soft drinks and coffee.
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Extremely high labour costs are putting the operation
margins in most plantations under severe pressure.
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Low-cost tea producers like Vietnam and Indonesia
are making Indian tea unviable in the low-value export market.
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India has not been able to penetrate high-value
markets like the US. In Japan, another high-value one, India
comes a poor third.
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Unviable plantations means lesser investments.
The bushes are getting older and quality is slipping in both
south and north India.
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At the fabled 125-year old Makaibari tea estate
that produces OME of the finest darjeeling teas and sells directly
to developed markets like Japan and the UK and commands the connoisseurs'
reverence, Raja Banerjee, a planter, rides out on his magnificent
chestnut stallion every morning at six. Banerjee's keen eye is quick
to pick the condition of every bush. Proud of its heritage, teas
from the Makaibari estate aren't sold at auctions, but through private
deals. ''We have created an image and it is important for us to
ensure that the goodwill level remains constant,'' explains Banerjee.
But it's a tough task. Over-dependence on the CIS countries and
little efforts at growing the domestic market are starting to take
their toll.
A tepid brew
While India has an impressive 59 per cent share
of the CIS market, it is non-existent in the high-value US market
and ranks a poor third in another high value market, Japan, with
a share of only 9 per cent. A 17 per cent share of the UK market
is some consolation, but even in terms of total tea exports in volume
terms, India has dropped behind Sri Lanka, China, and Kenya. Says
Tea Board Chairman Naba Das: ''This is largely because we have a
very well-developed domestic consumption pattern and that has always
made us look inwards. The worry is that base is not expanding and
the invasion of soft drinks has made the task even more difficult.
The younger generation is giving tea a go by.'' To encourage tea
drinking, the Tea Board has launched a series of generic campaigns
entitled ''piyo more chai'' to help grow the market.
In a stagnant market, where costs are not declining,
the only option is to create a higher value-added product that can
realise bigger margins. Tata Tea and Hindustan Lever are two companies
that have been able to do so through aggressive branding. Says Homi
R. Khusrokhan, Managing Director, Tata Tea: ''We have been able
to create a whole new range of teas, starting from the top of the
line Tetley to the premium Temptations and even a new product in
the lower category, which will help the company consolidate its
position.'' At HLL, plans are afoot to create better value with
the Taj Mahal brand by making it richer. At the same time, Lipton's
once-famous Green Label is facing the axe because of the lack of
availability of good quality tea. But the root of the tea industry's
crisis is at the plantations. Lack of modernisation (which results
in low yield) and high wages make the tea industry particularly
vulnerable to the vagaries of the market. With domestic demand falling,
the problem has got exacerbated. Says ITA's Dhanuka: ''Branding
is a value addition in tea, but to bring that about the plantation
industry must become profitable at its own end.'' The tea industry
employs nearly 10 million people and the cost of employment has
gone up from Rs 13 per kg in 1998 to Rs 21 per kg today. Against
that the industry's average price-realisation has dropped from Rs
76.43 to Rs 61.25 per kg over the same period. The arithmetic is
just not right. But there is some hope of setting that right. Down
south, Indian tea planters and the labour unions have recently agreed
to link wages to productivity and profitability and this could provide
a precedent to other tea growing areas. In Darjeeling, high wages
are a severe problem,. Says V.M. Atal, Managing Director, Carrit
Moran, a tea-broking house: ''Most of the gardens are privately-owned
and the cost of wages is far too high for these owners to continue
investing in the gardens. As a result, the quality of the bushes
are on the wane and so are price realisations.''
Trying For A New Blend
So what's the way out? A blend of different
things, of course. While the Tea Board has engaged international
consulting firm Accenture to draft a road map for the tea industry,
there some no-brainers that have to be done if Indian tea wants
to regain its place of pride. First, the glut has to be addressed.
And one initiative that has been recently taken is to cut production
of end-season plain teas. This would reduce croppage by around 20
million kg during the lean season. Not only will this move cut oversupplies
but also ensure that poor quality teas don't queer the pitch. Says
Aditya Khaitan, director, Williamson Magor: "The industry has
to pay attention to quality, and to do that we have to cut production.
It will help replanting and increasing the age of the bushes even
if it hits gross sale for the time being."
The other move is to increase the output of
orthodox teas, which are the regular two leaves and a bud variety
as compared to the cut-tear-and-curl (CTC) variety. The reason orthodox
output has to go up is because it gives more value for money and
it is also easier to blend. "We need to do this so that the
whole processing becomes easier," says Khaitan.
The ITA and the Tea Board's other initiative
is to push consumption of teas by promoting the brew as a health
drink. Already, under the aegis of the Tea Board, the industry is
working on several countrywide campaigns to promote tea consumption.
Says Tata Tea's Khusrokhan: "What the campaign is doing is
giving tea a public face as a generic product. A fact that we have
neglected for too long. It is essential that tea gets recognised
as a healthy and refreshing drink with the trappings of a gracious
lifestyle." Such initiatives may work, but they're hardly a
panacea for the Indian tea industry. In the global market, particularly
in the high-value markets like the US and Japan, it is Indian tea's
competitors who rule the roost. And unless the industry can chip
into those markets, the future looks bleak on the export front.
Tea, after all, is a commodity. And what can be worse than operating
on the low end of the value chain in a commodity market?
But there is the proverbial silver lining.
A recent issue of Harrods Catalogue lists a price tag of £50
(Rs 3,500) for a 125-gm pack of Darjeeling and Assam teas. Things
surely aren't that bad yet for the Indian cuppa!
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