Patents
are a measure of research output and IBM research has the largest
number of patents as compared with any other corporate laboratory
in the world. Senior Vice President of research Paul
Horn currently heads eight of the IBM research labs across
the world, including the one at IIT Delhi in India. Horn is credited
with having come up with a model to link research and product development
where the product teams fund research. Now IBM research is in the
throes of another change process and Horn spoke to Vidya
Viswanathan of BT about it. Excerpts from an exclusive
interview:
What is the current change that is happening
in the research labs now? Research and services innovation...
Let me put it in a particular context. The context
will help explain the change. If you went back 25 years ago, and
you asked what were people doing in universities in computer science,
they were mostly working on hardware. There was not really innovative
work going on in software. Some engineers were working on it, but
most thought it was something to make hardware work. If you went
to the IBM academy, they were all doing hardware. Today, yes, we
are doing software. Even IBM academy understands that there is real
intellectual depth in software. If you go to an academic institution,
they are working on distributed information infrastructure. But
if you go to the academy and see how many people are working on
services, it is almost zero.
They will give you the same arguments about
services as they did about software. There is no intellectual depth.
This is about outsourced data centres. And there is also no academic
discipline. However, in the next five years, services science will
be a new academic discipline. You go to a computer science department
and ask people what they are doing and very likely they are working
with biology or doing pattern matching in bio-informatics. Or they
are working with the business school and doing electronic marketplaces
or pricing analysis. They are working on hard business and societal
problems. I would call that services science.
If you as IBM research lab were to sponsor
university research in services science, what would the projects
be?
In May we are getting educators from across
the world to a summit to help define services science and then help
stimulate it. An interesting piece of history. In the '40s, there
was no discipline called computer science in the universities. A
couple of IBM researchers and professors in Columbia had a joint
work in computer science, one of the first in the world. In those
days, the Watson Research Centre was in the Columbia campus. Then
the joint effort became a course and then syllabus. So, I think
services science is going to be a huge emerging and exciting area.
If a telecom company comes and tells your
researchers, solve this problem, your researchers would do it. That
is what you are doing with Charles Schwab, right?
Our researchers are working with customers and
innovating in the marketplace. What this allows us to do is to bring
back very hard problems. These require deep intellectual depth.
Let me give you an example. If you look at the Harvard Business
Review about six months ago, there was an article with a provocative
title IT Doesn't Matter by Nicholas Carr. If you think about it
in a traditional way, you could argue that it matters less now than
it used to earlier. But if you think that it is becoming the language
of Biology or it is becoming the language of models of how you do
business, it will matter more now than it ever did. It is solving
harder problems than it could ever solve before.
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"To be successful, it takes invention and
innovation" |
Earlier computer scientists couldn't tell you
too much about manufacturing. But we know today that manufacturing
can now be modelled to create new efficiencies. But think about
taking it to a whole new level. You can take a company, componentise
the pieces of that company's processes, then pick one piece at a
time, model and optimise them so that you create huge value. You
can take a company and re-engineer it in a simple way.
If I come to you and say that I can make your
company 20 per cent more efficient and increase your profit by as
much, you will pay. That is not a commodity. The key thing that
is different from the past is that re-engineering a company was
a huge undertaking. People were reticent because they had to go
through a massive re-engineering and they did not get value. If
you break processes into itty-bitty chunks that are very well defined,
you can get return on investment in a very short time.
How is your PwC acquisition helping you
in this?
PwC has become the Business Consulting Services
division and they are the channel for much of the research work.
They have connection with key level executives and understand business
problems. So I have to get my researchers to understand business
and get their business people to understand modelling tools. Three
thousand of my people and a whole lot more on the other side. One
of the tricks will be to scale the work we have in research. Ultimately
what you want to do is pick areas-we call them micro-practices-where
research is the unique differentiator and over time build expertise
not just in research, but also in our consulting practices and have
it become the services practice of the future. Today we are very
good at creating products that are IBM's future because we have
arranged a marriage between research and development. I cannot say
that we have built IBM's services practice yet. The goal is not
to have a few researchers consulting, but bring back problems and
build new services business for IBM Global services.
So in future the Infosyses, Wipros and KPMGs
are going to have to fight this model...
You bet. If I am correct, we can use the world's
best technical team to differentiate our services. No-body can compete
with us. We are already closing business because of this. In the
first year from a dead start we closed with $100 million of business.
And this year it is going to be a lot more. About 10 per cent of
our research organisation work on services now.
Are you going to work on all industries?
No, the problems are not verticals at this stage,
but key technologies used in many industries. One of the micro practices
is stichastic optimisation with noise (read: uncertainty). That
is used in transportation, optimisation of airlines, fleets...One
of the early customers we had was Boston Coach. This is a large
limousine services company. We had to optimise the number of cars
and dispatchers, but also get the car at the right place at the
right time. But the problem is noise. You get bad weather, delayed
planes. Optimisation in the presence of that kind of noise is stichastic
optimisation. That is finding efficiencies where there are a lot
of uncertainties.
"At IBM, every product is a partnership between
research and development " |
Does research have a revenue target?
The profits from a consulting engagement go
to the consulting business. We only use a part to keep the research
going. We will use the same financial system that we used to get
the product development team to work with research. If the development
team funded one dollar of research for a problem, I took one dollar
out of my corporate funding. So they get two dollars worth of work.
You have to remember here that if all we think about is utilisation
then why will they come to research? Utilisation is more bodies
even though more skilled. They will use their own people. So we
focus on margins. If they use researchers we give them higher profits.
How is corporate research going to be managed
now? Xerox is a model that everyone admired. Microsoft is yet to
prove itself. But they have a different view from yours. They are
hiring the best researchers in different areas.
That is absolutely right. In my view, for whatever
it is worth, they are building wrong models. That is the model we
had, the model Bell Labs had and the one that Xerox Parc had. To
be successful, it takes invention and innovation. The old model
is great at invention and lousy at innovation. If you have not built
the channels, if you are not working closely with the customer,
you have to build a development organisation that will develop your
invention. It is time consuming. In our industry if you are not
bringing products to the marketplace rapidly, they devalue. I believe
that the ideal model for corporate research is balanced. It has
long-term exploratory work and short-time work that build the channel
to the marketplace.
What prompted this? Lou Gerstner or the
downturn?
We have always done this, but we were not as
good as we are today.
But you too did miss the PC revolution...
We missed a lot of things. We built the first
router even before Cisco existed. I couldn't begin to enumerate
what we missed. We invented the RISC architecture. But we were slow
in commercialising it. You could ask why we missed this or that...Have
you heard of IBM printers?
Did you personally miss anything?
As much as anyone else in the IBM company.
However, now we are better than anyone. All other laboratories will
tell you nice things that they have done in their products. The
difference in IBM research is all our products. Not something to
spill ink better or some new algorithm to check spellings. If you
look at IBM, every product is built as a partnership between research
and product development. Now my challenge is to do the same thing
for services.
Nanotechnology is the next big thing, right?
In what time frame?
You can use various self-organising material
in semi-conductor (chip) manufacturing in existing plants today.
But if you think of some new material that is going to replace silicon
like the carbon nanotube, that is very far. So, there is a spectrum.
Where is the next bout of innovation going
to come from? That will solve the current controversy of outsourcing
to India, right?
You missed my main point. It is going to be
in services! In business processes!
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