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Brothers in arms: Abhishek (behind) and
Chaitanya at their modest headquarters in Delhi's Connaught
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In
the middle of March this year, some banking sector stock watchers
woke up with a start. The shares of Indian Overseas Bank had been
steadily climbing and trading volumes had jumped to 35 lakh shares
a day compared to as little as a couple of lakh in late November
to early December. The stock price, which had been sub-20s early
last year, had touched Rs 55 and yet there was no sign of it slowing
down. What had set the counter on fire? As the stockmarket soon
discovered, it was a wiry 35-year-old man called Abhishek Dalmia,
who had acquired 30 lakh shares (or 0.5 per cent of the equity)
over six months without-incredibly for a stockmarket-anybody getting
an inkling of his identity. Today, the stock that the Delhi-based
Dalmia acquired for an average price of Rs 30 is hovering close
to Rs 60.
A Big Bull for the new millennium? Hardly.
The CEO of Renaissance Group, a five-year-old investment firm, likes
to think of himself as India's Warren Buffett, a value investor
and a man he near hero worships. For that reason too, the chartered
accountant-turned-investor keeps a Buffett encyclopaedia (Of Permanent
Value: The Story of Warren Buffett by American journalist-turned-investor
Andrew Kilpatrick) handy on his desk in his spartan office at New
Delhi's central business district of Connaught Place. "This
is the book I always pick up for reference," says Dalmia, who
has already reserved tickets for Buffett's annual shareholders meeting
in Omaha on May 1, by virtue of owning seven shares (through a family
trust) in the Oracle of Omaha's Berkshire Hathaway.
Unlike the 73-year-old Buffett, Dalmia, who
sports a tuft of hair for religious reasons, doesn't run a $100-billion
investment colossus. He operates on a vastly smaller scale with
Rs 200 crore as his war chest, but what makes him stand out from
among the thousands of brokers and investment managers is his keen
eye for under-valued stocks. His 25-stock portfolio has compounded
at 20 per cent annually over the last five years, multiplying 2.5
times in value. No mean feat, given that the stockmarket has been
through at least two big crashes in that period. Says Amit Goel,
co-founder of Delhi-based stock broking firm Pace Financial Services:
"They are eagle-eyed investors. They have a knack for picking
the hidden gems and unlocking their value."
RAIDER'S INSTINCT
The duo has made at least half-a-dozen attempts
at takeovers. |
2001
THE BID: Made a high-profile
attempt to take over Gesco Corporation. Acquired 10.5 per
cent stake at an average acquisition cost of Rs 36 a share
THE OUTCOME: Failed, as
owners Mahindras and Sheths resisted. The Dalmias sold their
10.5 per cent stake in Gesco back to the promoters at Rs 54
apiece, a gain of 50 per cent
2002
THE BID: Spotted an opportunity
to take over a good industrial play in Coimbatore-based Revathi
Equipment when its multinational parent Atlas Copco wanted
to exit
THE OUTCOME: Successful,
as they acquired a 40 per cent stake from Atlas Copco and
another 20 per cent through an open offer. The acquisition
price: Rs 234 a share. The current market price is Rs 167
THE BID: Wanted to acquire
a Mangalore-based contract pharma research company
THE OUTCOME: The deal
fell through at the last moment as the owner did not want
to sell
2003
THE BID: Attempted to
acquire a Faridabad-based auto ignition company
THE OUTCOME: Failed, as
the seller backed out at the last moment as the auto component
manufacturing industry started looking up
THE BID: Tried to acquire
one of the industrial divisions of a Delhi-based business
group
THE OUTCOME: Although
the brothers pursued the deal to an advanced stage of negotiations,
talks failed as the price asked, they felt, was too high
2004
THE BID: Drawing up a
plan to acquire an FMCG (beverages) company in a semi-hostile
bid in collaboration with a non-promoting stakeholder
THE OUTCOME: Awaited
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But just who is Abhishek Dalmia, where does
he come from, and why do managements feel threatened when he trains
his sight on them?
Bargain Hunters
Dalmia and his 29-year-old brother Chaitanya,
who is in charge of equity investments and manages the 25-stock
portfolio, are the scions of the Ajay Hari Dalmia group, which at
one time was part of Orissa Cement and Dalmia Cement. In 1999, the
brothers started off with Rs 56 crore in corpus, but no business.
The money had come their way after the family sold its 16 lakh shares
in Bajaj Auto given to them in exchange for exiting Orissa Cements
after the families split (the Bajajs and Dalmias are related and
had cross-holdings). That corpus has now grown to Rs 200 crore,
of which 60 per cent is still sitting in cash, meaning only Rs 80
crore has been invested.
Delhi boys, the brothers (specifically Abhishek)
first hit the headlines when they made a hostile bid in October
2000 for Gesco Corporation, a real estate company owned by the Mahindras
and the Sheths of Great Eastern Shipping. What attracted the young
men to Gesco was its valuation: back then, Gesco was quoting at
half its book value of Rs 50. "Given our age, we decided to
go for a hostile takeover," recalls the older Dalmia. "We
had the cash, and the regulatory environment was conducive."
With the Mahindras and Sheths upping the ante, a bidding war ensued,
and when Gesco's promoters-counselled by hdfc's Deepak Parekh-offered
to buy out Dalmia's 10.5 per cent holding at Rs 54 a pop, the young
raiders readily agreed. In the process, the duo made a profit of
Rs 18 a share, or Rs 5.6 crore in total. "We decided to get
out when the valuation reached beyond lucrative levels," says
Dalmia, who lives on Delhi's tony Prithviraj Road with his brother
and parents and counts Deputy Prime Minister L.K. Advani among his
neighbours.
Having tasted blood, value hunting became the
central philosophy of their investment mantra. Today, the brothers
follow a twin strategy of investing in undervalued companies and
acquiring profitable and well-run companies. Investments-at least
Rs 1 crore apiece and made through a network of brokers including
Kotak Securities, JM Morgan Stanley, DSP Merrill Lynch, among others-are
held on to for at least three years or until when the stock attains
its "fair value", meaning a return of anything above 50
per cent.
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Gesco Dit It: It took the
combined might of Ghanshyam Sheth, Deepak Parekh and Anand Mahindra
to stave off the Dalmias |
Over the past four years, the brothers have
built up positions in more than two dozen companies, with investments
ranging from Rs 25 lakh to Rs 6 crore. Some of the stocks that have
caught their fancy of late include LIC Housing Finance, Karur Vysya
Bank, and Lakshmi Vilas Bank. In each of them, they hold between
0.5 per cent and 2 per cent (See The Five Biggest Positions). Just
last fortnight, the brothers nabbed a lakh of shares of Tata Investment
Corporation at Rs 170 apiece. Why? Their rationale: The stock is
a low-risk, high-dividend play, besides which the company owns shares
in a gaggle of Tata companies, including Tata Steel and Tata Motors.
Explains Chaitanya, who his brother says would have been a chess
champ had he not turned to equity investment: "Although these
shares are unlikely to be sold, they provide a stable income stream
to the company."
Another thing that the brothers like to do in
the stock they pick is to catch them early. Take for example Unitech,
a Delhi-based realtor, whose shares the Dalmias have been accumulating
over the past few months. So far they have mopped up 2 per cent,
but the going is getting tougher because the stock is thinly traded.
What's hot about Unitech? According to the brothers, the stock price
only reflects the value of a single property, the Radisson Hotel
near Delhi's international airport, but not the 27 subsidiaries
and JVS that started forming a part of Unitech's consolidated accounts
two years ago. Moreover the company, points out the younger Dalmia,
has an order book worth nearly Rs 2,000 crore that should be completed
over the next two to three years.
DALMIAS' INVESTMENT MANTRA
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» Find
stocks that are trading well below their book value or at a
discount to peers
» Hold on
to the investment for at least three years, or till a "fair
value" is realised
» Invest
at least a crore of rupees in stocks to make the return worth
their while
» Bid for
companies that are well-run, have growing profits and revenues
» Never
get emotional about stocks or companies, focus on maximising
returns |
Stocks Are Good; Companies, Better
The Gesco episode taught the Dalmias an invaluable
lesson in investing: That hostile bids aren't always the best way
of acquiring a company, and keeping one's eyes peeled may, in fact,
be a better strategy. Like it happened in the case of Revathi Equipment,
a Coimbatore-based mining equipment company. In April 2001, the
Dalmias got wind of the fact that Swiss multinational Atlas Copco
wanted to sell its 40 per cent stake in Revathi as part of its global
restructuring. The brothers struck a deal with Atlas to buy its
stake, and picked up another 20 per cent via an open offer. Once
again, it's proved to be a great bargain. In 2003-04, Revathi is
expected to clock Rs 50 crore in revenues and Rs 10 crore in profits.
"One of the main criteria (the brothers) look for is cash generation
at a company," points out Ashish Chugh, a research analyst
with personal finance portal Valuenotes.com.
If Dalmia has learnt something from his idol
Buffett, it is to let good managements be. In Revathi, Chairman
Dalmia only looks at strategic issues, while the day-to-day operations
are left to the management team that came with the company. "We
have linked the management compensation to how much shareholder
value they create, which is a combination of the EVA (economic value
added), rate of growth in profits, and the return on equity,"
says Dalmia.
One of the things that Abhishek Dalmia has
picked up from his idol Warren Buffett is to let good managements
be, like in the case of Revathi Equipment
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Buoyed by his success with Revathi, Dalmia has
been scouting for more such deals (Rs 50-100 crore in revenues,
growing profits, low technological obsolescence, and good management),
but with little luck. In the last two years, the brothers have come
close to acquiring at least four companies, but hit last-mile road
blocks. For instance, a contract pharma research company based in
Mangalore walked out of the deal at the last moment over pricing.
Similarly, the promoter of a Faridabad-based auto ignition company
had a change of heart when the sector started looking up on Dalal
Street.
However, the duo is hardly the one to lose heart.
At the moment, they have trained their sights on a listed, mid-sized
beverages company, where they are collaborating with non-promoter
shareholders to attempt a takeover. "We prefer non-hostile
acquisitions, but if there's value, we like to give it a shot,"
says Dalmia with a grin. As for their stock portfolio, the brothers
are on the prowl for shares of Cholamandalam Finance and DSP Merrill
Lynch, both of which, Dalmia says, are at a discount to their intrinsic
values. The only hitch: There are few sellers of these shares around.
With more than Rs 100 crore in his bag to spend,
Dalmia will almost certainly rack up a lucrative portfolio of stock
and companies. Whether he gets anywhere close to where his idol
Buffett has gotten is anybody's guess. What's sure, though, is that
he's got plenty of time left to try.
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