RANK |
COMPANY |
MVA 2001
|
EVA 2001
|
1 |
Hindustan Lever
|
44,200
|
769
|
2 |
Wipro
|
36,322
|
128
|
3 |
Infosys Technologies
|
25,856
|
232
|
4 |
Reliance Industries
|
19,346
|
308
|
5 |
ITC
|
13,013
|
436
|
6 |
Satyam Computer Services
|
6,662
|
166
|
7 |
Ranbaxy Laboratories
|
6,511
|
-90
|
8 |
Dr Reddy's Laboratories
|
6,411
|
-1
|
9 |
Cipla
|
6,021
|
49
|
10 |
HCL Technologies
|
5,599
|
-43
|
The
Indian software and consumer products sectors are world beaters.
That isn't a nationalistic sentiment based on a prestidigitatorial
analysis; it is one of the findings of the third BT-Stern Stewart
exercise to identify India's biggest wealth creators. This being
the third edition of the survey, there's the temptation to rush
headlong into the analysis assuming everyone knows what EVA and
MVA, those karmic twins of the financial-metrics pantheon, stand
for. Still, for those who missed out, EVA, or economic value added,
is the difference between a company's operating after tax profits
and the cost of the capital employed in generating those profits
in one financial year.
MVA, or Market Value Added, is a measure of
the value added by the company's management over and above the capital
invested in the company by its investors (For a more detailed definition,
see The Methodology).
To return from mundane finance-speak to the
exciting prospect of companies like HLL and Infosys being among
the best in the world in terms of market value added (or wealth
created) per unit of capital employed: the Indian infotech sector
creates nearly Rs 4 for every Re 1 used; the US infotech sector
does less than Rs 2.5. And the Indian FMCG (Fast Moving Consumer
Goods) sector does around Rs 5 of wealth for every Re 1 of capital
employed; the US FMCG sector does approximately Rs 2. That's the
good news. The bad news is that 314 of India's top 500 companies
did not add market value in 2001; they destroyed it. And many of
India Inc's most valuable companies-like ONGC, IOC, sail, and TISCO-sit
closer to the bottom of the wealth-creation list. Does that mean
much? Actually, yes: the MVA-EVA framework not only provides a far
more accurate report-card on corporate performance than conventional
measures, but also has significant implications for companies on
how to make strategic decisions and manage performance in their
pursuit of shareholder value.
WHERE ARE OUR PSUs GOING |
Although public sector units listed in
the stockmarkets represent only 5 per cent of the total companies
in the Indian corporate sector, they use about 35 per cent
of the total capital employed by India Inc and end up destroying
about Rs 59,000 crore of wealth. To make matters worse, they
have continued to grow their capital base by 40 per cent over
the 1997-2001 period.
|
Per percentage of total
capital employed |
MVA/ Capital |
PSUs |
35% |
-0.28 |
NON-PSUs |
65% |
-0.37 |
Only a handful of PSUs such as BPCL,
IBP, CCI, BHEL and ITI actually create any wealth. Unfortunately
they consume only 8 per cent of the capital allocated to PSUs.
COMPANY |
MVA
|
Bharat Petroleum Corporation |
1,708
|
IBP Corporation |
514
|
Container Corporation of India |
176
|
Bhart Heavy Electricals |
64
|
ITI |
19
|
Andrew Yule & Corporation |
-102
|
Punjab Communications |
-123
|
Balmer Lawrie & Corporation |
-140
|
Hindustan Organic Chemicals |
-211
|
Tamil Nadu Newsprint &
Papers |
-339
|
Hindustan Zinc |
-414
|
Bongaigaon Refinery &
Petrochemicals |
-461
|
Bharat Earth Movers |
-530
|
National Aluminium corporation |
-604
|
Chennai Petroleum corporation |
-1,060
|
Rashtriya Chemicals &
Fertilizers |
-1,100
|
Kochi Refineries |
-1,124
|
Shipping Corporation of India |
-1,513
|
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation |
-1,932
|
Gas Authority of India |
-1,992
|
Videsh Sanchar Nigam |
-2,176
|
Mahanagar Telephone Nigam |
-2,261
|
Indian Petrochemicals corporation |
-2,568
|
Neyveli Lignite corporation |
-3,721
|
Steel Authority Of India |
-5,406
|
Indian Oil corporation |
-8,153
|
Oil & Natural Gas corporation |
-25,540
|
|
The Great Stockmarket Deception
The fundamental premise of capitalism is that
companies are expected to take financial capital from shareholders
and make it worth more. Unfortunately, in the real world-especially
in the Indian economy-this principle doesn't seem to hold. "Maximising
shareholder value" is a popular refrain, especially among CEOs.
But few companies go about measuring their 'shareholder value added'
scientifically. For, managing a business to maximise shareholder-interests
isn't just about being the biggest company around. Or the most efficient
one. Doing so requires a balance between size and efficiency.
Lay investors, and even most companies, tend
to focus far too much on size and income-based metrics such as share
price (Market Value or Market Capitalisation), earnings, earnings
growth, and earnings per share. Such metrics do not take into account
how much additional capital has been poured into the business to
generate the additional income, so it is relatively easy to improve
such measures simply by investing more. However, to add wealth,
managers should focus on increasing the value added to the shareholders'
investment-a perspective provided by MVA.
This isn't mere semantics. While companies
such as HLL, Reliance, Wipro, Infosys, and ITC are on top in both
the MV and MVA list, nearly a third of India's most valuable companies
appear at the bottom of the MVA hustings. With the exception of
Tata Steel, the nether regions of the MVA rankings are populated
by public sector enterprises. Privatisation, of course, is the preferred
long-term solution. Given the speed at which the process is going,
though, India's public sector could do with a crash course in managing
shareholder value. Not only will this boost their economic performance,
it could help them fetch a better valuation (See Where Are Our PSU's
Going?).
Together, India Inc. created around Rs 80,500
crore of wealth in 2001 (total market value of Rs 6,67,000 crore
less total capital employed of Rs 5,86,500 crore).
This is far lower than the wealth created in
previous years, but thanks to the global stockmarket depression
of the late nineties and early zeroes the phenomenon isn't unique
to India. However, things have been exacerbated in India by the
fact that the capital employed by India Inc. has risen by 45 per
cent over the past five years.
That said, India's track record at creating
wealth continues to remain woefully poor compared to other economies.
For every rupee of capital employed in 2001, India Inc. created
only 16 paise of wealth. In 2000, it did 50 paise. In contrast,
USA Inc. created nearly five times more.
The good news is that our wealth creators are
world class. But the bad news is that relative to other economies
we continue to have far too much capital tied up in wealth destroyers.
This sad tale is true not only for the overall economy but also
for key sectors such as banking and financial services.
The even more depressing news is that over
the past five years, wealth destroyers have grown worse (they destroy
30 paise for each rupee of capital today, up from 14 paise five
years ago) while the creators have improved their performance (from
Rs 1.50 to Rs 1.75)
There's more: the it, pharma, and FMCG sectors
create more than 175 per cent of India Inc.'s wealth (that's right,
if the other sectors were to suddenly, by some sleight of hand,
cease to exist, India Inc. would actually create more shareholder
wealth than it does now) but consume only 7 per cent of the total
capital employed.
While numbers indicate an increase in the capital
allotted to these sectors, what is worrying is that the wealth destroyers
are continuing to increase their capital usage at significant rates.
Thus, while the capital allocation to the it
sector increased by over 400 per cent between 1997 and 2001, and
that to the FMCG and pharma sectors by close to 90 per cent and
60 per cent respectively, wealth-destroying sectors like consumer
durables and petrochemicals saw an increase in capital allocation
too.
IT & FMCG: WORLD-BEATERS
|
India's Infotech and FMCG sectors are truly
world-class wealth creators relative to their peers in the United
States. While India's pharmaceutical sector is strong but not
as good as US peers, its auto sector is marginal and as good
or bad as that of the US'; but its banking sector is a wealth-destroying
laggard.
This poses some interesting challenges for Indian companies
in these sectors to deliver on high shareholder expectations.
It may also help to remember that the relative performance
of companies in these sectors is stratified, so Indian chief
executive officers and corporate strategists should review
their wealth creation and fundamental performance drivers
and benchmark against the top companies, not the sector average.
|
Ideally, shareholders would like to see some
of the wealth destroyers harvest and return capital back to them
so that they can re-deploy it to more productive parts of the economy.
But in the Indian context, where both shareholder-orientation and
corporate governance are still perceived as esoteric concepts, that
hasn't happened. The result? Capital, which can otherwise productively
be used in sectors that create wealth, lies in a state of near-atrophy
in sectors and companies that exist, not for the lofty cause of
creating wealth, but just for the sake of being.
The More Appropriate Measure
Accepted, MVA is an ideal measure of wealth
creation in the long-term. But it suffers from the short-term vagaries
of stockmarket sentiments. If the markets are in the midst of a
bull run, companies find their MVA zooming up to stratospheric proportions;
if they do a sudden flip and enter the bear-mode, companies find
their MVA plummeting.
That is one reason why companies should focus
on improving their fundamental economic performance, as measured
by EVA. Over the long-term, it is improvement in EVA-not accounting
results-that drives wealth creation.
For every rupee of capital employed in 2001,
India Inc. created only 16 paise of wealth. In 2000, it did
50 paise. In contrast, USA Inc created nearly five times more. |
For the mathematically inclined, the MVA of
a company is the net present value (NPV) of all its future EVAs.
Thus, a company that continues to improve economic value added,
year after year will, sooner than latter, find favour with investors.
EVA tells us how much shareholder wealth the
business has created in a given time period (this is usually a year,
but companies can and do use shorter time periods to aid the decision-making
process) and provides a road-map to creating wealth at a business
unit level within a company.
Simply defined, EVA is the economic profit
that remains after deducting the cost of all the capital employed
(both debt and equity). The power of EVA comes from the fact that
it marries both the income statement and the balance sheet and reflects
the economic reality after eliminating accounting distortions.
The role of EVA in driving a company's ability
to create wealth is evident in a comparison of Reliance Industries
Ltd (RIL) and Indian Oil Corporation (IOC).
Indian Oil Corporation employs around twice
as much capital as RIL, has five times the revenues, and is comparable
in terms of market value (RIL ranks second, IOC, fourth). Purely
from this perspective, there seems to be nothing very different
between the two companies.
Over the past five years, wealth destroyers
have continued to get worse: they destroy 30 paise for each
rupee of capital today, up from 14 paise five years ago. |
However, RIL, with its MVA of Rs 19,346 crore
ranks fourth on the wealth-creators list while IOC, with its MVA
of a negative Rs 8,153 crore, comes in at number 499. The difference
in their wealth creation is driven by their fundamental economic
performance. RIL has an EVA of Rs 308 crore while IOC's is a negative
1,500 crore.
EVA is superior to conventional measures because
it replicates the discipline of the capital markets within the firm
by explicitly measuring Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) relative
to the cost of capital.
ROCE is, in turn, driven by a company's net
profit margin and the efficiency of asset use. It is not a surprise
to see that the wealth-creators' ROCE is nearly one-and-a-half times
higher than that of wealth destroyers.
However, it is interesting to note that the
profit margins earned by both the wealth creators and the destroyers
are pretty much the same and it is the ability to utilise capital
efficiently that differentiates these two groups. That's why investors
who choose where to put their money by simply looking at net profits
often go wrong. And that's why wealth destroyers would greatly benefit
from the discipline of making EVA-maximising tradeoffs between margins
and capital efficiency in their various strategic and operational
decisions.
The good news is that our wealth but bad
news is that India continues to have far too much capital tied
up with wealth destroyers. |
How to Read the Numbers
That yellow-purple-blue matrix you see (See
Changes In EVA And MVA Sectorwise) isn't just there for visual relief.
It is a five-year analysis of key industry sectors on changes in
MVA and EVA. Diversified companies, FMCG ones, and those in the
pharma sector come out winners in terms of both wealth creation
and fundamental economic performance. That means they managed, over
a period of five years, to add both market value and economic value.
However, most sectors-this list includes automobiles, capital goods,
consumer durables, and banks-fared badly in terms of both parameters.
The industry sectors appearing in one of the
two yellow quadrants-they fared well on one parameter and poorly
on the other-are the interesting ones. Infotech, for instance, did
well on the wealth-creation front, but not so well on the fundamental
performance front. This is easily explained by a huge inflow of
capital (a 400-per cent increase over five years) and a build-up
of cash in the balance sheets of tech companies as they scout around
for acquisitions.
The increase in MVA over five years signals
that investors expect software companies to continue to earn above
cost of capital returns even on this additional capital in the future.
In contrast, investors expect little from petrochem, metals, media,
and telecom sectors. Companies in these sectors may be improving
economic value added today, but the market has low expectations
of what they will be able to deliver in the future. For some, the
expectations implied in their valuations may not be in line with
their actual potential. That could explain why contrarian stock-pickers-their
breed is increasing-like nothing more than an undervalued outperformer.
|
Tejpavan Gandhok (centre) is Country Manager,
Stern Stewart, and Sanjay Kulkarni (Right) and Anurag Dwivedi
are Associates at Stern Stewart's Mumbai office. |
Is there a moral to the story? Yes, to create
wealth on a sustained basis, companies should focus on maximising
the 'value added' to the capital employed over the long term and
not merely grow in terms of size. This wealth created, or MVA, is
a function of a sustainable fundamental economic performance and
EVA reflects the fundamental economic performance better than traditional
metrics.
However accurate the numbers may be, simply
measuring and issuing annual MVA and EVA report cards is not enough.
The key to sustained performance improvement lies in ensuring two
key outcomes:
- Aligning interests of the management and
the shareholders.
- Ensuring that a value creating culture permeates
the organisation, influencing the behaviour of key decision-makers.
After all, what gets measured gets managed,
but you get what you pay for.
|