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CAS blues: Now showing in your living
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What's the fuss-a stand-off in Parliament,
black-outs by cable operators-about? Ostensibly, it's about the
government's go-slow on the Cable Television Networks (Regulation)
Amendment Bill, 2002, that promises to usher in a conditional access
regime across the Rs 6,000 crore cable & satellite industry
that reaches out to 40 million households.
Everyone should be happy with conditional access. The government
can fix tariffs, the minimum number of free-to-air channels, even
define the channels. The consumer can choose what she wants to see.
And the 35,000-odd cable- and multi-service operators (MSOs) can
charge what it costs them to deliver a channel to the viewer. ''In
the past, everytime a pay-channel effected a price hike, we couldn't
pass it on to the customer as she was blind to this,'' says Vikki
Choudhary, President, National Cable & Telecommunications Association.
The Conditional Access System's
(CAS) promise of subscriber-transparency should make it attractive
to broadcasters. Today, operators under-report the number of subscribers:
by one estimate, broadcasters like Sony, Star, and Zee get paid
for only around 7 million subscribers, around a sixth of the number
they should be paid for. ''Conditional Access will mean more revenues
for us,'' admits Dev Naganand, Director & CEO, Zee Network.
''If it is implemented properly.''
Implementation holds the key. It is unlikely that the conditional
access regime will be completely addressable from the broadcasters'
point of view. Cable operators will have to share details of their
subscribers with broadcasters. But monitoring 7,000 head-ends (points
in ground where satellite signals are received and then transmitted
through cable) won't be easy. Operators, then, will continue to
under-report, although not as much as they do now.
Operators can also expect some pay channels to go free out of
fear of loss of viewership. And as the number of free channels increases,
they believe the Government will revise tariffs upwards. More and
they can keep it all.
Broadcaster tariffs will become customer-centric-a function of
the city, even the neighbourhood-but the desire to maintain viewership
will prevent TV companies from upping the ante too much. Still,
channels will gain from an increased subscriber base. Which is why,
while pushing for Direct To Home-it promises total addressability-they're
not particularly unhappy with conditional access
The government reiterates its commitment to conditional access
but vaguely cites the need to build a political consensus as the
reason for pulling the Bill out of the Rajya Sabha. Maybe it has
something to do with the fact that the customer doesn't get that
great a deal. Choice, she has, but apart from having to pay more
than she does right now, she will also have to bear the cost of
the set-top box that makes CAS possible (Rs 2,000-3,000). Consensus
duly obtained, the Bill will probably go through, if not in this
session then in the next. And the cas will change the existing cable
operator and broadcaster driven order and replace it with a new
cable operator and broadcaster driven one. The consumer be damned!
-Shailesh Dobhal
MUZZLE
The Draft That Never Was
It's a report, it's a draft, it's J-O-T-T-I-N-G-S.
It'll be hard for the joint parliamentary
committee investigation 2001's stock scam to come up with a report
that'll match the one it has just disowned. ''The so-called draft
report published by the press does not represent the views of the
JPC,'' says a statement issued by the Lok Sabha secretariat. ''The
report in circulation is not a draft report,'' adds Prakash Mani
Tripathi, a BJP Member of Parliament from Uttar Pradesh who is the
chairman of the committee, ''but some jottings made by the JPC secretariat
based on depositions rendered''. The leaked thingamajig (we're loath
to put a name to it in the wake of this confusion) reads like a
bestseller. And, like JPC reports are expected to, it takes the
high moral ground: it pulls up a clutch of bankers, the stockmarket
regulator, the central bank, and a finance ministry bureaucrat;
rues the lack of action on the JPC report into the 1992 stockmarket
scam; and tackles philosophical questions on demutualisation of
the exchanges and corporatisation of the Unit Trust of India.
But why did the JPC pull the plug on this masterpiece? Tripathi
isn't saying anything. And the other members of the committee have
been ordered to clam up.
The volte-face, suggest sources in Delhi's extended power circle,
may have been prompted by the fact that the leaked version did not
incorporate a dissenting letter sent by four members of the committee-Amar
Singh, Praful Patel, Prem Gupta, and Anwar Akhilesh Singh-over the
inclusion of the name of a corporate in the draft report. The four
wanted to disown the report immediately; others are said to have
been embarrassed by the leak and apprehensive of the report's effect
on next year's elections in some states. The final version, when
it is released, could be a watered down version of the original
with several 'dissenting notes'. And like the JPC report on the
previous scam, it'll gather dust too. But hey, didn't a similar
leak-disown-dilution happen with that one too?
-Ashish Gupta
B DOCTOR
Brand Suits In Demand
The quest for that big idea causes companies
to hire brand consultants.
When fast moving consumer goods behemoth
hindustan Lever Ltd was putting together plans for its ayurvedic
foray Ayush, it requisitioned the services of brand consultancy
Chlorophyll-before the products had been defined. The Rs 600-crore
Balrampur Chini has retained Jagdeep Kapoor's Samsika Marketing
to define and position its packaged sugar offering. Kapoor is riding
high after the success of Dandi Namak, a packaged salt brand he
helped launch in 2001. By 2003-end, sales of the brand are expected
to touch Rs 100 crore. ''Democratisation of technology allows competition
to achieve parity quickly,'' says Chlorophyll's Kiran Khalap, explaining
the sudden demand for brand consultants. ''Marketers need to differentiate
early, even before the product is ready and a brand consultant can
do this.'' Advertising agencies, keen to position themselves as
full-service providers, are launching their own brand c arms too.
The buzz in ad circles is that McCann (Future Brand) and O&M
are almost ready with their launches. Then, there are the smaller
firms, like Chlorophyll, Samsika, and former Trikaya Grey pro Alok
Nanda's eponymous company. There may be gloom in the FMCG and consumer
durable markets, but the brand consulting business is booming.
-Seema Shukla
INC PLOT
Everybody Loves A Family Split...
...Because, most of the times it helps them
to refocus their businesses better.
Corporate
splits, especially of the kind that is spiced with a spat, always
provide vicarious pleasure to the Indian business press and, presumably,
to its readers. However boring and run of the mill a business family's
disentangling and apportioning of assets is, you can be sure of
seeing breathless reports prominently displayed on the front pages
of the financial papers and in the business magazines (incidentally,
the issue of Business Today you're reading has a four-page feature
on l'affaire Bajaj).
Even if a split is practically inconsequential and doesn't affect
the future of a company or a business group, it seems to make for
big news. Till as recently as the mid-1990s, reports would regularly
crop up on the front page about the latest turn of events in the
long-drawn out unravelling of cross-holdings between the five or
six factions of one of India's best-known business families, the
Birlas. Although the Birla group's formal division of assets and
businesses was achieved smoothly and with little acrimony shortly
after the group patriarch G.D. Birla's demise in 1983, the labyrinthine
crossholdings through which the family controlled its companies
took some time to get unravelled. Yet, the business press of the
period went to town every time an otherwise routine swap or sell-out
took place between a myriad of investment firms.
Later, when branches of another business family, the Modis, started
a seemingly never-ending war over a couple of group companies, the
factions involved actually used the business press to further their
cause, leaking documents and trading dirty linen. Ironically, the
Modi versus Modi saga turned and twisted so many times and over
so many episodes that the press finally lost interest and reader
fatigue pushed it out of, first the front page and then out of the
papers. Nobody now knows (or even cares) whether the family sorted
out its bitter battle for the control of one or two key companies.
Splits in Indian families, especially the ones that are into their
second or third generations, are often unavoidable. Particularly
so given the penchant for the owner-manager pattern of running businesses
in India. As Indian business families grow (and they are usually
large ones), brothers, sons, daughters, nephews, etc, need to be
given their share of the business. Sometimes, as in the case of
Bajaj Auto, a share-holding family member who has little say in
day to day running of the company, may want out, preferring to strike
out on his own with businesses that he actually runs. As long as
the Bajajs can work out an acceptable deal to buy back or otherwise
compensate the brother who wants out it should not affect the future
of the two-wheeler giant, where Rahul Bajaj and his two sons are
firmly in charge.
But look at it from a different point of view. If Indian business
families followed the Western practice of divorcing ownership from
management and remained merely as shareholders (albeit with non-executive
berths on boards of companies) leaving the managing of their businesses
to professional managers, would splits and sell-outs be of any consequence?
Perhaps not. But family splits and spats continue to grab headlines
because in India Inc. managing a company is the birthright of the
progeny of its promoters.
Yet even then splitting may not be a bad thing after all. There
are quite a few examples of splits that have helped family groups
to grow. Sometimes splits help rekindle the entrepreneurial fire
in later generations of business families. The success of the Max
group, which was originally spawned out of the Ranbaxy group, is
one example.
In June, after the demise of Dhirubhai Ambani, there was much
initial speculation about the future of the Reliance empire and
over whether his two sons-who do differ in terms of their personalities
and management styles-would fall out. That speculation was short-lived,
but ponder a purely hypothetical split in the Reliance group. Suppose
one brother decides to break off and run the group's new communications
business and the other manages the older energy businesses. Would
it be such a bad thing after all to have two clear-cut separate
conglomerates, each with its focus sharply on businesses that are
very different?
-Sanjoy Narayan
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