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"If you merge companies-be it Switzerland,
Germany, or India- it takes three years, and before that there
are a lot of problems'' |
He joined the Kuoni Travel
Group as manager inbound in 1970. Less than 30 years later, he had
risen to be its CEO. But come May 15, 2002, and the 51-year-old
Hans Lerch and several other board members of the
Swiss travel major will be ''replaced'' as the denouement to a year-old
boardroom battle, paving the way for a new chairman in the form
of Andreas Schmid. As far as India is concerned, Lerch was the man
who shook up a sleepy travel industry by spending more than Rs 200
crore in acquiring Sita Travels and SOTC in quick succession. The
Indian arm of Kuoni, headed by Ranjit Malkani, is now putting together
a war chest of Rs 100 crore for more acquisitions. But the much-publicised
IPO may not happen anytime soon, given that the appetite for new
stocks in the market is still poor. In India recently, Lerch spent
more than two hours speaking to BT's Moinak
Mitra about Kuoni's performance in India and what it plans
to do to stay ahead in the game. Excerpts from an exclusive interview:
Q. Kuoni began the consolidation trend in
the travel business in India a few years ago by acquiring SOTC and
Sita Travels. How have the marriages fared?
A. Consolidation is not that easy. Companies
have culture and, therefore, merging cultures is difficult. But
I must say that our acquisition of SOTC has borne fruit. Then we
went into the second step by buying Sita. By and large, it's been
only one-and-a-half years that we've bought Sita.
But as is typical of such a takeover, Sita
was a smaller company in the Indian context. But that makes merging
a little bit more difficult. Cultures are radically different. But
my experience is that if you merge companies-be it Switzerland,
Germany or India-it takes three years, and before that there are
a lot of problems.
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"Business travel will grow as the Indian
economy grows and I'm sure that this is happening. There is
a natural growth of GDP in India'' |
Have the objectives of the Kuoni-Sita alliance
been met?
The objectives were manifold. My objective was
that the Sita brand, an important brand, should be used for additional
outbound tourists like what we've done with the fit Holidays Division
at Sita. We were also interested in the business travel, where Sita
was not very strong. That is why we can now deconstruct the branding
issue according to Business Travel International (BTI) and, of course,
the big business travel clients want to be with the same company
worldwide. So we needed to have the BTI representation. But Sita
is a good business, it is a good brand.
Last year, Kuoni tied up with Tour Club
for a share in the inbound travel business to India. Has inbound
travel increased?
Inbound business is often a relationship game.
The guy who runs Tour Club more or less monopolises the business
from the Middle East. So Middle-Eastern travel companies sending
people here do it through him, and Sita couldn't break into it.
Rather than missing out on that business, we bought it. Now we have
a lot of business from the Middle-East coming into India. Sita doesn't
have much to do with it, but they've combined rates now and work
through many synergies.
What are Kuoni's strategies to increase
inbound and outbound travel in India?
Right now, it is essentially one-third, one-third
and one-third. So one-third is outbound-that is the SOTC activity;
one-third is inbound, that's the Sita inbound activity; and one-third
is business travel. We have different organic growth rates in these
businesses. The incoming depends on economic performance, and the
growth of tourism in foreign lands, because that's what encourages
people to travel. The inbound travel has the lowest organic growth-a
more or less European growth of, say, 5-10 per cent. Whereas in
the outbound travel business, we have a fast growth rate of, say,
25 per cent a year. It didn't grow that much last year.
Can you tell us what Kuoni has done to increase
its share of business travel?
Business travel will naturally grow as the Indian
economy grows and I'm very sure that this is happening. There is
a very strong natural growth of GDP in India. Companies are growing
and the economies are generally global. Although you have video
conferencing, travel has never stopped to grow. I'm convinced that
even business travel is growing on account of how the economy grows.
So Business Travel International (BTI-Kuoni is an exclusive partner
of BTI, the world's leading travel management company) has to be
better than American Express and will have to handle many big companies.
Many big corporates nowadays prefer to deal with a single large
business travel organisation. It gives them the best prices and
the best accommodation.
When Kuoni started out in India, it had
plans to float an IPO. What is the status?
It was an idea and the idea is still on the
drawing board. When we talked about an IPO in India, the stockmarket
was going out of the range of almost 5,500. So we said it might
be a good idea to take the company public. We could maybe get a
multiple of 25 or 30 times, or more. But all of sudden, there was
a crash and so it didn't work out. Now we are saying that before
we go back, we should seriously discuss the idea-we don't see a
serious rebound of the India stockmarket. We once said 4,800 points
would be sufficient for us to come up with the IPO, but today Mr
Malkani (CEO, Sita India) said it is currently at 4,200 points.
There has to be a bullish trend in the worldwide stockmarkets for
us to rethink about going in for an IPO. But that is a precondition.
What was the impact of Black September on
Kuoni?
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"There has to be a bullish trend in the stockmarkets
worldwide for us to rethink about going in for an IPO. That
is a precondition.'' |
The impact was dramatic, of course. We had a
very good third quarter, yet a lousy year. We should have earned
approximately $60 million in the last quarter, that was the earning
in 2000. But the difference between the last quarter of 2000 and
2001 was around 90 million Swiss francs (SF). We had two months
of negative growth.
How do you plan to tackle the loss? Are
you still on the consolidation mode worldwide?
We are no longer in this situation. Of course,
these two-three months were very scary. I had my CFO just watching
the cash positions worldwide. However, it started to come back a
bit in December and then on January 7, the bookings picked up worldwide-in
Japan, in US, in Switzerland, in India-on the same day.
What is so significant about January 7?
There are two things that are significant. First
of all, it came back after only three-and-a-half months and it came
back from a level of 20 per cent the previous year to a level of
60-80 per cent the previous year. Secondly, it happened worldwide-the
Italians started the booking and then the Americans did that-all
on the same day. And then we saw this phenomenon twice more. So
today business is almost back to normal and the traffic is rising.
How has the bankruptcy of Swissair affected
Kuoni?
First of all, Swissair didn't need to go bankrupt.
It is one of the saddest stories in the Swiss economy. It is ridiculous
because of a hilariously bad management. The Swissair story is a
text-book case of how not to do it. Now when it grounded, it affected
Kuoni in as far as we lost the commissions that they owed us-about
SF 8 million. The business was not hurt too badly because the few
people who wanted to travel during that time, travelled anyway,
though it was a bit more complicated for them to travel via Paris
or via Frankfurt. In the meantime, another very questionable exercise
was Swiss public funding in airlines.
What is the agenda for the May 15 general
meeting of Kuoni shareholders?
Now, we had an EBITDA profit of SF 60 million
and a net profit of SF 10 million. So we were still positive. But
the cash flow at the end of the year was negative. After September
11, we had to revalue our business in the United States, revisit
the valuation of our organisation and we had to impair a total of
SF 202 million. We also had an aircraft in our Scandinavian operation
that came along with an acquisition a year ago. The provision for
this aircraft was SF 80 million. All this then made for a declared
loss of SF 280 million. One-third of the profits are paid out as
dividends and that is the policy, and as we had no profits this
year, we won't be paying dividends.
Apart from that, the AGM will elect six new
board members. We had this boardroom fight a year ago when our previous
chairman Daniel Affolter had to be removed. It was an extremely
tedious exercise and was made public. When we had six board members
left, everybody's term except for one member's ran out. All these
people had said for a long time that they would not be standing
for re-election. Many of them were on the board for 12 years. They
said that the company now needs a new beginning. One guy would have
still been on the board for another 12 months. He was a disciple
of Affolter. So the new chairman who will come in-his name is (Andreas)
Schmid-wanted him out. So the new chairman asked for his resignation-a
tedious, a very tedious exercise again. But this person made it
public that on the request of the new chairman, he had to resign.
He said he could not serve the board anymore as the board is unduly
influenced... absolute nonsense.
So when does Schmid take over?
Schmid takes over on May 15. Now we have a
new board of directors whose names were made public a few days ago.
What are your plans for South Asia with
focus on India?
Our plans in the Asian region are dominated
by India because we have our posts in Singapore and Hong Kong. I
have a personal hesitation to invest directly in mainland China.
I lived in Hong Kong for a long time. You have a legal problem there
as you cannot invest in outbound travel in China, only inbound travel
with joint venture in mainland China. Secondly, business in China
is done in Chinese and not in English. This is a very significant
difference between doing business in India and doing business in
China.
Yet China attracts 26 million tourists each
year against just 2 million who come to India...
Yes, but if we go to China we'll be interested
in the outbound travel because of the speed of growth of the Chinese
economy. We are actually interested in outbound travel. Sita is
not a predominant force. I'm not trying to expand into India to
be able to handle inbound, but if it comes along with a brand, a
company an activity, I would like to buy it-it is the icing on the
cake. In Sita's case, it is the icing on the cake. Much of every
contract you make in China is through personal relationships. In
India, if I have to litigate, I can litigate. The democracy lets
it function that way. But we know the Chinese environment very well
and one day Kuoni will be in China.
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