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                | A.V. Birla Group's Chairman Kumar Mangalam 
                  Birla: Growing the legacy |  It's 
              been barely 24 hours since he lost out to Sterlite Industries' Anil 
              Agarwal in the race to bag the government's stake in Hindustan Zinc 
              but Kumar Mangalam Birla isn't showing any signs of disappointment 
              as he glides into his exquisitely designed seventh floor office. 
              Even though this is the second time success has eluded him in getting 
              a piece of the action in the government's disinvestment programme. 
              In February 2001, Birla had lost in his bid to take over the state-owned 
              aluminium major Balco. Then too it was Agarwal to whom he'd lost.  But as he gets behind his desk, the 34-year-old 
              Birla, who took charge after his father A.V. Birla's death in 1995, 
              his demeanour is more like an investment banker's, his face inscrutable 
              and calm. But getting some of the disinvestment action is important 
              for Birla, given that his Rs 27,000-crore group's main play is in 
              the business of commodities-where scale and volumes are of critical 
              importance if markets have to be dominated and profitability ensured. 
              Birla's commodity businesses include, besides non-ferrous metals 
              like aluminium and copper, cement, fertilisers, VSF, sponge iron, 
              carbon black, and insulators.  Soon the government will put on the block its 
              stake in PSUs like Nalco, Hindustan Copper, Madras Fertiliser, and 
              National Fertiliser, and Birla cannot afford not to make a play 
              for some, if not all, of them.  For reasons that are quite obvious. Although 
              Birla's recent forays have been in infotech (he forked out Rs 71 
              crore for PSI Data and went in for a strategic tie-up with the US-based 
              Lawson Software), readymade branded clothing (in December 1999, 
              he paid Rs 236 crore for Madura Garments), insurance (he put down 
              Rs 82 crore for a 69 per cent stake in a JV with Sun Life of Canada) 
              and telecom (where Birla-at&t-Tata runs cellular services in 
              Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh, Gujarat, Mumbai, Maharashtra, Goa, 
              Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, and Kerala), these are all 
              small beer compared to the A.V. Birla group's commodity interests. 
              Commodity businesses make up nearly 92 per cent of the group's total 
              turnover of Rs 27,000 crore and generate 95 per cent of the group's 
              Rs 1,400 crore profits. And, says Birla, that proportion's going 
              to remain pretty much the same over the next five years. Birla believes 
              that his 'old economy' businesses can co-exist with the 'new economy' 
              businesses. ''We will for the large part remain in the commodities 
              businesses where we have grown and demonstrated our ability. But, 
              we also need to remain contemporary and, therefore, look at new 
              growth areas,'' he says. 
              
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                | "There is no such thing as commodity--everything 
                  is knowledge-based. The challenge is to provide value." Saurabh Mishra  Director 
                  (Cement & Telecom)
 |  Old Economy Money Mill  Those who know him would tell you that Birla 
              has a long-term perspective. Participating in the government disinvestments 
              and getting a strategic stake in those companies for him is not 
              a mindless chase but an acquisition only at the right price for 
              creation of shareholder value. Birla's is an old economy money mill 
              that runs its high-volume, low-margin commodity businesses efficiently 
              enough to churn out impressive profits and create shareholder value. 
              That has ensured that each of the group companies delivers superior 
              performance so that earnings per share and return on capital employed-the 
              two parameters determining increasing shareholder wealth-show continuous 
              improvement. With cash generation of the sort that Birla's 
              businesses can manage, it isn't surprising that the Rs 766.5 crore 
              that he spent on acquiring a strategic 10 per cent stake in L&T 
              and the Rs 390 crore that he has invested in the new forays into 
              infotech, insurance, and branded garments in the last three years 
              came solely from internal accruals without recourse to fresh borrowings. 
              Four of the key group companies-Grasim, Hindalco, Indo-Gulf and 
              Indal-had a net worth of Rs 10,348 crore and cash flow from operations 
              totting up to Rs 2,174 crore in 2000-01.  Still, for a group that plans to remain a dominant 
              player in each of the identified commodities businesses, the biggest 
              challenge is of scale. Increasing volumes and lowering cost of production, 
              so as to better margins.  Says Birla: ''Growth in our key businesses 
              has been characterised by consolidation, acquisitions, and restructuring.'' 
              The latest acquisition was in November 2001, when Grasim bought 
              a strategic stake in L&T. The result: Grasim along with L&T 
              dominates the 112 million-tonne cement market with a capacity of 
              30 million tonnes. 
               
                | HOW DEEP ARE THEGROUP'S POCKETS?
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                |  In the 
                    commodity business, the bigger player wins, especially if 
                    he increases his size without adding to the industry capacity. 
                    Acquisitions that consolidate marketshare may be the way ahead 
                    for K.M Birla. So far, he has invested Rs 2,147 crore in six 
                    acquisitions over the last three years. But none of it has 
                    been spent on buying a state-owned company. But there are 
                    at least four PSUs that he could now be eyeing: Nalco, Hindustan 
                    Copper, Madras Fertiliser, and National Fertiliser. The tab 
                    could be in excess of Rs 5,500 crore.  Here's a quick back-of-the-envelope 
                    calculation: To acquire a 29 per cent stake in Nalco (plus 
                    to make a 20 per cent mandatory open offer), Hindalco will 
                    have to cough up Rs 4,000 crore to Rs 4,750 crore. Hindalco 
                    has a net worth of Rs 4,379 crore and a cash flow of Rs 687 
                    crore. Given its low debt-equity ratio of 1:0.16, the company 
                    could raise debt if need be. Indo Gulf will have to pony up 
                    Rs 1,000 crore for a 51 per cent stake in Hindustan Copper 
                    and a 32 per cent stake each in Madras Fertiliser and National 
                    Fertiliser. Indo Gulf has a net worth of Rs 1,720 crore and 
                    cash flows of Rs 505 crore. Says Arun Kejriwal, a Mumbai-based 
                    investment advisor: ''Cash is not a problem for the group 
                    companies. Their balance sheets are strong and they can raise 
                    debt.''  Grasim and Indian Rayon, have a combined 
                    networth of more than Rs 4,000 crore and cash flow in excess 
                    of Rs 1,000 crore. Points out Amit Chandra of dsp Merrill 
                    Lynch: ''Being a discerning acquirer, (Birla's) constraint 
                    could be opportunity more than capital.'' The young Birla's 
                    challenge would then be to unearth opportunities. |  But Birla's consolidation in the cement business 
              began a couple of years ago, when the cement industry was battling 
              a glut in the market and margins were under a squeeze. Says Amit 
              Chandra, joint in-charge of investment banking, DSP Merrill Lynch: 
              ''At a time when cement sector was bleeding, Birla started consolidating.'' 
              First through the merger of Indian Rayon's cement division with 
              Grasim in 1998 and later, using the cash flow from Grasim's fibre 
              business for the acquisition of two cement plants, including Dharani 
              Cements and Shree Digvijay Cement, and greenfield expansions in 
              the profitable southern and northern markets. Along with organic 
              and inorganic growth, the company went in for value creation through 
              an improvement in cost-optimisation measures. Costs of power, fuel 
              and freight that account for 63 per cent of the cost of production 
              have been reduced substantially over the last three years. Adds 
              M.C. Bagrodia, an A.V. Birla Group director: ''In the old days, 
              it was easy to market whatever we produced. And with such apparently 
              limitless demand there was always plenty of scope to put up new 
              plants.'' Not any more.  Value From Commodities  Sure, Birla's businesses are skewed towards 
              commodities but that hasn't stopped him from going up the value 
              chain. Says Saurabh Misra, the director in charge of cement and 
              telecom businesses and the former Deputy Chairman of ITC: ''There 
              is no such thing as a commodity-everything is knowledge-based. The 
              challenge is to provide value.'' Grasim has decided to focus on 
              two national brands-Birla Plus and Birla Super-and strengthen the 
              reach of regional brands like Vikram Cement and Rajshree Cement. 
              The strategy has already paid back. Mishra talks of how in Bangalore, 
              a bag of Birla Super commands a 15 per cent premium in the market.  Grasim set up capacities to manufacture higher 
              value added ready-mix cement three years back, when demand was negligible. 
              But the strategy helped: today, ready-mix accounts for 15 per cent 
              of the market requirements. ''By 2009,'' says Misra, ''ready-mix 
              is expected to grow to 70 per cent.'' A market that Grasim is well 
              positioned to meet.  In aluminum, Birla's Hindalco acquired a 74.6 
              per cent stake in Indal in June 2000 at a cost of Rs 1,008 crore 
              and invested Rs 1,800 crore in a brown-field expansion at Renukoot 
              in Uttar Pradesh. These moves took Hindalco's marketshare in aluminum 
              to 42 per cent in 2001 and the expansion is expected to propel growth 
              over the next three years. Already Hindalco is the lowest cost producer 
              in the world, with a cost of production of $839 per tonne, against 
              Alcan's $1,153 or Pechiney's $1,148. Says A.K. Agarwala, Director, 
              Hindalco: ''We will take advantage of low-cost metal and leverage 
              our strong presence in downstream products segment to improve volumes 
              of value-added products.'' 
               
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                | "You need to constantly renew skill-sets 
                  to keep up with competition and the rapidly evolving environment." Debu Chattacharya  Managing 
                  Director, Indo Gulf
 |  In copper, Indo Gulf has achieved a record of 
              sorts. From a zero marketshare in 1997, it today has more than 40 
              per cent. That's been possible because of better capacity utilisation 
              (111 per cent in the third quarter of 2001-02) and low energy consumption.  Now, to further strengthen its dominant position 
              in copper, Indo Gulf may bid for Hindustan Copper, which has a 55,000-tonne 
              smelter, and an acquisition could increase Indo Gulf's capacity 
              to over 2 lakh tonnes. Besides, HCL also owns all the mines in the 
              country. No other domestic manufacturer mines copper in India and 
              has to import requirements of copper concentrate.  As for fertilisers, which contribute 20 per 
              cent of Indo Gulf's turnover, and a business affected by the government 
              policy, the group sees distinct advantages in bidding for Madras 
              Fertiliser Limited (MFL) and National Fertiliser (NFL). While NFL 
              is the second-largest producer of urea in India, MFL has a capacity 
              of 4.87 lakh tonne of urea and 8.4 lakh tonne of fertiliser complex 
              NPK and could complement Indo Gulf's operations in the North. And 
              it's not just about enhancing capacities. It's about a new dynamism. 
              Says Debu Bhattacharya, Managing Director, Indo Gulf, who believes 
              there are no mature businesses, only mature managers: ''Today, it 
              doesn't matter what you're selling. You need to constantly acquire, 
              hire or renew skill-sets to keep up with competition and the rapidly 
              evolving environment.''  The New Businesses  Although Birla's sharp focus is quite evidently 
              on the older businesses, the group has been making smaller investments 
              in a clutch of new businesses that could become meaningful five 
              to 10 years later. In some of these areas, the signs of success 
              are evident already. Like Madura Garments, where since its acquisition 
              of five brands the total marketshare in premium shirts has grown 
              from 34 per cent to 36 per cent and in premium trousers from 24 
              per cent to 30 per cent. Says Santrupt Misra, Director, Birla Management 
              Centre: ''The group has had a history of being successful in the 
              businesses it did not know.'' Next on the cards: build mega brands. 
              Says Vikram Rao, Group Executive President (Fabrics & Apparel 
              Business), Grasim: ''We are taking brands and making them mega brands. 
              We are also looking at retail focus to push the brands.'' In three 
              years, Louis Philippe is expected to be a Rs 200-crore brand and 
              Van Heusen a Rs 150-175 crore brand. Allen Solly, the lifestyle 
              brand, is adding women's wear to become a Rs 200-crore brand, Sanfrisco 
              is getting into jeans and denim wear this year to have a complete 
              range.  The group's software venture, which began as 
              a division of Grasim, has been hived off and renamed Birla Technologies. 
              Last June, Indian Rayon acquired a 70.35 per cent stake in PSI Data, 
              which is expected to provide a platform for tech ventures. Says 
              Mukesh Patel, CEO and Head of software business, who joined the 
              group in 2001 for formulating the group's software business strategies: 
              ''We will continue to acquire new companies primarily through PSI 
              Data, which will include start-ups in the US and UK.''  The group was one of the pioneering business 
              houses to venture abroad and is now chalking out a blueprint for 
              major overseas expansion, including in China, East Europe, and South 
              Africa. The group has operations in 17 countries and at present 
              30 per cent of the group's Rs 27,000-crore turnover comes from overseas 
              operations. It not only plans to expand its businesses such as carbon 
              black and software, but also scout for new businesses. Sanjeev Aga, 
              formerly the CEO of Birla-Tata-AT&T, has rejoined the group 
              as Director (International Operations) with the group's think-tank 
              Birla management Centre.   Although the group is serious about its new 
              businesses, expect no shift from Birla's core focus: commodities. 
              ''While we may get into two more new areas in the next five years 
              and maybe get out of a few, given our theme of dominant market player 
              in any businesses, in balance the group profile will not change 
              and we will continue to be a commodities player.'' The stockmarkets 
              seem to like that view. Grasim, Hindalco and Indo-Gulf have been 
              quoting at Rs 279, Rs 770, and Rs 43 respectively. Says Investment 
              analyst, Arun Kejriwal: ''While Hindalco, like HLL, is looked at 
              as a defensive investment, Grasim is perceived as a market leader 
              in cement.''  The true test of Birla's focus on old economy 
              businesses will be to see how he is able to replicate the cement 
              success story in copper, aluminium, and fertilisers. He may be the 
              dominant player in the businesses at present, but Sterlite's capacity 
              expansion plans in copper and aluminium could catapult that group 
              to the status of India's largest non-ferrous metals player. In cement, 
              the low-cost producer Gujarat Ambuja, together with acc, poses a 
              clear challenge. Sterlite Group may have won the two rounds of disinvesment 
              so far, but for Birla the game isn't over till the last round ends. |